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Weather in Ward 17, Mossel Bay

This month here (1 to 5 November): hottest day 28.9 °C, 3.5 mm of rain; a normal November has 50 mm. Coldest night 13.1 °C on 2 November 2026.

Modelled estimates from a weather reanalysis, averaged over the whole place: not readings from a weather station, and not a forecast. Weather here is averaged over a 9 km grid; this ward overlaps 16 grid cells, each weighted by the ward’s area in it, and its neighbours draw on some of the same cells.

November so far, day by day

NovHigh °CLow °CRain mm
118.915.12.2
220.913.10.3
323.814.60.1
428.914.30.0
524.717.00.9

Highs and lows are for the South African day; rain is for the day to 02:00 the next morning (the weather model’s day ends at midnight UTC). The weather model runs about five days behind the weather, so the newest day here is usually five to twelve days ago. Only whole days are shown.

The last twelve months against normal

November: 17 mm, normal 50 mmNDecember: 14 mm, normal 33 mmDJanuary: 16 mm, normal 33 mmJFebruary: 67 mm, normal 28 mmFMarch: 19 mm, normal 41 mmMApril: 45 mm, normal 38 mmAMay: 140 mm, normal 34 mmMJune: 85 mm, normal 29 mmJJuly: 10 mm, normal 31 mmJAugust: 29 mm, normal 37 mmASeptember: 83 mm, normal 29 mmSOctober: 25 mm, normal 42 mmO
Rain each month, November 2025 to October 2026 (this month to 5 November 2026). Bars: rain. Lines: the 1991 to 2020 normal.
Show the numbers
Rain each month, November 2025 to October 2026 (this month to 5 November 2026).: every figure
When or whatFigure
November17 mm, normal 50 mm
December14 mm, normal 33 mm
January16 mm, normal 33 mm
February67 mm, normal 28 mm
March19 mm, normal 41 mm
April45 mm, normal 38 mm
May140 mm, normal 34 mm
June85 mm, normal 29 mm
July10 mm, normal 31 mm
August29 mm, normal 37 mm
September83 mm, normal 29 mm
October25 mm, normal 42 mm

Every year since 1991

1991: 381 mm (-10% on the normal)1992: 499 mm (+17% on the normal)1993: 549 mm (+29% on the normal)1994: 428 mm (+1% on the normal)1995: 499 mm (+17% on the normal)1996: 564 mm (+33% on the normal)1997: 360 mm (-15% on the normal)1998: 417 mm (-2% on the normal)1999: 356 mm (-16% on the normal)2000: 391 mm (-8% on the normal)2001: 418 mm (-2% on the normal)2002: 426 mm (+0% on the normal)2003: 461 mm (+8% on the normal)2004: 463 mm (+9% on the normal)2005: 368 mm (-14% on the normal)2006: 526 mm (+24% on the normal)2007: 452 mm (+6% on the normal)2008: 443 mm (+4% on the normal)2009: 325 mm (-24% on the normal)2010: 367 mm (-14% on the normal)2011: 458 mm (+8% on the normal)2012: 493 mm (+16% on the normal)2013: 437 mm (+3% on the normal)2014: 480 mm (+13% on the normal)2015: 471 mm (+11% on the normal)2016: 392 mm (-8% on the normal)2017: 330 mm (-22% on the normal)2018: 344 mm (-19% on the normal)2019: 294 mm (-31% on the normal)2020: 379 mm (-11% on the normal)2021: 511 mm (+20% on the normal)2022: 224 mm (-47% on the normal)2023: 475 mm (+12% on the normal)2024: 436 mm (+2% on the normal)2025: 258 mm (-39% on the normal)

19912025

Rain each year, 1991 to 2025. Up: wetter than the 1991 to 2020 normal (426 mm a year). Down: drier.
Show the numbers
Rain each year, 1991 to 2025.: every figure
When or whatFigure
1991381 mm (-10% on the normal)
1992499 mm (+17% on the normal)
1993549 mm (+29% on the normal)
1994428 mm (+1% on the normal)
1995499 mm (+17% on the normal)
1996564 mm (+33% on the normal)
1997360 mm (-15% on the normal)
1998417 mm (-2% on the normal)
1999356 mm (-16% on the normal)
2000391 mm (-8% on the normal)
2001418 mm (-2% on the normal)
2002426 mm (+0% on the normal)
2003461 mm (+8% on the normal)
2004463 mm (+9% on the normal)
2005368 mm (-14% on the normal)
2006526 mm (+24% on the normal)
2007452 mm (+6% on the normal)
2008443 mm (+4% on the normal)
2009325 mm (-24% on the normal)
2010367 mm (-14% on the normal)
2011458 mm (+8% on the normal)
2012493 mm (+16% on the normal)
2013437 mm (+3% on the normal)
2014480 mm (+13% on the normal)
2015471 mm (+11% on the normal)
2016392 mm (-8% on the normal)
2017330 mm (-22% on the normal)
2018344 mm (-19% on the normal)
2019294 mm (-31% on the normal)
2020379 mm (-11% on the normal)
2021511 mm (+20% on the normal)
2022224 mm (-47% on the normal)
2023475 mm (+12% on the normal)
2024436 mm (+2% on the normal)
2025258 mm (-39% on the normal)

Wettest: 1996 (564 mm). Driest: 2022 (224 mm). Hottest day since our daily figures start in 2023: 37.6 °C in March 2026.

A normal year here (1991 to 2020)

JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec
Rain mm332841383429313729425033
Mean °C20.921.119.817.415.212.612.012.714.316.217.719.8

Source

Modelled estimates from a weather reanalysis, averaged over the whole place: not readings from a weather station, and not a forecast. The weather model runs about five days behind the weather, so the newest day here is usually five to twelve days ago.

Contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026. Neither the European Commission nor ECMWF is responsible for any use that may be made of the Copernicus information or data it contains. Muñoz Sabater, J. (2019): ERA5-Land hourly data from 1950 to present, and ERA5-Land monthly averaged data from 1950 to present. Copernicus Climate Change Service (C3S) Climate Data Store (CDS). DOI 10.24381/cds.e2161bac and 10.24381/cds.68d2bb30. ERA5-Land on the Climate Data Store, under CC BY 4.0.

What we changed: we cut ERA5-Land to South Africa, averaged its 9 km grid cells over each ward, municipality, district and province by the area of the place in each cell (MDB boundaries, 2026), took each day’s high and low from 16 of its hourly values, added up days into months, and averaged 1991 to 2020 for the normals.

Dataset: rainfall and temperature by ward, release of 5 November 2026. The South African Weather Service issues the official forecasts and warnings.

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