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Weather in Ward 11, Mossel Bay

This month here (1 to 5 November): hottest day 23.6 °C, 4.1 mm of rain; a normal November has 55 mm. Coldest night 13.7 °C on 2 November 2026.

Modelled estimates from a weather reanalysis, averaged over the whole place: not readings from a weather station, and not a forecast. Weather here is averaged over a 9 km grid; this ward shares it with 3 neighbouring wards. It lies in one grid cell.

November so far, day by day

NovHigh °CLow °CRain mm
119.116.42.6
219.213.70.5
320.616.10.2
423.616.00.0
522.317.60.8

Highs and lows are for the South African day; rain is for the day to 02:00 the next morning (the weather model’s day ends at midnight UTC). The weather model runs about five days behind the weather, so the newest day here is usually five to twelve days ago. Only whole days are shown.

The last twelve months against normal

November: 19 mm, normal 55 mmNDecember: 22 mm, normal 39 mmDJanuary: 25 mm, normal 42 mmJFebruary: 79 mm, normal 35 mmFMarch: 27 mm, normal 47 mmMApril: 52 mm, normal 44 mmAMay: 153 mm, normal 39 mmMJune: 104 mm, normal 34 mmJJuly: 11 mm, normal 35 mmJAugust: 27 mm, normal 42 mmASeptember: 86 mm, normal 32 mmSOctober: 31 mm, normal 45 mmO
Rain each month, November 2025 to October 2026 (this month to 5 November 2026). Bars: rain. Lines: the 1991 to 2020 normal.
Show the numbers
Rain each month, November 2025 to October 2026 (this month to 5 November 2026).: every figure
When or whatFigure
November19 mm, normal 55 mm
December22 mm, normal 39 mm
January25 mm, normal 42 mm
February79 mm, normal 35 mm
March27 mm, normal 47 mm
April52 mm, normal 44 mm
May153 mm, normal 39 mm
June104 mm, normal 34 mm
July11 mm, normal 35 mm
August27 mm, normal 42 mm
September86 mm, normal 32 mm
October31 mm, normal 45 mm

Every year since 1991

1991: 436 mm (-11% on the normal)1992: 569 mm (+16% on the normal)1993: 622 mm (+27% on the normal)1994: 481 mm (-2% on the normal)1995: 551 mm (+13% on the normal)1996: 649 mm (+33% on the normal)1997: 416 mm (-15% on the normal)1998: 477 mm (-2% on the normal)1999: 421 mm (-14% on the normal)2000: 453 mm (-7% on the normal)2001: 472 mm (-3% on the normal)2002: 493 mm (+1% on the normal)2003: 493 mm (+1% on the normal)2004: 508 mm (+4% on the normal)2005: 414 mm (-15% on the normal)2006: 582 mm (+19% on the normal)2007: 511 mm (+5% on the normal)2008: 510 mm (+4% on the normal)2009: 379 mm (-22% on the normal)2010: 445 mm (-9% on the normal)2011: 539 mm (+10% on the normal)2012: 568 mm (+16% on the normal)2013: 494 mm (+1% on the normal)2014: 545 mm (+12% on the normal)2015: 554 mm (+13% on the normal)2016: 489 mm (+0% on the normal)2017: 385 mm (-21% on the normal)2018: 394 mm (-19% on the normal)2019: 359 mm (-27% on the normal)2020: 455 mm (-7% on the normal)2021: 607 mm (+24% on the normal)2022: 268 mm (-45% on the normal)2023: 518 mm (+6% on the normal)2024: 480 mm (-2% on the normal)2025: 315 mm (-36% on the normal)

19912025

Rain each year, 1991 to 2025. Up: wetter than the 1991 to 2020 normal (489 mm a year). Down: drier.
Show the numbers
Rain each year, 1991 to 2025.: every figure
When or whatFigure
1991436 mm (-11% on the normal)
1992569 mm (+16% on the normal)
1993622 mm (+27% on the normal)
1994481 mm (-2% on the normal)
1995551 mm (+13% on the normal)
1996649 mm (+33% on the normal)
1997416 mm (-15% on the normal)
1998477 mm (-2% on the normal)
1999421 mm (-14% on the normal)
2000453 mm (-7% on the normal)
2001472 mm (-3% on the normal)
2002493 mm (+1% on the normal)
2003493 mm (+1% on the normal)
2004508 mm (+4% on the normal)
2005414 mm (-15% on the normal)
2006582 mm (+19% on the normal)
2007511 mm (+5% on the normal)
2008510 mm (+4% on the normal)
2009379 mm (-22% on the normal)
2010445 mm (-9% on the normal)
2011539 mm (+10% on the normal)
2012568 mm (+16% on the normal)
2013494 mm (+1% on the normal)
2014545 mm (+12% on the normal)
2015554 mm (+13% on the normal)
2016489 mm (+0% on the normal)
2017385 mm (-21% on the normal)
2018394 mm (-19% on the normal)
2019359 mm (-27% on the normal)
2020455 mm (-7% on the normal)
2021607 mm (+24% on the normal)
2022268 mm (-45% on the normal)
2023518 mm (+6% on the normal)
2024480 mm (-2% on the normal)
2025315 mm (-36% on the normal)

Wettest: 1996 (649 mm). Driest: 2022 (268 mm). Hottest day since our daily figures start in 2023: 33.4 °C in March 2026.

A normal year here (1991 to 2020)

JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec
Rain mm423547443934354232455539
Mean °C20.620.819.717.615.813.713.113.414.516.217.519.5

Source

Modelled estimates from a weather reanalysis, averaged over the whole place: not readings from a weather station, and not a forecast. The weather model runs about five days behind the weather, so the newest day here is usually five to twelve days ago.

Contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026. Neither the European Commission nor ECMWF is responsible for any use that may be made of the Copernicus information or data it contains. Muñoz Sabater, J. (2019): ERA5-Land hourly data from 1950 to present, and ERA5-Land monthly averaged data from 1950 to present. Copernicus Climate Change Service (C3S) Climate Data Store (CDS). DOI 10.24381/cds.e2161bac and 10.24381/cds.68d2bb30. ERA5-Land on the Climate Data Store, under CC BY 4.0.

What we changed: we cut ERA5-Land to South Africa, averaged its 9 km grid cells over each ward, municipality, district and province by the area of the place in each cell (MDB boundaries, 2026), took each day’s high and low from 16 of its hourly values, added up days into months, and averaged 1991 to 2020 for the normals.

Dataset: rainfall and temperature by ward, release of 5 November 2026. The South African Weather Service issues the official forecasts and warnings.

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