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Air in Mangaung

Air in 2025 (modelled): nitrogen dioxide near the ground averaged 14 µg/m³, 1.4 times WHO’s guideline of 10; winters 17 µg/m³, summers 9.7 µg/m³.

Nitrogen dioxide (NO2) comes mostly from burning: power stations, vehicles, industry. Near the ground is what people breathe. The column is all of it in the air above, from the ground to the top of the sky, which is what a satellite sees. Sulphur dioxide (SO2) comes mostly from burning coal. Ozone forms in sunlight from other pollutants.

Modelled, not measured: these figures come from the Copernicus Atmosphere Monitoring Service’s reanalysis, a weather and chemistry model that takes in satellite readings. Its cells are about 80 km across, so a busy road or a smoky winter evening in one suburb is smoothed into the region around it. It is not a reading at any address.

2025

WHO’s 2021 guideline for nitrogen dioxide is 10 µg/m³ as a yearly mean. It is a long-term health guideline, not a legal limit (South Africa’s national standard for the yearly mean is set separately), and these are modelled regional means, not readings where you live.

Month by month

MonthNO2 near the groundOzone near the groundNO2 columnSO2 column
December 20259.2 µg/m³57 µg/m³48 µmol/m²57 µmol/m²
November 20259.5 µg/m³58 µg/m³58 µmol/m²63 µmol/m²
October 202512 µg/m³61 µg/m³66 µmol/m²60 µmol/m²
September 202514 µg/m³58 µg/m³69 µmol/m²73 µmol/m²
August 202517 µg/m³50 µg/m³78 µmol/m²76 µmol/m²
July 202516 µg/m³42 µg/m³84 µmol/m²85 µmol/m²
June 202518 µg/m³37 µg/m³88 µmol/m²73 µmol/m²
May 202520 µg/m³36 µg/m³84 µmol/m²74 µmol/m²
April 202517 µg/m³37 µg/m³79 µmol/m²63 µmol/m²
March 202514 µg/m³47 µg/m³61 µmol/m²56 µmol/m²
February 20259.8 µg/m³55 µg/m³64 µmol/m²66 µmol/m²
January 20257.5 µg/m³62 µg/m³58 µmol/m²73 µmol/m²
December 20248.6 µg/m³55 µg/m³49 µmol/m²53 µmol/m²
November 20249.0 µg/m³61 µg/m³53 µmol/m²58 µmol/m²
October 202413 µg/m³67 µg/m³70 µmol/m²93 µmol/m²
September 202413 µg/m³59 µg/m³67 µmol/m²71 µmol/m²
August 202416 µg/m³52 µg/m³70 µmol/m²67 µmol/m²
July 202417 µg/m³38 µg/m³70 µmol/m²52 µmol/m²
June 202417 µg/m³38 µg/m³99 µmol/m²108 µmol/m²
May 202424 µg/m³37 µg/m³78 µmol/m²72 µmol/m²
April 202414 µg/m³42 µg/m³72 µmol/m²71 µmol/m²
March 202414 µg/m³51 µg/m³69 µmol/m²79 µmol/m²
February 202410 µg/m³50 µg/m³53 µmol/m²64 µmol/m²
January 20249.4 µg/m³51 µg/m³44 µmol/m²54 µmol/m²

Over the last five years the NO2 column averaged 86 µmol/m² in winter against 54 µmol/m² in summer, and the SO2 column 81 µmol/m² against 59 µmol/m²: still winter air holds what is burnt close to the ground, and more is burnt to keep warm.

Every year since 2003

2003: 13 µg/m³2004: 11 µg/m³2005: 11 µg/m³2006: 11 µg/m³2007: 11 µg/m³2008: 11 µg/m³2009: 11 µg/m³2010: 12 µg/m³2011: 12 µg/m³2012: 12 µg/m³2013: 11 µg/m³2014: 12 µg/m³2015: 12 µg/m³2016: 12 µg/m³2017: 14 µg/m³2018: 13 µg/m³2019: 14 µg/m³2020: 14 µg/m³2021: 14 µg/m³2022: 15 µg/m³2023: 14 µg/m³2024: 14 µg/m³2025: 14 µg/m³200320082013201820232025
Nitrogen dioxide near the ground, each year’s mean (modelled). The line is WHO’s yearly guideline, 10 µg/m³.
Show the numbers
Nitrogen dioxide near the ground, the mean of each year, 2003 to 2025: every figure
When or whatFigure
200313 µg/m³
200411 µg/m³
200511 µg/m³
200611 µg/m³
200711 µg/m³
200811 µg/m³
200911 µg/m³
201012 µg/m³
201112 µg/m³
201212 µg/m³
201311 µg/m³
201412 µg/m³
201512 µg/m³
201612 µg/m³
201714 µg/m³
201813 µg/m³
201914 µg/m³
202014 µg/m³
202114 µg/m³
202215 µg/m³
202314 µg/m³
202414 µg/m³
202514 µg/m³

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Source

Modelled, not measured: these figures come from the Copernicus Atmosphere Monitoring Service’s reanalysis, a weather and chemistry model that takes in satellite readings. Its cells are about 80 km across, so a busy road or a smoky winter evening in one suburb is smoothed into the region around it. It is not a reading at any address.

How we worked this out

What we changed: we averaged the reanalysis’s monthly means over each place by its area in each 0.75 degree cell, turned NO2 and ozone on the model’s lowest level from mass mixing ratio into micrograms per m3 with the month’s air density (surface pressure and temperature), and the columns from kg per m2 into micromol per m2.

Particles (PM2.5, PM10) and sulphur dioxide near the ground are not shown yet: the model reads them far higher over Gauteng and the Highveld than is plausible for a regional mean, so they wait for a check against ground stations.

Contains modified Copernicus Atmosphere Monitoring Service information 2003 to 2025. Neither the European Commission nor ECMWF is responsible for any use that may be made of the Copernicus information or data it contains. Copernicus Atmosphere Monitoring Service (2020): CAMS global reanalysis (EAC4) monthly averaged fields. Copernicus Atmosphere Monitoring Service (CAMS) Atmosphere Data Store, DOI 10.24381/fd75fff2. Inness, A. and others (2019): The CAMS reanalysis of atmospheric composition, Atmos. Chem. Phys., 19, 3515 to 3556. Under CC BY 4.0.

Dataset: air quality by municipality, release of 12 November 2026.

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