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Fire in Ward 12, Msukaligwa

Fire in the twelve months to October 2026: 345 fire detections seen from space; 187 ha burnt in the 7 of those months with burnt area out. The most since 2012: 2017, 411.

Two readings from space. Fire detections are hot spots a VIIRS satellite saw as it passed, each about 375 m across, counted where they fall in the place: a big fire gives many, a short one between passes none. Burnt area is the ground that looks burnt afterwards, from Sentinel-3 at 300 m, in hectares. Neither is a fire report from the ground.

The last twelve months

Fire detections (most 87)November 2025: 7 fire detectionsDecember 2025: 7 fire detectionsJanuary 2026: 41 fire detectionsFebruary 2026: 64 fire detectionsMarch 2026: 3 fire detectionsApril 2026: 11 fire detectionsMay 2026: 39 fire detectionsJune 2026: 57 fire detectionsJuly 2026: 25 fire detectionsAugust 2026: 2 fire detectionsSeptember 2026: 2 fire detectionsOctober 2026: 87 fire detectionsHectares burnt (most 126)November 2025: 0.0 ha burnt (0.000% of the place)December 2025: 0.0 ha burnt (0.000% of the place)January 2026: 1.4 ha burnt (0.003% of the place)February 2026: 55 ha burnt (0.10% of the place)March 2026: 0.0 ha burnt (0.000% of the place)April 2026: 4.3 ha burnt (0.008% of the place)May 2026: 126 ha burnt (0.23% of the place)June 2026: not out yetJuly 2026: not out yetAugust 2026: not out yetSeptember 2026: not out yetOctober 2026: not out yetNovDecJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct
Fire detections and hectares burnt each month in Ward 12, Msukaligwa, November 2025 to October 2026. A flat tick is a month the source has not covered yet; burnt area comes out some weeks after the detections.
Show the numbers
Fire detections and hectares burnt each month in Ward 12, Msukaligwa, November 2025 to October 2026.: every figure
When or whatFigure
November 20257 fire detections
December 20257 fire detections
January 202641 fire detections
February 202664 fire detections
March 20263 fire detections
April 202611 fire detections
May 202639 fire detections
June 202657 fire detections
July 202625 fire detections
August 20262 fire detections
September 20262 fire detections
October 202687 fire detections
November 20250.0 ha burnt (0.000% of the place)
December 20250.0 ha burnt (0.000% of the place)
January 20261.4 ha burnt (0.003% of the place)
February 202655 ha burnt (0.10% of the place)
March 20260.0 ha burnt (0.000% of the place)
April 20264.3 ha burnt (0.008% of the place)
May 2026126 ha burnt (0.23% of the place)
June 2026not out yet
July 2026not out yet
August 2026not out yet
September 2026not out yet
October 2026not out yet
MonthDetectionsNominal or high confidenceNOAA-20 (second reading)BurntShare of the placeLand seen
October 20268782102not out yet··
September 2026221not out yet··
August 2026225not out yet··
July 2026252529not out yet··
June 2026575788not out yet··
May 2026393843126 ha0.23%100%
April 20261110244.3 ha0.008%100%
March 20263390.0 ha0.000%100%
February 202664544655 ha0.10%100%
January 20264141191.4 ha0.003%100%
December 20257740.0 ha0.000%100%
November 20257660.0 ha0.000%100%

NOAA-20 carries the same instrument as S-NPP and passes about 50 minutes apart, so its count is a second reading of the same fires, not extra fires. “Land seen” is the share of the place’s land the burnt-area product saw often enough that month to tell.

The worst years

By hectares burnt (whole years from 2019): 2024, 2,343 ha (4.3% of the place); 2020, 2,132 ha (3.9% of the place); 2025, 1,788 ha (3.2% of the place).

Every year since 2012

YearFire detectionsBurntShare of the place
2026 (10 months)3315 months out·
20252231,788 ha3.2%
20243252,343 ha4.3%
20232221,548 ha2.8%
20222521,331 ha2.4%
20213001,547 ha2.8%
20203402,132 ha3.9%
20192551,707 ha3.1%
20183956 months out·
2017411··
2016365··
2015360··
2014212··
2013245··
2012 (11 months)250··

Detections from February 2012 (S-NPP); burnt area from July 2018, so whole years of it from 2019.

Source

Seen from space by American and European satellites: not fires reported on the ground.

How we worked this out

What we changed: we counted FIRMS’s detections (presumed vegetation fires only) by the 2026 ward their position falls in, and summed CLMS’s burned fraction times each pixel’s area over each ward; municipalities, districts and provinces are the sums of their wards.

Fire detections: we acknowledge the use of data and/or imagery from NASA’s Fire Information for Resource Management System (FIRMS), part of NASA’s LANCE (VIIRS 375 m, S-NPP and NOAA-20). Burnt area: generated using European Union’s Copernicus Land Monitoring Service information (Burnt Area 300 m version 4, DOI 10.2909/8fa58061-28ab-49bb-9b77-c26b50733e34), modified; this does not mean the European Union endorses us.

Dataset: burnt area and fire, release of 12 November 2026.

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