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Weather in Ward 4, Mbhashe
This month here (1 to 5 November): hottest day 35.1 °C, 20 mm of rain; a normal November has 113 mm. 1 day reached 35 °C. Coldest night 13.1 °C on 2 November 2026.
Modelled estimates from a weather reanalysis, averaged over the whole place: not readings from a weather station, and not a forecast. Weather here is averaged over a 9 km grid; this ward overlaps 6 grid cells, each weighted by the ward’s area in it, and its neighbours draw on some of the same cells.
November so far, day by day
| Nov | High °C | Low °C | Rain mm |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 21.3 | 13.9 | 10.1 |
| 2 | 15.8 | 13.1 | 5.5 |
| 3 | 19.9 | 14.2 | 2.5 |
| 4 | 25.2 | 16.0 | 0.1 |
| 5 | 35.1 | 15.1 | 2.0 |
Highs and lows are for the South African day; rain is for the day to 02:00 the next morning (the weather model’s day ends at midnight UTC). The weather model runs about five days behind the weather, so the newest day here is usually five to twelve days ago. Only whole days are shown.
The last twelve months against normal
Show the numbers
| When or what | Figure |
|---|---|
| November | 89 mm, normal 113 mm |
| December | 133 mm, normal 118 mm |
| January | 71 mm, normal 123 mm |
| February | 244 mm, normal 107 mm |
| March | 73 mm, normal 102 mm |
| April | 57 mm, normal 73 mm |
| May | 55 mm, normal 25 mm |
| June | 25 mm, normal 21 mm |
| July | 73 mm, normal 22 mm |
| August | 43 mm, normal 32 mm |
| September | 134 mm, normal 55 mm |
| October | 78 mm, normal 90 mm |
Every year since 1991
19912025
Show the numbers
| When or what | Figure |
|---|---|
| 1991 | 965 mm (+10% on the normal) |
| 1992 | 644 mm (-27% on the normal) |
| 1993 | 828 mm (-6% on the normal) |
| 1994 | 723 mm (-18% on the normal) |
| 1995 | 990 mm (+12% on the normal) |
| 1996 | 902 mm (+2% on the normal) |
| 1997 | 852 mm (-3% on the normal) |
| 1998 | 1,143 mm (+30% on the normal) |
| 1999 | 795 mm (-10% on the normal) |
| 2000 | 1,148 mm (+30% on the normal) |
| 2001 | 956 mm (+8% on the normal) |
| 2002 | 936 mm (+6% on the normal) |
| 2003 | 718 mm (-19% on the normal) |
| 2004 | 993 mm (+13% on the normal) |
| 2005 | 869 mm (-1% on the normal) |
| 2006 | 1,088 mm (+23% on the normal) |
| 2007 | 724 mm (-18% on the normal) |
| 2008 | 800 mm (-9% on the normal) |
| 2009 | 782 mm (-11% on the normal) |
| 2010 | 974 mm (+11% on the normal) |
| 2011 | 1,156 mm (+31% on the normal) |
| 2012 | 1,076 mm (+22% on the normal) |
| 2013 | 761 mm (-14% on the normal) |
| 2014 | 917 mm (+4% on the normal) |
| 2015 | 759 mm (-14% on the normal) |
| 2016 | 735 mm (-17% on the normal) |
| 2017 | 858 mm (-3% on the normal) |
| 2018 | 699 mm (-21% on the normal) |
| 2019 | 690 mm (-22% on the normal) |
| 2020 | 960 mm (+9% on the normal) |
| 2021 | 1,018 mm (+16% on the normal) |
| 2022 | 937 mm (+6% on the normal) |
| 2023 | 1,079 mm (+22% on the normal) |
| 2024 | 829 mm (-6% on the normal) |
| 2025 | 1,035 mm (+17% on the normal) |
Wettest: 2011 (1,156 mm). Driest: 1992 (644 mm). Hottest day since our daily figures start in 2023: 38.1 °C in January 2026.
A normal year here (1991 to 2020)
| Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rain mm | 123 | 107 | 102 | 73 | 25 | 21 | 22 | 32 | 55 | 90 | 113 | 118 |
| Mean °C | 19.8 | 20.0 | 18.9 | 16.4 | 14.3 | 11.9 | 11.7 | 13.0 | 14.7 | 15.8 | 17.0 | 18.6 |
Source
Modelled estimates from a weather reanalysis, averaged over the whole place: not readings from a weather station, and not a forecast. The weather model runs about five days behind the weather, so the newest day here is usually five to twelve days ago.
Contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026. Neither the European Commission nor ECMWF is responsible for any use that may be made of the Copernicus information or data it contains. Muñoz Sabater, J. (2019): ERA5-Land hourly data from 1950 to present, and ERA5-Land monthly averaged data from 1950 to present. Copernicus Climate Change Service (C3S) Climate Data Store (CDS). DOI 10.24381/cds.e2161bac and 10.24381/cds.68d2bb30. ERA5-Land on the Climate Data Store, under CC BY 4.0.
What we changed: we cut ERA5-Land to South Africa, averaged its 9 km grid cells over each ward, municipality, district and province by the area of the place in each cell (MDB boundaries, 2026), took each day’s high and low from 16 of its hourly values, added up days into months, and averaged 1991 to 2020 for the normals.
Dataset: rainfall and temperature by ward, release of 5 November 2026. The South African Weather Service issues the official forecasts and warnings.