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Fire in Ward 6, Ephraim Mogale

Fire in the twelve months to October 2026: 139 fire detections seen from space; 146 ha burnt in the 7 of those months with burnt area out. The most since 2012: 2023, 132.

Two readings from space. Fire detections are hot spots a VIIRS satellite saw as it passed, each about 375 m across, counted where they fall in the place: a big fire gives many, a short one between passes none. Burnt area is the ground that looks burnt afterwards, from Sentinel-3 at 300 m, in hectares. Neither is a fire report from the ground.

The last twelve months

Fire detections (most 63)November 2025: 0 fire detectionsDecember 2025: 0 fire detectionsJanuary 2026: 0 fire detectionsFebruary 2026: 0 fire detectionsMarch 2026: 0 fire detectionsApril 2026: 3 fire detectionsMay 2026: 10 fire detectionsJune 2026: 22 fire detectionsJuly 2026: 63 fire detectionsAugust 2026: 31 fire detectionsSeptember 2026: 8 fire detectionsOctober 2026: 2 fire detectionsHectares burnt (most 125)November 2025: 0.0 ha burnt (0.000% of the place)December 2025: 0.0 ha burnt (0.000% of the place)January 2026: 0.0 ha burnt (0.000% of the place)February 2026: 0.0 ha burnt (0.000% of the place)March 2026: 0.0 ha burnt (0.000% of the place)April 2026: 125 ha burnt (0.75% of the place)May 2026: 21 ha burnt (0.13% of the place)June 2026: not out yetJuly 2026: not out yetAugust 2026: not out yetSeptember 2026: not out yetOctober 2026: not out yetNovDecJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct
Fire detections and hectares burnt each month in Ward 6, Ephraim Mogale, November 2025 to October 2026. A flat tick is a month the source has not covered yet; burnt area comes out some weeks after the detections.
Show the numbers
Fire detections and hectares burnt each month in Ward 6, Ephraim Mogale, November 2025 to October 2026.: every figure
When or whatFigure
November 20250 fire detections
December 20250 fire detections
January 20260 fire detections
February 20260 fire detections
March 20260 fire detections
April 20263 fire detections
May 202610 fire detections
June 202622 fire detections
July 202663 fire detections
August 202631 fire detections
September 20268 fire detections
October 20262 fire detections
November 20250.0 ha burnt (0.000% of the place)
December 20250.0 ha burnt (0.000% of the place)
January 20260.0 ha burnt (0.000% of the place)
February 20260.0 ha burnt (0.000% of the place)
March 20260.0 ha burnt (0.000% of the place)
April 2026125 ha burnt (0.75% of the place)
May 202621 ha burnt (0.13% of the place)
June 2026not out yet
July 2026not out yet
August 2026not out yet
September 2026not out yet
October 2026not out yet
MonthDetectionsNominal or high confidenceNOAA-20 (second reading)BurntShare of the placeLand seen
October 2026212not out yet··
September 2026858not out yet··
August 2026312732not out yet··
July 2026636062not out yet··
June 2026222219not out yet··
May 202610101021 ha0.13%100%
April 2026335125 ha0.75%100%
March 20260030.0 ha0.000%100%
February 20260000.0 ha0.000%100%
January 20260000.0 ha0.000%100%
December 20250000.0 ha0.000%100%
November 20250010.0 ha0.000%100%

NOAA-20 carries the same instrument as S-NPP and passes about 50 minutes apart, so its count is a second reading of the same fires, not extra fires. “Land seen” is the share of the place’s land the burnt-area product saw often enough that month to tell.

The worst years

By hectares burnt (whole years from 2019): 2024, 1,238 ha (7.4% of the place); 2023, 1,121 ha (6.7% of the place); 2025, 761 ha (4.6% of the place).

Every year since 2012

YearFire detectionsBurntShare of the place
2026 (10 months)1395 months out·
202572761 ha4.6%
2024981,238 ha7.4%
20231321,121 ha6.7%
20223082 ha0.49%
20211937 ha0.22%
202035217 ha1.3%
20191945 ha0.27%
2018176 months out·
201749··
201615··
201552··
201486··
201354··
2012 (11 months)39··

Detections from February 2012 (S-NPP); burnt area from July 2018, so whole years of it from 2019.

Source

Seen from space by American and European satellites: not fires reported on the ground.

How we worked this out

What we changed: we counted FIRMS’s detections (presumed vegetation fires only) by the 2026 ward their position falls in, and summed CLMS’s burned fraction times each pixel’s area over each ward; municipalities, districts and provinces are the sums of their wards.

Fire detections: we acknowledge the use of data and/or imagery from NASA’s Fire Information for Resource Management System (FIRMS), part of NASA’s LANCE (VIIRS 375 m, S-NPP and NOAA-20). Burnt area: generated using European Union’s Copernicus Land Monitoring Service information (Burnt Area 300 m version 4, DOI 10.2909/8fa58061-28ab-49bb-9b77-c26b50733e34), modified; this does not mean the European Union endorses us.

Dataset: burnt area and fire, release of 12 November 2026.

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