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Fire in Ward 17, Mossel Bay

Fire in the twelve months to October 2026: 29 fire detections seen from space; 36 ha burnt in the 7 of those months with burnt area out. The most since 2012: 2018, 457.

Two readings from space. Fire detections are hot spots a VIIRS satellite saw as it passed, each about 375 m across, counted where they fall in the place: a big fire gives many, a short one between passes none. Burnt area is the ground that looks burnt afterwards, from Sentinel-3 at 300 m, in hectares. Neither is a fire report from the ground.

The last twelve months

Fire detections (most 7)November 2025: 7 fire detectionsDecember 2025: 5 fire detectionsJanuary 2026: 0 fire detectionsFebruary 2026: 2 fire detectionsMarch 2026: 5 fire detectionsApril 2026: 5 fire detectionsMay 2026: 0 fire detectionsJune 2026: 0 fire detectionsJuly 2026: 2 fire detectionsAugust 2026: 0 fire detectionsSeptember 2026: 1 fire detectionOctober 2026: 2 fire detectionsHectares burnt (most 36)November 2025: 36 ha burnt (0.030% of the place)December 2025: 0.0 ha burnt (0.000% of the place)January 2026: 0.0 ha burnt (0.000% of the place)February 2026: 0.0 ha burnt (0.000% of the place)March 2026: 0.0 ha burnt (0.000% of the place)April 2026: 0.0 ha burnt (0.000% of the place)May 2026: 0.0 ha burnt (0.000% of the place)June 2026: not out yetJuly 2026: not out yetAugust 2026: not out yetSeptember 2026: not out yetOctober 2026: not out yetNovDecJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct
Fire detections and hectares burnt each month in Ward 17, Mossel Bay, November 2025 to October 2026. A flat tick is a month the source has not covered yet; burnt area comes out some weeks after the detections.
Show the numbers
Fire detections and hectares burnt each month in Ward 17, Mossel Bay, November 2025 to October 2026.: every figure
When or whatFigure
November 20257 fire detections
December 20255 fire detections
January 20260 fire detections
February 20262 fire detections
March 20265 fire detections
April 20265 fire detections
May 20260 fire detections
June 20260 fire detections
July 20262 fire detections
August 20260 fire detections
September 20261 fire detection
October 20262 fire detections
November 202536 ha burnt (0.030% of the place)
December 20250.0 ha burnt (0.000% of the place)
January 20260.0 ha burnt (0.000% of the place)
February 20260.0 ha burnt (0.000% of the place)
March 20260.0 ha burnt (0.000% of the place)
April 20260.0 ha burnt (0.000% of the place)
May 20260.0 ha burnt (0.000% of the place)
June 2026not out yet
July 2026not out yet
August 2026not out yet
September 2026not out yet
October 2026not out yet
MonthDetectionsNominal or high confidenceNOAA-20 (second reading)BurntShare of the placeLand seen
October 2026221not out yet··
September 2026111not out yet··
August 2026002not out yet··
July 2026224not out yet··
June 2026000not out yet··
May 20260000.0 ha0.000%100%
April 20265580.0 ha0.000%100%
March 20265350.0 ha0.000%100%
February 20262210.0 ha0.000%100%
January 20260000.0 ha0.000%100%
December 20255460.0 ha0.000%100%
November 2025773636 ha0.030%100%

NOAA-20 carries the same instrument as S-NPP and passes about 50 minutes apart, so its count is a second reading of the same fires, not extra fires. “Land seen” is the share of the place’s land the burnt-area product saw often enough that month to tell.

The worst years

By hectares burnt (whole years from 2019): 2024, 1,034 ha (0.85% of the place); 2025, 733 ha (0.60% of the place); 2021, 235 ha (0.19% of the place).

Every year since 2012

YearFire detectionsBurntShare of the place
2026 (10 months)175 months out·
2025118733 ha0.60%
20242021,034 ha0.85%
20234683 ha0.068%
20225732 ha0.025%
202168235 ha0.19%
202072154 ha0.13%
201966193 ha0.16%
20184576 months out·
2017181··
2016402··
2015226··
201491··
2013294··
2012 (11 months)74··

Detections from February 2012 (S-NPP); burnt area from July 2018, so whole years of it from 2019.

Source

Seen from space by American and European satellites: not fires reported on the ground.

How we worked this out

What we changed: we counted FIRMS’s detections (presumed vegetation fires only) by the 2026 ward their position falls in, and summed CLMS’s burned fraction times each pixel’s area over each ward; municipalities, districts and provinces are the sums of their wards.

Fire detections: we acknowledge the use of data and/or imagery from NASA’s Fire Information for Resource Management System (FIRMS), part of NASA’s LANCE (VIIRS 375 m, S-NPP and NOAA-20). Burnt area: generated using European Union’s Copernicus Land Monitoring Service information (Burnt Area 300 m version 4, DOI 10.2909/8fa58061-28ab-49bb-9b77-c26b50733e34), modified; this does not mean the European Union endorses us.

Dataset: burnt area and fire, release of 12 November 2026.

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