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Heat in Ward 2, City of Mbombela

Summer 2023/24: the ground in Ward 2, City of Mbombela reached about 38 °C on clear mornings. That is the ground (roofs, roads, soil), not the air. Only the summer of 2019/20 was hotter since 2014. In summer the ground here reads +2.7 °C against its municipality’s average (since 2014).

Land surface temperature is how hot the ground itself is: roofs, roads, bare soil and leaves, as a satellite sees them from above. Landsat passes at about 10 in the morning and sees only through clear skies. It is not the air temperature a weather station gives: on a sunny day the ground is often 10 to 20 degrees hotter than the air, and hard, dark, dry surfaces heat up most while trees, grass and water stay cooler.

What it is not: not the afternoon peak, not the night, not the air you feel in the shade, and not a reading at any one house. A month with clouds rests on few clear looks.

Summer 2023/24

Every summer since 1991

Summer 1990 to 91: 31.8 °CSummer 1994 to 95: 31.4 °CSummer 1997 to 98: 35.2 °CSummer 1999 to 00: 34.7 °CSummer 2001 to 02: 32.9 °CSummer 2006 to 07: 36.2 °CSummer 2012 to 13: 34.7 °CSummer 2013 to 14: 36.2 °CSummer 2018 to 19: 36.3 °CSummer 2019 to 20: 39.6 °CSummer 2021 to 22: 34.0 °CSummer 2022 to 23: 31.7 °CSummer 2023 to 24: 38.2 °C1995200020052010201520202024
Each summer (December to February, named by the year it ends) on clear mornings. Bars start at 29 °C, not zero. Darker: Landsat 8 and 9 (from 2014); lighter: Landsat 5 and 7. A gap is a summer seen too little.
Show the numbers
Land surface temperature each summer, 1991 to 2024: every figure
When or whatFigure
Summer 1990 to 9131.8 °C
Summer 1994 to 9531.4 °C
Summer 1997 to 9835.2 °C
Summer 1999 to 0034.7 °C
Summer 2001 to 0232.9 °C
Summer 2006 to 0736.2 °C
Summer 2012 to 1334.7 °C
Summer 2013 to 1436.2 °C
Summer 2018 to 1936.3 °C
Summer 2019 to 2039.6 °C
Summer 2021 to 2234.0 °C
Summer 2022 to 2331.7 °C
Summer 2023 to 2438.2 °C

The shape of a year

January: 36.3 °CFebruary: 36.8 °CMarch: 34.5 °CApril: 28.6 °CMay: 25.2 °CJune: 22.3 °CJuly: 22.1 °CAugust: 26.6 °CSeptember: 34.6 °COctober: 38.4 °CNovember: 36.6 °CDecember: 36.4 °CJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec
Each month’s average since 2014, clear mornings. Bars start at 20 °C.
Show the numbers
Land surface temperature by calendar month, since 2014: every figure
When or whatFigure
January36.3 °C
February36.8 °C
March34.5 °C
April28.6 °C
May25.2 °C
June22.3 °C
July22.1 °C
August26.6 °C
September34.6 °C
October38.4 °C
November36.6 °C
December36.4 °C

Month by month

MonthLand surface temperatureClear looks
October 202634.8 °C3.0
September 202632.9 °C2.0
August 202624.3 °C2.8
July 202621.2 °C2.9
June 202621.9 °C0.8
May 202624.2 °C2.9
April 2026Seen too little0.2
March 2026Seen too little0.0
February 202636.0 °C0.5
January 2026Seen too little0.1
December 2025Seen too little0.0
November 2025Seen too little0.0
October 202534.6 °C1.0
September 202532.6 °C3.1
August 202528.0 °C2.2
July 202521.7 °C1.9
June 202522.4 °C3.9
May 202524.6 °C1.9
April 202528.6 °C2.6
March 2025Seen too little0.0
February 2025Seen too little0.0
January 2025Seen too little0.2
December 2024Seen too little0.2
November 202434.6 °C2.3

“Clear looks” is how many times the average 240 m patch of the place was seen through clear sky that month. Under one, part of the place was not seen at all, so the figure leans on the part that was.

City of Mbombela and its wards · Every municipality, ranked

Source

Measured from space by the American Landsat satellites: the ground, not the air.

How we worked this out

Landsat 5 to 2011, Landsat 7 to bridge the gaps, Landsat 8 and 9 from 2013: different satellites pass at slightly different times, so compare summers within the same years first.

What we changed: we kept only the clear land cells (no cloud, cloud shadow, snow or water, with a margin round each cloud), read them at 480 m, and averaged them over each 2026 ward each month; larger places are the sums of their wards.

Landsat imagery courtesy of the U.S. Geological Survey (Landsat Collection 2 surface temperature, through Digital Earth Africa’s copy).

Dataset: land surface temperature by ward, release of 13 November 2026.

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