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Fire in Frances Baard

Fire in the twelve months to October 2026: 465 fire detections seen from space; 1,074 ha burnt in the 7 of those months with burnt area out. The most since 2012: 2021, 3,494.

Two readings from space. Fire detections are hot spots a VIIRS satellite saw as it passed, each about 375 m across, counted where they fall in the place: a big fire gives many, a short one between passes none. Burnt area is the ground that looks burnt afterwards, from Sentinel-3 at 300 m, in hectares. Neither is a fire report from the ground.

The last twelve months

Fire detections (most 119)November 2025: 31 fire detectionsDecember 2025: 25 fire detectionsJanuary 2026: 36 fire detectionsFebruary 2026: 12 fire detectionsMarch 2026: 1 fire detectionApril 2026: 4 fire detectionsMay 2026: 18 fire detectionsJune 2026: 42 fire detectionsJuly 2026: 119 fire detectionsAugust 2026: 113 fire detectionsSeptember 2026: 40 fire detectionsOctober 2026: 24 fire detectionsHectares burnt (most 392)November 2025: 83 ha burnt (0.006% of the place)December 2025: 102 ha burnt (0.008% of the place)January 2026: 215 ha burnt (0.016% of the place)February 2026: 263 ha burnt (0.020% of the place)March 2026: 0.0 ha burnt (0.000% of the place)April 2026: 19 ha burnt (0.001% of the place)May 2026: 392 ha burnt (0.030% of the place)June 2026: not out yetJuly 2026: not out yetAugust 2026: not out yetSeptember 2026: not out yetOctober 2026: not out yetNovDecJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct
Fire detections and hectares burnt each month in Frances Baard, November 2025 to October 2026. A flat tick is a month the source has not covered yet; burnt area comes out some weeks after the detections.
Show the numbers
Fire detections and hectares burnt each month in Frances Baard, November 2025 to October 2026.: every figure
When or whatFigure
November 202531 fire detections
December 202525 fire detections
January 202636 fire detections
February 202612 fire detections
March 20261 fire detection
April 20264 fire detections
May 202618 fire detections
June 202642 fire detections
July 2026119 fire detections
August 2026113 fire detections
September 202640 fire detections
October 202624 fire detections
November 202583 ha burnt (0.006% of the place)
December 2025102 ha burnt (0.008% of the place)
January 2026215 ha burnt (0.016% of the place)
February 2026263 ha burnt (0.020% of the place)
March 20260.0 ha burnt (0.000% of the place)
April 202619 ha burnt (0.001% of the place)
May 2026392 ha burnt (0.030% of the place)
June 2026not out yet
July 2026not out yet
August 2026not out yet
September 2026not out yet
October 2026not out yet
MonthDetectionsNominal or high confidenceNOAA-20 (second reading)BurntShare of the placeLand seen
October 2026241613not out yet··
September 2026403827not out yet··
August 2026113108115not out yet··
July 2026119100170not out yet··
June 2026424062not out yet··
May 2026181620392 ha0.030%100%
April 202643519 ha0.001%100%
March 20261140.0 ha0.000%100%
February 202612716263 ha0.020%100%
January 2026362333215 ha0.016%100%
December 2025251529102 ha0.008%100%
November 202531191983 ha0.006%100%

NOAA-20 carries the same instrument as S-NPP and passes about 50 minutes apart, so its count is a second reading of the same fires, not extra fires. “Land seen” is the share of the place’s land the burnt-area product saw often enough that month to tell.

The worst years

By hectares burnt (whole years from 2019): 2021, 122,065 ha (9.3% of the place); 2023, 43,733 ha (3.3% of the place); 2022, 33,463 ha (2.5% of the place).

Every year since 2012

YearFire detectionsBurntShare of the place
2026 (10 months)4095 months out·
202584012,659 ha0.96%
20246186,912 ha0.53%
20232,39843,733 ha3.3%
20222,10533,463 ha2.5%
20213,494122,065 ha9.3%
20201,20130,078 ha2.3%
20194375,177 ha0.39%
20181,7846 months out·
2017754··
2016217··
2015342··
2014303··
2013389··
2012 (11 months)3,388··

Detections from February 2012 (S-NPP); burnt area from July 2018, so whole years of it from 2019. A larger place’s figures are the sums of its 2026 wards.

Everything we hold for Frances Baard, on one page

Source

Seen from space by American and European satellites: not fires reported on the ground.

How we worked this out

What we changed: we counted FIRMS’s detections (presumed vegetation fires only) by the 2026 ward their position falls in, and summed CLMS’s burned fraction times each pixel’s area over each ward; municipalities, districts and provinces are the sums of their wards.

Fire detections: we acknowledge the use of data and/or imagery from NASA’s Fire Information for Resource Management System (FIRMS), part of NASA’s LANCE (VIIRS 375 m, S-NPP and NOAA-20). Burnt area: generated using European Union’s Copernicus Land Monitoring Service information (Burnt Area 300 m version 4, DOI 10.2909/8fa58061-28ab-49bb-9b77-c26b50733e34), modified; this does not mean the European Union endorses us.

Dataset: burnt area and fire, release of 12 November 2026.

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