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Heat in Ward 48, Mangaung

Summer 2025/26: the ground in Ward 48, Mangaung reached about 36 °C on clear mornings. That is the ground (roofs, roads, soil), not the air. The 11th hottest of 13 summers since 2014. In summer the ground here reads about the same as its municipality’s average (since 2014).

Land surface temperature is how hot the ground itself is: roofs, roads, bare soil and leaves, as a satellite sees them from above. Landsat passes at about 10 in the morning and sees only through clear skies. It is not the air temperature a weather station gives: on a sunny day the ground is often 10 to 20 degrees hotter than the air, and hard, dark, dry surfaces heat up most while trees, grass and water stay cooler.

What it is not: not the afternoon peak, not the night, not the air you feel in the shade, and not a reading at any one house. A month with clouds rests on few clear looks.

Summer 2025/26

Every summer since 1987

Summer 1986 to 87: 34.7 °CSummer 1988 to 89: 30.0 °CSummer 1992 to 93: 37.0 °CSummer 1994 to 95: 37.1 °CSummer 1996 to 97: 32.8 °CSummer 1997 to 98: 34.7 °CSummer 2000 to 01: 42.9 °CSummer 2001 to 02: 36.8 °CSummer 2002 to 03: 40.0 °CSummer 2006 to 07: 42.0 °CSummer 2011 to 12: 34.6 °CSummer 2012 to 13: 36.6 °CSummer 2013 to 14: 38.8 °CSummer 2014 to 15: 39.4 °CSummer 2015 to 16: 41.1 °CSummer 2016 to 17: 39.6 °CSummer 2017 to 18: 42.2 °CSummer 2018 to 19: 41.2 °CSummer 2019 to 20: 32.5 °CSummer 2020 to 21: 36.2 °CSummer 2021 to 22: 33.2 °CSummer 2022 to 23: 37.2 °CSummer 2023 to 24: 39.7 °CSummer 2024 to 25: 40.7 °CSummer 2025 to 26: 35.8 °C199019952000200520102015202020252026
Each summer (December to February, named by the year it ends) on clear mornings. Bars start at 28 °C, not zero. Darker: Landsat 8 and 9 (from 2014); lighter: Landsat 5 and 7. A gap is a summer seen too little.
Show the numbers
Land surface temperature each summer, 1987 to 2026: every figure
When or whatFigure
Summer 1986 to 8734.7 °C
Summer 1988 to 8930.0 °C
Summer 1992 to 9337.0 °C
Summer 1994 to 9537.1 °C
Summer 1996 to 9732.8 °C
Summer 1997 to 9834.7 °C
Summer 2000 to 0142.9 °C
Summer 2001 to 0236.8 °C
Summer 2002 to 0340.0 °C
Summer 2006 to 0742.0 °C
Summer 2011 to 1234.6 °C
Summer 2012 to 1336.6 °C
Summer 2013 to 1438.8 °C
Summer 2014 to 1539.4 °C
Summer 2015 to 1641.1 °C
Summer 2016 to 1739.6 °C
Summer 2017 to 1842.2 °C
Summer 2018 to 1941.2 °C
Summer 2019 to 2032.5 °C
Summer 2020 to 2136.2 °C
Summer 2021 to 2233.2 °C
Summer 2022 to 2337.2 °C
Summer 2023 to 2439.7 °C
Summer 2024 to 2540.7 °C
Summer 2025 to 2635.8 °C

The shape of a year

January: 38.0 °CFebruary: 36.1 °CMarch: 30.5 °CApril: 24.9 °CMay: 21.0 °CJune: 15.5 °CJuly: 16.2 °CAugust: 21.8 °CSeptember: 30.1 °COctober: 36.5 °CNovember: 38.3 °CDecember: 41.1 °CJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec
Each month’s average since 2014, clear mornings. Bars start at 13 °C.
Show the numbers
Land surface temperature by calendar month, since 2014: every figure
When or whatFigure
January38.0 °C
February36.1 °C
March30.5 °C
April24.9 °C
May21.0 °C
June15.5 °C
July16.2 °C
August21.8 °C
September30.1 °C
October36.5 °C
November38.3 °C
December41.1 °C

Month by month

MonthLand surface temperatureClear looks
October 202634.8 °C2.8
September 202629.1 °C1.8
August 202623.1 °C2.5
July 202615.8 °C2.4
June 202617.4 °C2.9
May 202618.4 °C1.3
April 202621.2 °C0.7
March 202628.3 °C1.2
February 202633.2 °C2.7
January 202639.2 °C2.7
December 202535.1 °C1.1
November 202535.0 °C3.6
October 202530.0 °C2.2
September 202528.3 °C3.0
August 202519.6 °C2.5
July 202515.2 °C2.3
June 202515.0 °C2.4
May 202519.5 °C2.2
April 202524.0 °C1.6
March 202533.7 °C1.0
February 202537.1 °C1.7
January 202539.9 °C1.0
December 202445.2 °C2.8
November 202441.1 °C2.7

“Clear looks” is how many times the average 240 m patch of the place was seen through clear sky that month. Under one, part of the place was not seen at all, so the figure leans on the part that was.

Mangaung and its wards · Every municipality, ranked

Source

Measured from space by the American Landsat satellites: the ground, not the air.

How we worked this out

Landsat 5 to 2011, Landsat 7 to bridge the gaps, Landsat 8 and 9 from 2013: different satellites pass at slightly different times, so compare summers within the same years first.

What we changed: we kept only the clear land cells (no cloud, cloud shadow, snow or water, with a margin round each cloud), read them at 480 m, and averaged them over each 2026 ward each month; larger places are the sums of their wards.

Landsat imagery courtesy of the U.S. Geological Survey (Landsat Collection 2 surface temperature, through Digital Earth Africa’s copy).

Dataset: land surface temperature by ward, release of 13 November 2026.

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