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Weather in Ward 4, Mossel Bay

This month here (1 to 5 November): hottest day 26.3 °C, 4.3 mm of rain; a normal November has 56 mm. Coldest night 13.9 °C on 2 November 2026.

Modelled estimates from a weather reanalysis, averaged over the whole place: not readings from a weather station, and not a forecast. Weather here is averaged over a 9 km grid; this ward overlaps 6 grid cells, each weighted by the ward’s area in it, and its neighbours draw on some of the same cells.

November so far, day by day

NovHigh °CLow °CRain mm
119.115.82.8
220.313.90.5
322.215.40.1
426.315.10.0
523.717.70.9

Highs and lows are for the South African day; rain is for the day to 02:00 the next morning (the weather model’s day ends at midnight UTC). The weather model runs about five days behind the weather, so the newest day here is usually five to twelve days ago. Only whole days are shown.

The last twelve months against normal

November: 21 mm, normal 56 mmNDecember: 21 mm, normal 39 mmDJanuary: 24 mm, normal 41 mmJFebruary: 78 mm, normal 35 mmFMarch: 25 mm, normal 48 mmMApril: 50 mm, normal 43 mmAMay: 163 mm, normal 38 mmMJune: 106 mm, normal 32 mmJJuly: 12 mm, normal 33 mmJAugust: 31 mm, normal 40 mmASeptember: 92 mm, normal 32 mmSOctober: 30 mm, normal 47 mmO
Rain each month, November 2025 to October 2026 (this month to 5 November 2026). Bars: rain. Lines: the 1991 to 2020 normal.
Show the numbers
Rain each month, November 2025 to October 2026 (this month to 5 November 2026).: every figure
When or whatFigure
November21 mm, normal 56 mm
December21 mm, normal 39 mm
January24 mm, normal 41 mm
February78 mm, normal 35 mm
March25 mm, normal 48 mm
April50 mm, normal 43 mm
May163 mm, normal 38 mm
June106 mm, normal 32 mm
July12 mm, normal 33 mm
August31 mm, normal 40 mm
September92 mm, normal 32 mm
October30 mm, normal 47 mm

Every year since 1991

1991: 434 mm (-10% on the normal)1992: 558 mm (+15% on the normal)1993: 618 mm (+28% on the normal)1994: 476 mm (-2% on the normal)1995: 569 mm (+18% on the normal)1996: 661 mm (+37% on the normal)1997: 418 mm (-14% on the normal)1998: 470 mm (-3% on the normal)1999: 423 mm (-13% on the normal)2000: 448 mm (-7% on the normal)2001: 480 mm (-1% on the normal)2002: 487 mm (+1% on the normal)2003: 497 mm (+3% on the normal)2004: 519 mm (+7% on the normal)2005: 412 mm (-15% on the normal)2006: 581 mm (+20% on the normal)2007: 516 mm (+7% on the normal)2008: 493 mm (+2% on the normal)2009: 370 mm (-24% on the normal)2010: 430 mm (-11% on the normal)2011: 523 mm (+8% on the normal)2012: 541 mm (+12% on the normal)2013: 503 mm (+4% on the normal)2014: 543 mm (+12% on the normal)2015: 564 mm (+17% on the normal)2016: 461 mm (-5% on the normal)2017: 372 mm (-23% on the normal)2018: 392 mm (-19% on the normal)2019: 341 mm (-30% on the normal)2020: 420 mm (-13% on the normal)2021: 594 mm (+23% on the normal)2022: 267 mm (-45% on the normal)2023: 506 mm (+5% on the normal)2024: 484 mm (+0% on the normal)2025: 310 mm (-36% on the normal)

19912025

Rain each year, 1991 to 2025. Up: wetter than the 1991 to 2020 normal (484 mm a year). Down: drier.
Show the numbers
Rain each year, 1991 to 2025.: every figure
When or whatFigure
1991434 mm (-10% on the normal)
1992558 mm (+15% on the normal)
1993618 mm (+28% on the normal)
1994476 mm (-2% on the normal)
1995569 mm (+18% on the normal)
1996661 mm (+37% on the normal)
1997418 mm (-14% on the normal)
1998470 mm (-3% on the normal)
1999423 mm (-13% on the normal)
2000448 mm (-7% on the normal)
2001480 mm (-1% on the normal)
2002487 mm (+1% on the normal)
2003497 mm (+3% on the normal)
2004519 mm (+7% on the normal)
2005412 mm (-15% on the normal)
2006581 mm (+20% on the normal)
2007516 mm (+7% on the normal)
2008493 mm (+2% on the normal)
2009370 mm (-24% on the normal)
2010430 mm (-11% on the normal)
2011523 mm (+8% on the normal)
2012541 mm (+12% on the normal)
2013503 mm (+4% on the normal)
2014543 mm (+12% on the normal)
2015564 mm (+17% on the normal)
2016461 mm (-5% on the normal)
2017372 mm (-23% on the normal)
2018392 mm (-19% on the normal)
2019341 mm (-30% on the normal)
2020420 mm (-13% on the normal)
2021594 mm (+23% on the normal)
2022267 mm (-45% on the normal)
2023506 mm (+5% on the normal)
2024484 mm (+0% on the normal)
2025310 mm (-36% on the normal)

Wettest: 1996 (661 mm). Driest: 2022 (267 mm). Hottest day since our daily figures start in 2023: 36.7 °C in March 2026.

A normal year here (1991 to 2020)

JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec
Rain mm413548433832334032475639
Mean °C20.821.019.917.815.813.512.913.314.616.417.819.7

Source

Modelled estimates from a weather reanalysis, averaged over the whole place: not readings from a weather station, and not a forecast. The weather model runs about five days behind the weather, so the newest day here is usually five to twelve days ago.

Contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026. Neither the European Commission nor ECMWF is responsible for any use that may be made of the Copernicus information or data it contains. Muñoz Sabater, J. (2019): ERA5-Land hourly data from 1950 to present, and ERA5-Land monthly averaged data from 1950 to present. Copernicus Climate Change Service (C3S) Climate Data Store (CDS). DOI 10.24381/cds.e2161bac and 10.24381/cds.68d2bb30. ERA5-Land on the Climate Data Store, under CC BY 4.0.

What we changed: we cut ERA5-Land to South Africa, averaged its 9 km grid cells over each ward, municipality, district and province by the area of the place in each cell (MDB boundaries, 2026), took each day’s high and low from 16 of its hourly values, added up days into months, and averaged 1991 to 2020 for the normals.

Dataset: rainfall and temperature by ward, release of 5 November 2026. The South African Weather Service issues the official forecasts and warnings.

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