Unmapped Dataworks

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Heat in Ward 44, Rustenburg

Summer 2025/26: the ground in Ward 44, Rustenburg reached about 34 °C on clear mornings. That is the ground (roofs, roads, soil), not the air. The coolest summer since 2014. In summer the ground here reads +1.8 °C against its municipality’s average (since 2014).

Land surface temperature is how hot the ground itself is: roofs, roads, bare soil and leaves, as a satellite sees them from above. Landsat passes at about 10 in the morning and sees only through clear skies. It is not the air temperature a weather station gives: on a sunny day the ground is often 10 to 20 degrees hotter than the air, and hard, dark, dry surfaces heat up most while trees, grass and water stay cooler.

What it is not: not the afternoon peak, not the night, not the air you feel in the shade, and not a reading at any one house. A month with clouds rests on few clear looks.

Summer 2025/26

Every summer since 1987

Summer 1986 to 87: 39.5 °CSummer 1990 to 91: 36.4 °CSummer 1992 to 93: 39.6 °CSummer 1997 to 98: 34.6 °CSummer 2000 to 01: 40.9 °CSummer 2002 to 03: 44.9 °CSummer 2006 to 07: 42.2 °CSummer 2012 to 13: 37.5 °CSummer 2013 to 14: 41.2 °CSummer 2014 to 15: 40.0 °CSummer 2015 to 16: 44.0 °CSummer 2017 to 18: 46.5 °CSummer 2018 to 19: 41.3 °CSummer 2021 to 22: 34.5 °CSummer 2022 to 23: 35.8 °CSummer 2023 to 24: 39.6 °CSummer 2024 to 25: 48.3 °CSummer 2025 to 26: 34.2 °C199019952000200520102015202020252026
Each summer (December to February, named by the year it ends) on clear mornings. Bars start at 32 °C, not zero. Darker: Landsat 8 and 9 (from 2014); lighter: Landsat 5 and 7. A gap is a summer seen too little.
Show the numbers
Land surface temperature each summer, 1987 to 2026: every figure
When or whatFigure
Summer 1986 to 8739.5 °C
Summer 1990 to 9136.4 °C
Summer 1992 to 9339.6 °C
Summer 1997 to 9834.6 °C
Summer 2000 to 0140.9 °C
Summer 2002 to 0344.9 °C
Summer 2006 to 0742.2 °C
Summer 2012 to 1337.5 °C
Summer 2013 to 1441.2 °C
Summer 2014 to 1540.0 °C
Summer 2015 to 1644.0 °C
Summer 2017 to 1846.5 °C
Summer 2018 to 1941.3 °C
Summer 2021 to 2234.5 °C
Summer 2022 to 2335.8 °C
Summer 2023 to 2439.6 °C
Summer 2024 to 2548.3 °C
Summer 2025 to 2634.2 °C

The shape of a year

January: 39.0 °CFebruary: 38.3 °CMarch: 34.0 °CApril: 29.6 °CMay: 24.6 °CJune: 21.0 °CJuly: 22.7 °CAugust: 28.4 °CSeptember: 36.9 °COctober: 42.8 °CNovember: 42.9 °CDecember: 41.7 °CJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec
Each month’s average since 2014, clear mornings. Bars start at 19 °C.
Show the numbers
Land surface temperature by calendar month, since 2014: every figure
When or whatFigure
January39.0 °C
February38.3 °C
March34.0 °C
April29.6 °C
May24.6 °C
June21.0 °C
July22.7 °C
August28.4 °C
September36.9 °C
October42.8 °C
November42.9 °C
December41.7 °C

Month by month

MonthLand surface temperatureClear looks
October 202643.2 °C4.4
September 202634.2 °C1.9
August 202627.8 °C3.7
July 202620.9 °C3.7
June 202621.6 °C2.2
May 202621.7 °C3.3
April 202633.3 °C1.1
March 202635.5 °C1.1
February 202634.1 °C2.6
January 202635.3 °C0.3
December 202533.3 °C1.0
November 202535.8 °C3.3
October 202531.4 °C1.2
September 202533.1 °C3.6
August 202526.3 °C4.4
July 202521.1 °C3.2
June 202518.7 °C4.5
May 202520.3 °C4.4
April 202523.3 °C1.3
March 202532.0 °C2.3
February 2025Seen too little0.1
January 202539.9 °C1.7
December 202456.7 °C2.2
November 202449.3 °C3.3

“Clear looks” is how many times the average 240 m patch of the place was seen through clear sky that month. Under one, part of the place was not seen at all, so the figure leans on the part that was.

Rustenburg and its wards · Every municipality, ranked

Source

Measured from space by the American Landsat satellites: the ground, not the air.

How we worked this out

Landsat 5 to 2011, Landsat 7 to bridge the gaps, Landsat 8 and 9 from 2013: different satellites pass at slightly different times, so compare summers within the same years first.

What we changed: we kept only the clear land cells (no cloud, cloud shadow, snow or water, with a margin round each cloud), read them at 480 m, and averaged them over each 2026 ward each month; larger places are the sums of their wards.

Landsat imagery courtesy of the U.S. Geological Survey (Landsat Collection 2 surface temperature, through Digital Earth Africa’s copy).

Dataset: land surface temperature by ward, release of 13 November 2026.

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