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Heat in Ward 32, Collins Chabane

Summer 2025/26: the ground in Ward 32, Collins Chabane reached about 37 °C on clear mornings. That is the ground (roofs, roads, soil), not the air. The coolest summer since 2014. In summer the ground here reads about the same as its municipality’s average (since 2014).

Land surface temperature is how hot the ground itself is: roofs, roads, bare soil and leaves, as a satellite sees them from above. Landsat passes at about 10 in the morning and sees only through clear skies. It is not the air temperature a weather station gives: on a sunny day the ground is often 10 to 20 degrees hotter than the air, and hard, dark, dry surfaces heat up most while trees, grass and water stay cooler.

What it is not: not the afternoon peak, not the night, not the air you feel in the shade, and not a reading at any one house. A month with clouds rests on few clear looks.

Summer 2025/26

Every summer since 1987

Summer 1986 to 87: 41.8 °CSummer 1992 to 93: 36.9 °CSummer 1994 to 95: 39.5 °CSummer 2002 to 03: 43.8 °CSummer 2006 to 07: 44.5 °CSummer 2012 to 13: 40.1 °CSummer 2013 to 14: 42.8 °CSummer 2015 to 16: 44.2 °CSummer 2017 to 18: 50.6 °CSummer 2018 to 19: 42.9 °CSummer 2019 to 20: 46.5 °CSummer 2020 to 21: 41.7 °CSummer 2022 to 23: 42.0 °CSummer 2023 to 24: 38.9 °CSummer 2024 to 25: 40.4 °CSummer 2025 to 26: 37.4 °C199019952000200520102015202020252026
Each summer (December to February, named by the year it ends) on clear mornings. Bars start at 34 °C, not zero. Darker: Landsat 8 and 9 (from 2014); lighter: Landsat 5 and 7. A gap is a summer seen too little.
Show the numbers
Land surface temperature each summer, 1987 to 2026: every figure
When or whatFigure
Summer 1986 to 8741.8 °C
Summer 1992 to 9336.9 °C
Summer 1994 to 9539.5 °C
Summer 2002 to 0343.8 °C
Summer 2006 to 0744.5 °C
Summer 2012 to 1340.1 °C
Summer 2013 to 1442.8 °C
Summer 2015 to 1644.2 °C
Summer 2017 to 1850.6 °C
Summer 2018 to 1942.9 °C
Summer 2019 to 2046.5 °C
Summer 2020 to 2141.7 °C
Summer 2022 to 2342.0 °C
Summer 2023 to 2438.9 °C
Summer 2024 to 2540.4 °C
Summer 2025 to 2637.4 °C

The shape of a year

January: 40.5 °CFebruary: 38.6 °CMarch: 35.3 °CApril: 33.9 °CMay: 30.1 °CJune: 27.0 °CJuly: 27.4 °CAugust: 32.7 °CSeptember: 40.1 °COctober: 47.4 °CNovember: 49.2 °CDecember: 47.8 °CJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec
Each month’s average since 2014, clear mornings. Bars start at 24 °C.
Show the numbers
Land surface temperature by calendar month, since 2014: every figure
When or whatFigure
January40.5 °C
February38.6 °C
March35.3 °C
April33.9 °C
May30.1 °C
June27.0 °C
July27.4 °C
August32.7 °C
September40.1 °C
October47.4 °C
November49.2 °C
December47.8 °C

Month by month

MonthLand surface temperatureClear looks
October 202642.7 °C3.2
September 202636.0 °C1.5
August 202630.3 °C5.3
July 202626.2 °C1.8
June 202626.0 °C2.1
May 202629.0 °C4.2
April 202632.4 °C0.4
March 202629.8 °C0.7
February 202639.2 °C1.8
January 202627.4 °C0.3
December 202545.6 °C3.0
November 202543.6 °C3.1
October 202544.9 °C4.1
September 202541.2 °C3.1
August 202532.6 °C3.4
July 202527.3 °C5.3
June 202527.2 °C3.4
May 202529.0 °C3.0
April 202533.7 °C3.7
March 202535.0 °C0.7
February 202536.6 °C1.2
January 202538.3 °C1.5
December 202446.2 °C2.2
November 202449.6 °C1.7

“Clear looks” is how many times the average 240 m patch of the place was seen through clear sky that month. Under one, part of the place was not seen at all, so the figure leans on the part that was.

Collins Chabane and its wards · Every municipality, ranked

Source

Measured from space by the American Landsat satellites: the ground, not the air.

How we worked this out

Landsat 5 to 2011, Landsat 7 to bridge the gaps, Landsat 8 and 9 from 2013: different satellites pass at slightly different times, so compare summers within the same years first.

What we changed: we kept only the clear land cells (no cloud, cloud shadow, snow or water, with a margin round each cloud), read them at 480 m, and averaged them over each 2026 ward each month; larger places are the sums of their wards.

Landsat imagery courtesy of the U.S. Geological Survey (Landsat Collection 2 surface temperature, through Digital Earth Africa’s copy).

Dataset: land surface temperature by ward, release of 13 November 2026.

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