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Weather in Ward 15, Mbhashe

This month here (1 to 5 November): hottest day 32.5 °C, 21 mm of rain; a normal November has 121 mm. Coldest night 15.1 °C on 2 November 2026.

Modelled estimates from a weather reanalysis, averaged over the whole place: not readings from a weather station, and not a forecast. Weather here is averaged over a 9 km grid; this ward overlaps 4 grid cells, each weighted by the ward’s area in it, and its neighbours draw on some of the same cells.

November so far, day by day

NovHigh °CLow °CRain mm
122.216.410.1
217.315.17.6
319.916.22.1
424.517.60.1
532.515.81.5

Highs and lows are for the South African day; rain is for the day to 02:00 the next morning (the weather model’s day ends at midnight UTC). The weather model runs about five days behind the weather, so the newest day here is usually five to twelve days ago. Only whole days are shown.

The last twelve months against normal

November: 87 mm, normal 121 mmNDecember: 110 mm, normal 119 mmDJanuary: 75 mm, normal 126 mmJFebruary: 225 mm, normal 104 mmFMarch: 53 mm, normal 108 mmMApril: 43 mm, normal 86 mmAMay: 62 mm, normal 31 mmMJune: 16 mm, normal 29 mmJJuly: 103 mm, normal 28 mmJAugust: 53 mm, normal 40 mmASeptember: 149 mm, normal 68 mmSOctober: 108 mm, normal 101 mmO
Rain each month, November 2025 to October 2026 (this month to 5 November 2026). Bars: rain. Lines: the 1991 to 2020 normal.
Show the numbers
Rain each month, November 2025 to October 2026 (this month to 5 November 2026).: every figure
When or whatFigure
November87 mm, normal 121 mm
December110 mm, normal 119 mm
January75 mm, normal 126 mm
February225 mm, normal 104 mm
March53 mm, normal 108 mm
April43 mm, normal 86 mm
May62 mm, normal 31 mm
June16 mm, normal 29 mm
July103 mm, normal 28 mm
August53 mm, normal 40 mm
September149 mm, normal 68 mm
October108 mm, normal 101 mm

Every year since 1991

1991: 932 mm (-3% on the normal)1992: 777 mm (-19% on the normal)1993: 836 mm (-13% on the normal)1994: 801 mm (-17% on the normal)1995: 1,112 mm (+16% on the normal)1996: 938 mm (-2% on the normal)1997: 1,074 mm (+12% on the normal)1998: 1,154 mm (+20% on the normal)1999: 895 mm (-7% on the normal)2000: 1,265 mm (+32% on the normal)2001: 999 mm (+4% on the normal)2002: 948 mm (-1% on the normal)2003: 744 mm (-23% on the normal)2004: 922 mm (-4% on the normal)2005: 963 mm (+0% on the normal)2006: 1,268 mm (+32% on the normal)2007: 778 mm (-19% on the normal)2008: 922 mm (-4% on the normal)2009: 879 mm (-8% on the normal)2010: 1,028 mm (+7% on the normal)2011: 1,234 mm (+29% on the normal)2012: 1,217 mm (+27% on the normal)2013: 976 mm (+2% on the normal)2014: 952 mm (-1% on the normal)2015: 853 mm (-11% on the normal)2016: 796 mm (-17% on the normal)2017: 988 mm (+3% on the normal)2018: 744 mm (-23% on the normal)2019: 784 mm (-18% on the normal)2020: 1,026 mm (+7% on the normal)2021: 1,083 mm (+13% on the normal)2022: 990 mm (+3% on the normal)2023: 1,240 mm (+29% on the normal)2024: 971 mm (+1% on the normal)2025: 1,151 mm (+20% on the normal)

19912025

Rain each year, 1991 to 2025. Up: wetter than the 1991 to 2020 normal (960 mm a year). Down: drier.
Show the numbers
Rain each year, 1991 to 2025.: every figure
When or whatFigure
1991932 mm (-3% on the normal)
1992777 mm (-19% on the normal)
1993836 mm (-13% on the normal)
1994801 mm (-17% on the normal)
19951,112 mm (+16% on the normal)
1996938 mm (-2% on the normal)
19971,074 mm (+12% on the normal)
19981,154 mm (+20% on the normal)
1999895 mm (-7% on the normal)
20001,265 mm (+32% on the normal)
2001999 mm (+4% on the normal)
2002948 mm (-1% on the normal)
2003744 mm (-23% on the normal)
2004922 mm (-4% on the normal)
2005963 mm (+0% on the normal)
20061,268 mm (+32% on the normal)
2007778 mm (-19% on the normal)
2008922 mm (-4% on the normal)
2009879 mm (-8% on the normal)
20101,028 mm (+7% on the normal)
20111,234 mm (+29% on the normal)
20121,217 mm (+27% on the normal)
2013976 mm (+2% on the normal)
2014952 mm (-1% on the normal)
2015853 mm (-11% on the normal)
2016796 mm (-17% on the normal)
2017988 mm (+3% on the normal)
2018744 mm (-23% on the normal)
2019784 mm (-18% on the normal)
20201,026 mm (+7% on the normal)
20211,083 mm (+13% on the normal)
2022990 mm (+3% on the normal)
20231,240 mm (+29% on the normal)
2024971 mm (+1% on the normal)
20251,151 mm (+20% on the normal)

Wettest: 2006 (1,268 mm). Driest: 2003 (744 mm). Hottest day since our daily figures start in 2023: 36.0 °C in October 2025.

A normal year here (1991 to 2020)

JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec
Rain mm126104108863129284068101121119
Mean °C21.421.820.918.817.115.114.815.516.517.518.720.3

Source

Modelled estimates from a weather reanalysis, averaged over the whole place: not readings from a weather station, and not a forecast. The weather model runs about five days behind the weather, so the newest day here is usually five to twelve days ago.

Contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026. Neither the European Commission nor ECMWF is responsible for any use that may be made of the Copernicus information or data it contains. Muñoz Sabater, J. (2019): ERA5-Land hourly data from 1950 to present, and ERA5-Land monthly averaged data from 1950 to present. Copernicus Climate Change Service (C3S) Climate Data Store (CDS). DOI 10.24381/cds.e2161bac and 10.24381/cds.68d2bb30. ERA5-Land on the Climate Data Store, under CC BY 4.0.

What we changed: we cut ERA5-Land to South Africa, averaged its 9 km grid cells over each ward, municipality, district and province by the area of the place in each cell (MDB boundaries, 2026), took each day’s high and low from 16 of its hourly values, added up days into months, and averaged 1991 to 2020 for the normals.

Dataset: rainfall and temperature by ward, release of 5 November 2026. The South African Weather Service issues the official forecasts and warnings.

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