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Weather in Ward 10, Mbhashe
This month here (1 to 5 November): hottest day 34.5 °C, 23 mm of rain; a normal November has 124 mm. Coldest night 13.4 °C on 2 November 2026.
Modelled estimates from a weather reanalysis, averaged over the whole place: not readings from a weather station, and not a forecast. Weather here is averaged over a 9 km grid; this ward overlaps 5 grid cells, each weighted by the ward’s area in it, and its neighbours draw on some of the same cells.
November so far, day by day
| Nov | High °C | Low °C | Rain mm |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 21.3 | 14.6 | 10.6 |
| 2 | 15.9 | 13.4 | 7.7 |
| 3 | 19.4 | 14.5 | 2.7 |
| 4 | 24.9 | 16.5 | 0.1 |
| 5 | 34.5 | 14.8 | 1.8 |
Highs and lows are for the South African day; rain is for the day to 02:00 the next morning (the weather model’s day ends at midnight UTC). The weather model runs about five days behind the weather, so the newest day here is usually five to twelve days ago. Only whole days are shown.
The last twelve months against normal
Show the numbers
| When or what | Figure |
|---|---|
| November | 91 mm, normal 124 mm |
| December | 138 mm, normal 129 mm |
| January | 80 mm, normal 133 mm |
| February | 240 mm, normal 114 mm |
| March | 72 mm, normal 111 mm |
| April | 61 mm, normal 82 mm |
| May | 66 mm, normal 28 mm |
| June | 19 mm, normal 25 mm |
| July | 82 mm, normal 25 mm |
| August | 47 mm, normal 36 mm |
| September | 149 mm, normal 64 mm |
| October | 94 mm, normal 105 mm |
Every year since 1991
19912025
Show the numbers
| When or what | Figure |
|---|---|
| 1991 | 1,024 mm (+5% on the normal) |
| 1992 | 755 mm (-23% on the normal) |
| 1993 | 873 mm (-11% on the normal) |
| 1994 | 804 mm (-18% on the normal) |
| 1995 | 1,087 mm (+11% on the normal) |
| 1996 | 985 mm (+1% on the normal) |
| 1997 | 1,012 mm (+4% on the normal) |
| 1998 | 1,203 mm (+23% on the normal) |
| 1999 | 922 mm (-6% on the normal) |
| 2000 | 1,257 mm (+29% on the normal) |
| 2001 | 1,034 mm (+6% on the normal) |
| 2002 | 1,004 mm (+3% on the normal) |
| 2003 | 757 mm (-23% on the normal) |
| 2004 | 1,013 mm (+4% on the normal) |
| 2005 | 962 mm (-2% on the normal) |
| 2006 | 1,233 mm (+26% on the normal) |
| 2007 | 789 mm (-19% on the normal) |
| 2008 | 946 mm (-3% on the normal) |
| 2009 | 897 mm (-8% on the normal) |
| 2010 | 1,075 mm (+10% on the normal) |
| 2011 | 1,285 mm (+32% on the normal) |
| 2012 | 1,216 mm (+24% on the normal) |
| 2013 | 901 mm (-8% on the normal) |
| 2014 | 1,044 mm (+7% on the normal) |
| 2015 | 862 mm (-12% on the normal) |
| 2016 | 810 mm (-17% on the normal) |
| 2017 | 961 mm (-2% on the normal) |
| 2018 | 739 mm (-24% on the normal) |
| 2019 | 774 mm (-21% on the normal) |
| 2020 | 1,076 mm (+10% on the normal) |
| 2021 | 1,106 mm (+13% on the normal) |
| 2022 | 1,030 mm (+5% on the normal) |
| 2023 | 1,233 mm (+26% on the normal) |
| 2024 | 976 mm (-0% on the normal) |
| 2025 | 1,164 mm (+19% on the normal) |
Wettest: 2011 (1,285 mm). Driest: 2018 (739 mm). Hottest day since our daily figures start in 2023: 37.3 °C in January 2026.
A normal year here (1991 to 2020)
| Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rain mm | 133 | 114 | 111 | 82 | 28 | 25 | 25 | 36 | 64 | 105 | 124 | 129 |
| Mean °C | 20.0 | 20.3 | 19.3 | 17.0 | 15.1 | 12.9 | 12.7 | 13.7 | 15.0 | 16.0 | 17.2 | 18.9 |
Source
Modelled estimates from a weather reanalysis, averaged over the whole place: not readings from a weather station, and not a forecast. The weather model runs about five days behind the weather, so the newest day here is usually five to twelve days ago.
Contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026. Neither the European Commission nor ECMWF is responsible for any use that may be made of the Copernicus information or data it contains. Muñoz Sabater, J. (2019): ERA5-Land hourly data from 1950 to present, and ERA5-Land monthly averaged data from 1950 to present. Copernicus Climate Change Service (C3S) Climate Data Store (CDS). DOI 10.24381/cds.e2161bac and 10.24381/cds.68d2bb30. ERA5-Land on the Climate Data Store, under CC BY 4.0.
What we changed: we cut ERA5-Land to South Africa, averaged its 9 km grid cells over each ward, municipality, district and province by the area of the place in each cell (MDB boundaries, 2026), took each day’s high and low from 16 of its hourly values, added up days into months, and averaged 1991 to 2020 for the normals.
Dataset: rainfall and temperature by ward, release of 5 November 2026. The South African Weather Service issues the official forecasts and warnings.