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Fire in Ward 4, Mfolozi

Fire in the twelve months to October 2026: 162 fire detections seen from space; 141 ha burnt in the 7 of those months with burnt area out. The most since 2012: 2015, 375.

Two readings from space. Fire detections are hot spots a VIIRS satellite saw as it passed, each about 375 m across, counted where they fall in the place: a big fire gives many, a short one between passes none. Burnt area is the ground that looks burnt afterwards, from Sentinel-3 at 300 m, in hectares. Neither is a fire report from the ground.

The last twelve months

Fire detections (most 32)November 2025: 1 fire detectionDecember 2025: 0 fire detectionsJanuary 2026: 0 fire detectionsFebruary 2026: 32 fire detectionsMarch 2026: 2 fire detectionsApril 2026: 20 fire detectionsMay 2026: 17 fire detectionsJune 2026: 26 fire detectionsJuly 2026: 15 fire detectionsAugust 2026: 27 fire detectionsSeptember 2026: 5 fire detectionsOctober 2026: 17 fire detectionsHectares burnt (most 63)November 2025: 0.0 ha burnt (0.000% of the place)December 2025: 0.0 ha burnt (0.000% of the place)January 2026: 0.0 ha burnt (0.000% of the place)February 2026: 54 ha burnt (0.17% of the place)March 2026: 11 ha burnt (0.034% of the place)April 2026: 63 ha burnt (0.20% of the place)May 2026: 13 ha burnt (0.043% of the place)June 2026: not out yetJuly 2026: not out yetAugust 2026: not out yetSeptember 2026: not out yetOctober 2026: not out yetNovDecJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct
Fire detections and hectares burnt each month in Ward 4, Mfolozi, November 2025 to October 2026. A flat tick is a month the source has not covered yet; burnt area comes out some weeks after the detections.
Show the numbers
Fire detections and hectares burnt each month in Ward 4, Mfolozi, November 2025 to October 2026.: every figure
When or whatFigure
November 20251 fire detection
December 20250 fire detections
January 20260 fire detections
February 202632 fire detections
March 20262 fire detections
April 202620 fire detections
May 202617 fire detections
June 202626 fire detections
July 202615 fire detections
August 202627 fire detections
September 20265 fire detections
October 202617 fire detections
November 20250.0 ha burnt (0.000% of the place)
December 20250.0 ha burnt (0.000% of the place)
January 20260.0 ha burnt (0.000% of the place)
February 202654 ha burnt (0.17% of the place)
March 202611 ha burnt (0.034% of the place)
April 202663 ha burnt (0.20% of the place)
May 202613 ha burnt (0.043% of the place)
June 2026not out yet
July 2026not out yet
August 2026not out yet
September 2026not out yet
October 2026not out yet
MonthDetectionsNominal or high confidenceNOAA-20 (second reading)BurntShare of the placeLand seen
October 202617179not out yet··
September 2026558not out yet··
August 2026272622not out yet··
July 2026151417not out yet··
June 2026262417not out yet··
May 202617171513 ha0.043%98%
April 202620182063 ha0.20%98%
March 202622311 ha0.034%98%
February 202632313354 ha0.17%98%
January 20260030.0 ha0.000%98%
December 20250040.0 ha0.000%98%
November 20251130.0 ha0.000%98%

NOAA-20 carries the same instrument as S-NPP and passes about 50 minutes apart, so its count is a second reading of the same fires, not extra fires. “Land seen” is the share of the place’s land the burnt-area product saw often enough that month to tell.

The worst years

By hectares burnt (whole years from 2019): 2019, 281 ha (0.90% of the place); 2020, 260 ha (0.83% of the place); 2025, 174 ha (0.55% of the place).

Every year since 2012

YearFire detectionsBurntShare of the place
2026 (10 months)1615 months out·
2025111174 ha0.55%
20249060 ha0.19%
20236251 ha0.16%
20223711 ha0.036%
202173102 ha0.33%
2020106260 ha0.83%
201997281 ha0.90%
2018696 months out·
2017108··
2016102··
2015375··
2014281··
2013231··
2012 (11 months)273··

Detections from February 2012 (S-NPP); burnt area from July 2018, so whole years of it from 2019.

Source

Seen from space by American and European satellites: not fires reported on the ground.

How we worked this out

What we changed: we counted FIRMS’s detections (presumed vegetation fires only) by the 2026 ward their position falls in, and summed CLMS’s burned fraction times each pixel’s area over each ward; municipalities, districts and provinces are the sums of their wards.

Fire detections: we acknowledge the use of data and/or imagery from NASA’s Fire Information for Resource Management System (FIRMS), part of NASA’s LANCE (VIIRS 375 m, S-NPP and NOAA-20). Burnt area: generated using European Union’s Copernicus Land Monitoring Service information (Burnt Area 300 m version 4, DOI 10.2909/8fa58061-28ab-49bb-9b77-c26b50733e34), modified; this does not mean the European Union endorses us.

Dataset: burnt area and fire, release of 12 November 2026.

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