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Heat in Ward 20, The Msunduzi

Summer 2025/26: the ground in Ward 20, The Msunduzi reached about 31 °C on clear mornings. That is the ground (roofs, roads, soil), not the air. The 10th hottest of 11 summers since 2014. In summer the ground here reads about the same as its municipality’s average (since 2014).

Land surface temperature is how hot the ground itself is: roofs, roads, bare soil and leaves, as a satellite sees them from above. Landsat passes at about 10 in the morning and sees only through clear skies. It is not the air temperature a weather station gives: on a sunny day the ground is often 10 to 20 degrees hotter than the air, and hard, dark, dry surfaces heat up most while trees, grass and water stay cooler.

What it is not: not the afternoon peak, not the night, not the air you feel in the shade, and not a reading at any one house. A month with clouds rests on few clear looks.

Summer 2025/26

Every summer since 1991

Summer 1990 to 91: 30.3 °CSummer 1995 to 96: 30.2 °CSummer 1996 to 97: 32.0 °CSummer 1997 to 98: 33.4 °CSummer 1998 to 99: 29.7 °CSummer 1999 to 00: 32.0 °CSummer 2000 to 01: 32.5 °CSummer 2001 to 02: 31.0 °CSummer 2002 to 03: 33.2 °CSummer 2006 to 07: 36.7 °CSummer 2012 to 13: 32.0 °CSummer 2015 to 16: 33.4 °CSummer 2016 to 17: 37.4 °CSummer 2017 to 18: 38.2 °CSummer 2018 to 19: 32.4 °CSummer 2019 to 20: 36.3 °CSummer 2020 to 21: 38.1 °CSummer 2021 to 22: 34.6 °CSummer 2022 to 23: 35.7 °CSummer 2023 to 24: 35.5 °CSummer 2024 to 25: 30.4 °CSummer 2025 to 26: 31.3 °C19952000200520102015202020252026
Each summer (December to February, named by the year it ends) on clear mornings. Bars start at 27 °C, not zero. Darker: Landsat 8 and 9 (from 2014); lighter: Landsat 5 and 7. A gap is a summer seen too little.
Show the numbers
Land surface temperature each summer, 1991 to 2026: every figure
When or whatFigure
Summer 1990 to 9130.3 °C
Summer 1995 to 9630.2 °C
Summer 1996 to 9732.0 °C
Summer 1997 to 9833.4 °C
Summer 1998 to 9929.7 °C
Summer 1999 to 0032.0 °C
Summer 2000 to 0132.5 °C
Summer 2001 to 0231.0 °C
Summer 2002 to 0333.2 °C
Summer 2006 to 0736.7 °C
Summer 2012 to 1332.0 °C
Summer 2015 to 1633.4 °C
Summer 2016 to 1737.4 °C
Summer 2017 to 1838.2 °C
Summer 2018 to 1932.4 °C
Summer 2019 to 2036.3 °C
Summer 2020 to 2138.1 °C
Summer 2021 to 2234.6 °C
Summer 2022 to 2335.7 °C
Summer 2023 to 2435.5 °C
Summer 2024 to 2530.4 °C
Summer 2025 to 2631.3 °C

The shape of a year

January: 35.8 °CFebruary: 32.2 °CMarch: 32.3 °CApril: 25.6 °CMay: 21.4 °CJune: 18.0 °CJuly: 18.8 °CAugust: 22.9 °CSeptember: 29.4 °COctober: 32.1 °CNovember: 33.8 °CDecember: 35.8 °CJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec
Each month’s average since 2014, clear mornings. Bars start at 15 °C.
Show the numbers
Land surface temperature by calendar month, since 2014: every figure
When or whatFigure
January35.8 °C
February32.2 °C
March32.3 °C
April25.6 °C
May21.4 °C
June18.0 °C
July18.8 °C
August22.9 °C
September29.4 °C
October32.1 °C
November33.8 °C
December35.8 °C

Month by month

MonthLand surface temperatureClear looks
October 202630.5 °C4.0
September 202628.0 °C4.2
August 202621.5 °C2.7
July 202618.0 °C5.2
June 202618.8 °C3.4
May 202621.1 °C7.7
April 202627.6 °C6.0
March 202630.5 °C1.6
February 202632.6 °C6.3
January 202637.1 °C4.0
December 202524.3 °C1.5
November 202529.8 °C1.0
October 202533.0 °C4.7
September 202528.6 °C2.0
August 202522.1 °C1.7
July 202517.9 °C5.0
June 202517.9 °C5.2
May 202521.3 °C5.7
April 202523.7 °C2.0
March 202529.1 °C6.0
February 202525.0 °C1.0
January 202532.5 °C2.0
December 202433.7 °C2.7
November 202429.4 °C1.4

“Clear looks” is how many times the average 240 m patch of the place was seen through clear sky that month. Under one, part of the place was not seen at all, so the figure leans on the part that was.

The Msunduzi and its wards · Every municipality, ranked

Source

Measured from space by the American Landsat satellites: the ground, not the air.

How we worked this out

Landsat 5 to 2011, Landsat 7 to bridge the gaps, Landsat 8 and 9 from 2013: different satellites pass at slightly different times, so compare summers within the same years first.

What we changed: we kept only the clear land cells (no cloud, cloud shadow, snow or water, with a margin round each cloud), read them at 480 m, and averaged them over each 2026 ward each month; larger places are the sums of their wards.

Landsat imagery courtesy of the U.S. Geological Survey (Landsat Collection 2 surface temperature, through Digital Earth Africa’s copy).

Dataset: land surface temperature by ward, release of 13 November 2026.

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