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Fire in Ward 25, Alfred Duma

Fire in the twelve months to October 2026: 64 fire detections seen from space; 97 ha burnt in the 7 of those months with burnt area out. The most since 2012: 2013, 248.

Two readings from space. Fire detections are hot spots a VIIRS satellite saw as it passed, each about 375 m across, counted where they fall in the place: a big fire gives many, a short one between passes none. Burnt area is the ground that looks burnt afterwards, from Sentinel-3 at 300 m, in hectares. Neither is a fire report from the ground.

The last twelve months

Fire detections (most 18)November 2025: 0 fire detectionsDecember 2025: 0 fire detectionsJanuary 2026: 1 fire detectionFebruary 2026: 0 fire detectionsMarch 2026: 0 fire detectionsApril 2026: 0 fire detectionsMay 2026: 4 fire detectionsJune 2026: 10 fire detectionsJuly 2026: 18 fire detectionsAugust 2026: 17 fire detectionsSeptember 2026: 10 fire detectionsOctober 2026: 4 fire detectionsHectares burnt (most 97)November 2025: 0.0 ha burnt (0.000% of the place)December 2025: 0.0 ha burnt (0.000% of the place)January 2026: 0.0 ha burnt (0.000% of the place)February 2026: 0.0 ha burnt (0.000% of the place)March 2026: 0.0 ha burnt (0.000% of the place)April 2026: 0.0 ha burnt (0.000% of the place)May 2026: 97 ha burnt (0.51% of the place)June 2026: not out yetJuly 2026: not out yetAugust 2026: not out yetSeptember 2026: not out yetOctober 2026: not out yetNovDecJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct
Fire detections and hectares burnt each month in Ward 25, Alfred Duma, November 2025 to October 2026. A flat tick is a month the source has not covered yet; burnt area comes out some weeks after the detections.
Show the numbers
Fire detections and hectares burnt each month in Ward 25, Alfred Duma, November 2025 to October 2026.: every figure
When or whatFigure
November 20250 fire detections
December 20250 fire detections
January 20261 fire detection
February 20260 fire detections
March 20260 fire detections
April 20260 fire detections
May 20264 fire detections
June 202610 fire detections
July 202618 fire detections
August 202617 fire detections
September 202610 fire detections
October 20264 fire detections
November 20250.0 ha burnt (0.000% of the place)
December 20250.0 ha burnt (0.000% of the place)
January 20260.0 ha burnt (0.000% of the place)
February 20260.0 ha burnt (0.000% of the place)
March 20260.0 ha burnt (0.000% of the place)
April 20260.0 ha burnt (0.000% of the place)
May 202697 ha burnt (0.51% of the place)
June 2026not out yet
July 2026not out yet
August 2026not out yet
September 2026not out yet
October 2026not out yet
MonthDetectionsNominal or high confidenceNOAA-20 (second reading)BurntShare of the placeLand seen
October 2026445not out yet··
September 202610912not out yet··
August 2026171725not out yet··
July 2026181722not out yet··
June 202610108not out yet··
May 202644297 ha0.51%100%
April 20260000.0 ha0.000%100%
March 20260000.0 ha0.000%100%
February 20260000.0 ha0.000%100%
January 20261100.0 ha0.000%100%
December 20250000.0 ha0.000%100%
November 20250000.0 ha0.000%100%

NOAA-20 carries the same instrument as S-NPP and passes about 50 minutes apart, so its count is a second reading of the same fires, not extra fires. “Land seen” is the share of the place’s land the burnt-area product saw often enough that month to tell.

The worst years

By hectares burnt (whole years from 2019): 2021, 1,267 ha (6.6% of the place); 2023, 1,240 ha (6.5% of the place); 2024, 1,120 ha (5.8% of the place).

Every year since 2012

YearFire detectionsBurntShare of the place
2026 (10 months)645 months out·
202548288 ha1.5%
2024711,120 ha5.8%
2023981,240 ha6.5%
202217164 ha0.86%
20211111,267 ha6.6%
2020107951 ha4.9%
201959793 ha4.1%
20181536 months out·
2017111··
201671··
2015107··
201494··
2013248··
2012 (11 months)80··

Detections from February 2012 (S-NPP); burnt area from July 2018, so whole years of it from 2019.

Source

Seen from space by American and European satellites: not fires reported on the ground.

How we worked this out

What we changed: we counted FIRMS’s detections (presumed vegetation fires only) by the 2026 ward their position falls in, and summed CLMS’s burned fraction times each pixel’s area over each ward; municipalities, districts and provinces are the sums of their wards.

Fire detections: we acknowledge the use of data and/or imagery from NASA’s Fire Information for Resource Management System (FIRMS), part of NASA’s LANCE (VIIRS 375 m, S-NPP and NOAA-20). Burnt area: generated using European Union’s Copernicus Land Monitoring Service information (Burnt Area 300 m version 4, DOI 10.2909/8fa58061-28ab-49bb-9b77-c26b50733e34), modified; this does not mean the European Union endorses us.

Dataset: burnt area and fire, release of 12 November 2026.

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