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Heat in Ward 14, Mfolozi

Summer 2025/26: the ground in Ward 14, Mfolozi reached about 39 °C on clear mornings. That is the ground (roofs, roads, soil), not the air. The hottest summer since 2014. In summer the ground here reads about the same as its municipality’s average (since 2014).

Land surface temperature is how hot the ground itself is: roofs, roads, bare soil and leaves, as a satellite sees them from above. Landsat passes at about 10 in the morning and sees only through clear skies. It is not the air temperature a weather station gives: on a sunny day the ground is often 10 to 20 degrees hotter than the air, and hard, dark, dry surfaces heat up most while trees, grass and water stay cooler.

What it is not: not the afternoon peak, not the night, not the air you feel in the shade, and not a reading at any one house. A month with clouds rests on few clear looks.

Summer 2025/26

Every summer since 1987

Summer 1986 to 87: 35.7 °CSummer 1998 to 99: 36.3 °CSummer 2000 to 01: 36.7 °CSummer 2015 to 16: 38.7 °CSummer 2016 to 17: 37.3 °CSummer 2017 to 18: 34.6 °CSummer 2021 to 22: 38.7 °CSummer 2022 to 23: 37.4 °CSummer 2025 to 26: 39.1 °C199019952000200520102015202020252026
Each summer (December to February, named by the year it ends) on clear mornings. Bars start at 32 °C, not zero. Darker: Landsat 8 and 9 (from 2014); lighter: Landsat 5 and 7. A gap is a summer seen too little.
Show the numbers
Land surface temperature each summer, 1987 to 2026: every figure
When or whatFigure
Summer 1986 to 8735.7 °C
Summer 1998 to 9936.3 °C
Summer 2000 to 0136.7 °C
Summer 2015 to 1638.7 °C
Summer 2016 to 1737.3 °C
Summer 2017 to 1834.6 °C
Summer 2021 to 2238.7 °C
Summer 2022 to 2337.4 °C
Summer 2025 to 2639.1 °C

The shape of a year

January: 37.0 °CFebruary: 36.6 °CMarch: 34.2 °CApril: 30.6 °CMay: 25.6 °CJune: 21.9 °CJuly: 21.8 °CAugust: 25.8 °CSeptember: 29.9 °COctober: 32.1 °CNovember: 35.6 °CDecember: 38.5 °CJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec
Each month’s average since 2014, clear mornings. Bars start at 19 °C.
Show the numbers
Land surface temperature by calendar month, since 2014: every figure
When or whatFigure
January37.0 °C
February36.6 °C
March34.2 °C
April30.6 °C
May25.6 °C
June21.9 °C
July21.8 °C
August25.8 °C
September29.9 °C
October32.1 °C
November35.6 °C
December38.5 °C

Month by month

MonthLand surface temperatureClear looks
October 2026Seen too little0.1
September 202628.9 °C1.3
August 202625.9 °C2.1
July 202623.2 °C2.2
June 202623.1 °C0.8
May 202627.2 °C2.0
April 202632.0 °C2.0
March 202638.3 °C0.8
February 202639.4 °C1.5
January 202638.7 °C0.3
December 2025Seen too little0.0
November 2025Seen too little0.1
October 202533.0 °C0.4
September 202530.7 °C0.7
August 202525.1 °C2.1
July 202521.1 °C1.5
June 202521.8 °C2.9
May 202524.5 °C1.5
April 2025Seen too little0.0
March 202533.1 °C0.7
February 2025Seen too little0.0
January 202531.7 °C0.8
December 2024Seen too little0.1
November 2024Seen too little0.2

“Clear looks” is how many times the average 240 m patch of the place was seen through clear sky that month. Under one, part of the place was not seen at all, so the figure leans on the part that was.

Mfolozi and its wards · Every municipality, ranked

Source

Measured from space by the American Landsat satellites: the ground, not the air.

How we worked this out

Landsat 5 to 2011, Landsat 7 to bridge the gaps, Landsat 8 and 9 from 2013: different satellites pass at slightly different times, so compare summers within the same years first.

What we changed: we kept only the clear land cells (no cloud, cloud shadow, snow or water, with a margin round each cloud), read them at 480 m, and averaged them over each 2026 ward each month; larger places are the sums of their wards.

Landsat imagery courtesy of the U.S. Geological Survey (Landsat Collection 2 surface temperature, through Digital Earth Africa’s copy).

Dataset: land surface temperature by ward, release of 13 November 2026.

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