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Heat in Ward 14, Winnie Madikizela-Mandela

Summer 2025/26: the ground in Ward 14, Winnie Madikizela-Mandela reached about 34 °C on clear mornings. That is the ground (roofs, roads, soil), not the air. The 6th hottest of 11 summers since 2014. In summer the ground here reads −1.9 °C against its municipality’s average (since 2014).

Land surface temperature is how hot the ground itself is: roofs, roads, bare soil and leaves, as a satellite sees them from above. Landsat passes at about 10 in the morning and sees only through clear skies. It is not the air temperature a weather station gives: on a sunny day the ground is often 10 to 20 degrees hotter than the air, and hard, dark, dry surfaces heat up most while trees, grass and water stay cooler.

What it is not: not the afternoon peak, not the night, not the air you feel in the shade, and not a reading at any one house. A month with clouds rests on few clear looks.

Summer 2025/26

Every summer since 1991

Summer 1990 to 91: 29.3 °CSummer 1994 to 95: 33.6 °CSummer 1996 to 97: 32.8 °CSummer 1997 to 98: 37.2 °CSummer 1998 to 99: 29.0 °CSummer 1999 to 00: 29.6 °CSummer 2000 to 01: 33.3 °CSummer 2001 to 02: 29.9 °CSummer 2002 to 03: 33.5 °CSummer 2006 to 07: 31.4 °CSummer 2012 to 13: 31.1 °CSummer 2015 to 16: 38.5 °CSummer 2016 to 17: 29.3 °CSummer 2017 to 18: 29.3 °CSummer 2018 to 19: 31.4 °CSummer 2019 to 20: 34.3 °CSummer 2020 to 21: 32.4 °CSummer 2021 to 22: 33.8 °CSummer 2022 to 23: 34.3 °CSummer 2023 to 24: 31.1 °CSummer 2024 to 25: 34.3 °CSummer 2025 to 26: 33.5 °C19952000200520102015202020252026
Each summer (December to February, named by the year it ends) on clear mornings. Bars start at 27 °C, not zero. Darker: Landsat 8 and 9 (from 2014); lighter: Landsat 5 and 7. A gap is a summer seen too little.
Show the numbers
Land surface temperature each summer, 1991 to 2026: every figure
When or whatFigure
Summer 1990 to 9129.3 °C
Summer 1994 to 9533.6 °C
Summer 1996 to 9732.8 °C
Summer 1997 to 9837.2 °C
Summer 1998 to 9929.0 °C
Summer 1999 to 0029.6 °C
Summer 2000 to 0133.3 °C
Summer 2001 to 0229.9 °C
Summer 2002 to 0333.5 °C
Summer 2006 to 0731.4 °C
Summer 2012 to 1331.1 °C
Summer 2015 to 1638.5 °C
Summer 2016 to 1729.3 °C
Summer 2017 to 1829.3 °C
Summer 2018 to 1931.4 °C
Summer 2019 to 2034.3 °C
Summer 2020 to 2132.4 °C
Summer 2021 to 2233.8 °C
Summer 2022 to 2334.3 °C
Summer 2023 to 2431.1 °C
Summer 2024 to 2534.3 °C
Summer 2025 to 2633.5 °C

The shape of a year

January: 33.1 °CFebruary: 32.9 °CMarch: 29.8 °CApril: 25.1 °CMay: 22.5 °CJune: 19.0 °CJuly: 19.9 °CAugust: 22.6 °CSeptember: 27.5 °COctober: 32.2 °CNovember: 32.5 °CDecember: 33.1 °CJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec
Each month’s average since 2014, clear mornings. Bars start at 17 °C.
Show the numbers
Land surface temperature by calendar month, since 2014: every figure
When or whatFigure
January33.1 °C
February32.9 °C
March29.8 °C
April25.1 °C
May22.5 °C
June19.0 °C
July19.9 °C
August22.6 °C
September27.5 °C
October32.2 °C
November32.5 °C
December33.1 °C

Month by month

MonthLand surface temperatureClear looks
October 202629.0 °C2.6
September 202626.1 °C5.8
August 202623.6 °C4.1
July 202621.8 °C3.6
June 202620.6 °C2.8
May 202624.6 °C3.2
April 202629.1 °C6.5
March 202631.0 °C2.6
February 202635.2 °C6.3
January 202634.8 °C4.1
December 202530.6 °C2.1
November 202530.5 °C1.6
October 202534.4 °C5.3
September 202529.9 °C2.2
August 202522.1 °C5.0
July 202521.0 °C4.0
June 202519.7 °C5.4
May 202522.2 °C6.3
April 202523.3 °C2.7
March 202528.7 °C6.8
February 2025Seen too little0.1
January 202532.8 °C0.8
December 202435.7 °C2.3
November 202427.7 °C0.9

“Clear looks” is how many times the average 240 m patch of the place was seen through clear sky that month. Under one, part of the place was not seen at all, so the figure leans on the part that was.

Winnie Madikizela-Mandela and its wards · Every municipality, ranked

Source

Measured from space by the American Landsat satellites: the ground, not the air.

How we worked this out

Landsat 5 to 2011, Landsat 7 to bridge the gaps, Landsat 8 and 9 from 2013: different satellites pass at slightly different times, so compare summers within the same years first.

What we changed: we kept only the clear land cells (no cloud, cloud shadow, snow or water, with a margin round each cloud), read them at 480 m, and averaged them over each 2026 ward each month; larger places are the sums of their wards.

Landsat imagery courtesy of the U.S. Geological Survey (Landsat Collection 2 surface temperature, through Digital Earth Africa’s copy).

Dataset: land surface temperature by ward, release of 13 November 2026.

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