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Fire in Nkandla

Fire in the twelve months to October 2026: 1,449 fire detections seen from space; 1,801 ha burnt in the 7 of those months with burnt area out. The most since 2012: 2019, 2,191.

Two readings from space. Fire detections are hot spots a VIIRS satellite saw as it passed, each about 375 m across, counted where they fall in the place: a big fire gives many, a short one between passes none. Burnt area is the ground that looks burnt afterwards, from Sentinel-3 at 300 m, in hectares. Neither is a fire report from the ground.

The last twelve months

Fire detections (most 419)November 2025: 13 fire detectionsDecember 2025: 17 fire detectionsJanuary 2026: 22 fire detectionsFebruary 2026: 41 fire detectionsMarch 2026: 5 fire detectionsApril 2026: 21 fire detectionsMay 2026: 152 fire detectionsJune 2026: 91 fire detectionsJuly 2026: 275 fire detectionsAugust 2026: 419 fire detectionsSeptember 2026: 242 fire detectionsOctober 2026: 151 fire detectionsHectares burnt (most 1,360)November 2025: 25 ha burnt (0.013% of the place)December 2025: 0.0 ha burnt (0.000% of the place)January 2026: 42 ha burnt (0.023% of the place)February 2026: 251 ha burnt (0.14% of the place)March 2026: 0.0 ha burnt (0.000% of the place)April 2026: 123 ha burnt (0.067% of the place)May 2026: 1,360 ha burnt (0.74% of the place)June 2026: not out yetJuly 2026: not out yetAugust 2026: not out yetSeptember 2026: not out yetOctober 2026: not out yetNovDecJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct
Fire detections and hectares burnt each month in Nkandla, November 2025 to October 2026. A flat tick is a month the source has not covered yet; burnt area comes out some weeks after the detections.
Show the numbers
Fire detections and hectares burnt each month in Nkandla, November 2025 to October 2026.: every figure
When or whatFigure
November 202513 fire detections
December 202517 fire detections
January 202622 fire detections
February 202641 fire detections
March 20265 fire detections
April 202621 fire detections
May 2026152 fire detections
June 202691 fire detections
July 2026275 fire detections
August 2026419 fire detections
September 2026242 fire detections
October 2026151 fire detections
November 202525 ha burnt (0.013% of the place)
December 20250.0 ha burnt (0.000% of the place)
January 202642 ha burnt (0.023% of the place)
February 2026251 ha burnt (0.14% of the place)
March 20260.0 ha burnt (0.000% of the place)
April 2026123 ha burnt (0.067% of the place)
May 20261,360 ha burnt (0.74% of the place)
June 2026not out yet
July 2026not out yet
August 2026not out yet
September 2026not out yet
October 2026not out yet
MonthDetectionsNominal or high confidenceNOAA-20 (second reading)BurntShare of the placeLand seen
October 2026151141152not out yet··
September 2026242219282not out yet··
August 2026419404413not out yet··
July 2026275270300not out yet··
June 20269189120not out yet··
May 20261521521581,360 ha0.74%100%
April 2026212119123 ha0.067%100%
March 20265520.0 ha0.000%100%
February 2026413964251 ha0.14%100%
January 202622182942 ha0.023%100%
December 2025171480.0 ha0.000%100%
November 202513122825 ha0.013%100%

NOAA-20 carries the same instrument as S-NPP and passes about 50 minutes apart, so its count is a second reading of the same fires, not extra fires. “Land seen” is the share of the place’s land the burnt-area product saw often enough that month to tell.

The worst years

By hectares burnt (whole years from 2019): 2024, 25,495 ha (13.9% of the place); 2019, 20,411 ha (11.1% of the place); 2021, 14,695 ha (8.0% of the place).

Every year since 2012

YearFire detectionsBurntShare of the place
2026 (10 months)1,4195 months out·
20251,0398,152 ha4.4%
20241,83925,495 ha13.9%
20231,72712,570 ha6.8%
20221,1508,609 ha4.7%
20211,83914,695 ha8.0%
20201,51111,460 ha6.2%
20192,19120,411 ha11.1%
20189816 months out·
20171,371··
2016773··
2015443··
20141,379··
20131,889··
2012 (11 months)1,616··

Detections from February 2012 (S-NPP); burnt area from July 2018, so whole years of it from 2019. A larger place’s figures are the sums of its 2026 wards.

Each ward

Places in each ward: © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Everything we hold for Nkandla, on one page

Source

Seen from space by American and European satellites: not fires reported on the ground.

How we worked this out

What we changed: we counted FIRMS’s detections (presumed vegetation fires only) by the 2026 ward their position falls in, and summed CLMS’s burned fraction times each pixel’s area over each ward; municipalities, districts and provinces are the sums of their wards.

Fire detections: we acknowledge the use of data and/or imagery from NASA’s Fire Information for Resource Management System (FIRMS), part of NASA’s LANCE (VIIRS 375 m, S-NPP and NOAA-20). Burnt area: generated using European Union’s Copernicus Land Monitoring Service information (Burnt Area 300 m version 4, DOI 10.2909/8fa58061-28ab-49bb-9b77-c26b50733e34), modified; this does not mean the European Union endorses us.

Dataset: burnt area and fire, release of 12 November 2026.

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