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Heat in Ward 15, Senqu

Summer 2025/26: the ground in Ward 15, Senqu reached about 31 °C on clear mornings. That is the ground (roofs, roads, soil), not the air. The 10th hottest of 13 summers since 2014. In summer the ground here reads −1.5 °C against its municipality’s average (since 2014).

Land surface temperature is how hot the ground itself is: roofs, roads, bare soil and leaves, as a satellite sees them from above. Landsat passes at about 10 in the morning and sees only through clear skies. It is not the air temperature a weather station gives: on a sunny day the ground is often 10 to 20 degrees hotter than the air, and hard, dark, dry surfaces heat up most while trees, grass and water stay cooler.

What it is not: not the afternoon peak, not the night, not the air you feel in the shade, and not a reading at any one house. A month with clouds rests on few clear looks.

Summer 2025/26

Every summer since 1987

Summer 1986 to 87: 31.6 °CSummer 1988 to 89: 26.0 °CSummer 1989 to 90: 24.8 °CSummer 1990 to 91: 29.6 °CSummer 1992 to 93: 39.3 °CSummer 1993 to 94: 24.9 °CSummer 1994 to 95: 35.1 °CSummer 1995 to 96: 24.9 °CSummer 1996 to 97: 28.5 °CSummer 1997 to 98: 31.6 °CSummer 1998 to 99: 29.5 °CSummer 2000 to 01: 30.2 °CSummer 2001 to 02: 27.7 °CSummer 2002 to 03: 32.6 °CSummer 2006 to 07: 31.4 °CSummer 2007 to 08: 33.7 °CSummer 2011 to 12: 32.6 °CSummer 2012 to 13: 31.7 °CSummer 2013 to 14: 31.5 °CSummer 2014 to 15: 32.1 °CSummer 2015 to 16: 36.3 °CSummer 2016 to 17: 32.2 °CSummer 2017 to 18: 33.1 °CSummer 2018 to 19: 35.9 °CSummer 2019 to 20: 31.6 °CSummer 2020 to 21: 30.1 °CSummer 2021 to 22: 29.2 °CSummer 2022 to 23: 30.6 °CSummer 2023 to 24: 32.5 °CSummer 2024 to 25: 32.4 °CSummer 2025 to 26: 30.8 °C199019952000200520102015202020252026
Each summer (December to February, named by the year it ends) on clear mornings. Bars start at 22 °C, not zero. Darker: Landsat 8 and 9 (from 2014); lighter: Landsat 5 and 7. A gap is a summer seen too little.
Show the numbers
Land surface temperature each summer, 1987 to 2026: every figure
When or whatFigure
Summer 1986 to 8731.6 °C
Summer 1988 to 8926.0 °C
Summer 1989 to 9024.8 °C
Summer 1990 to 9129.6 °C
Summer 1992 to 9339.3 °C
Summer 1993 to 9424.9 °C
Summer 1994 to 9535.1 °C
Summer 1995 to 9624.9 °C
Summer 1996 to 9728.5 °C
Summer 1997 to 9831.6 °C
Summer 1998 to 9929.5 °C
Summer 2000 to 0130.2 °C
Summer 2001 to 0227.7 °C
Summer 2002 to 0332.6 °C
Summer 2006 to 0731.4 °C
Summer 2007 to 0833.7 °C
Summer 2011 to 1232.6 °C
Summer 2012 to 1331.7 °C
Summer 2013 to 1431.5 °C
Summer 2014 to 1532.1 °C
Summer 2015 to 1636.3 °C
Summer 2016 to 1732.2 °C
Summer 2017 to 1833.1 °C
Summer 2018 to 1935.9 °C
Summer 2019 to 2031.6 °C
Summer 2020 to 2130.1 °C
Summer 2021 to 2229.2 °C
Summer 2022 to 2330.6 °C
Summer 2023 to 2432.5 °C
Summer 2024 to 2532.4 °C
Summer 2025 to 2630.8 °C

The shape of a year

January: 33.1 °CFebruary: 29.8 °CMarch: 25.8 °CApril: 20.7 °CMay: 16.9 °CJune: 13.8 °CJuly: 13.5 °CAugust: 19.1 °CSeptember: 25.3 °COctober: 31.3 °CNovember: 33.4 °CDecember: 33.6 °CJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec
Each month’s average since 2014, clear mornings. Bars start at 11 °C.
Show the numbers
Land surface temperature by calendar month, since 2014: every figure
When or whatFigure
January33.1 °C
February29.8 °C
March25.8 °C
April20.7 °C
May16.9 °C
June13.8 °C
July13.5 °C
August19.1 °C
September25.3 °C
October31.3 °C
November33.4 °C
December33.6 °C

Month by month

MonthLand surface temperatureClear looks
October 202629.7 °C8.3
September 202622.8 °C2.6
August 202619.0 °C4.6
July 202611.2 °C3.7
June 202613.6 °C4.5
May 202614.4 °C5.1
April 202620.4 °C2.3
March 202624.8 °C4.8
February 202628.0 °C5.5
January 202633.5 °C7.0
December 202530.9 °C3.8
November 202532.4 °C5.1
October 202528.2 °C4.0
September 202524.2 °C5.4
August 202517.1 °C4.8
July 202512.7 °C2.1
June 202513.0 °C1.0
May 202518.2 °C5.3
April 202519.8 °C5.4
March 202523.8 °C4.8
February 202531.0 °C3.5
January 202530.8 °C5.7
December 202435.5 °C7.5
November 202432.7 °C4.0

“Clear looks” is how many times the average 240 m patch of the place was seen through clear sky that month. Under one, part of the place was not seen at all, so the figure leans on the part that was.

Senqu and its wards · Every municipality, ranked

Source

Measured from space by the American Landsat satellites: the ground, not the air.

How we worked this out

Landsat 5 to 2011, Landsat 7 to bridge the gaps, Landsat 8 and 9 from 2013: different satellites pass at slightly different times, so compare summers within the same years first.

What we changed: we kept only the clear land cells (no cloud, cloud shadow, snow or water, with a margin round each cloud), read them at 480 m, and averaged them over each 2026 ward each month; larger places are the sums of their wards.

Landsat imagery courtesy of the U.S. Geological Survey (Landsat Collection 2 surface temperature, through Digital Earth Africa’s copy).

Dataset: land surface temperature by ward, release of 13 November 2026.

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