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Weather in Ward 16, Mbhashe
This month here (1 to 5 November): hottest day 30.8 °C, 20 mm of rain; a normal November has 120 mm. Coldest night 15.9 °C on 2 November 2026.
Modelled estimates from a weather reanalysis, averaged over the whole place: not readings from a weather station, and not a forecast. Weather here is averaged over a 9 km grid; this ward overlaps 4 grid cells, each weighted by the ward’s area in it, and its neighbours draw on some of the same cells.
November so far, day by day
| Nov | High °C | Low °C | Rain mm |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 22.3 | 17.2 | 9.4 |
| 2 | 17.9 | 15.9 | 8.1 |
| 3 | 20.4 | 16.9 | 1.8 |
| 4 | 24.2 | 18.3 | 0.1 |
| 5 | 30.8 | 16.6 | 1.0 |
Highs and lows are for the South African day; rain is for the day to 02:00 the next morning (the weather model’s day ends at midnight UTC). The weather model runs about five days behind the weather, so the newest day here is usually five to twelve days ago. Only whole days are shown.
The last twelve months against normal
Show the numbers
| When or what | Figure |
|---|---|
| November | 81 mm, normal 120 mm |
| December | 95 mm, normal 115 mm |
| January | 68 mm, normal 123 mm |
| February | 215 mm, normal 100 mm |
| March | 46 mm, normal 108 mm |
| April | 40 mm, normal 91 mm |
| May | 62 mm, normal 34 mm |
| June | 20 mm, normal 31 mm |
| July | 115 mm, normal 30 mm |
| August | 52 mm, normal 42 mm |
| September | 143 mm, normal 72 mm |
| October | 110 mm, normal 102 mm |
Every year since 1991
19912025
Show the numbers
| When or what | Figure |
|---|---|
| 1991 | 923 mm (-5% on the normal) |
| 1992 | 790 mm (-18% on the normal) |
| 1993 | 835 mm (-14% on the normal) |
| 1994 | 807 mm (-17% on the normal) |
| 1995 | 1,130 mm (+17% on the normal) |
| 1996 | 947 mm (-2% on the normal) |
| 1997 | 1,116 mm (+15% on the normal) |
| 1998 | 1,159 mm (+20% on the normal) |
| 1999 | 885 mm (-9% on the normal) |
| 2000 | 1,292 mm (+33% on the normal) |
| 2001 | 1,008 mm (+4% on the normal) |
| 2002 | 935 mm (-3% on the normal) |
| 2003 | 760 mm (-22% on the normal) |
| 2004 | 895 mm (-8% on the normal) |
| 2005 | 974 mm (+1% on the normal) |
| 2006 | 1,298 mm (+34% on the normal) |
| 2007 | 792 mm (-18% on the normal) |
| 2008 | 936 mm (-3% on the normal) |
| 2009 | 880 mm (-9% on the normal) |
| 2010 | 1,028 mm (+6% on the normal) |
| 2011 | 1,247 mm (+29% on the normal) |
| 2012 | 1,231 mm (+27% on the normal) |
| 2013 | 1,014 mm (+5% on the normal) |
| 2014 | 952 mm (-2% on the normal) |
| 2015 | 865 mm (-11% on the normal) |
| 2016 | 794 mm (-18% on the normal) |
| 2017 | 1,012 mm (+5% on the normal) |
| 2018 | 753 mm (-22% on the normal) |
| 2019 | 806 mm (-17% on the normal) |
| 2020 | 983 mm (+2% on the normal) |
| 2021 | 1,074 mm (+11% on the normal) |
| 2022 | 965 mm (-0% on the normal) |
| 2023 | 1,227 mm (+27% on the normal) |
| 2024 | 959 mm (-1% on the normal) |
| 2025 | 1,136 mm (+17% on the normal) |
Wettest: 2006 (1,298 mm). Driest: 2018 (753 mm). Hottest day since our daily figures start in 2023: 35.3 °C in October 2025.
A normal year here (1991 to 2020)
| Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rain mm | 123 | 100 | 108 | 91 | 34 | 31 | 30 | 42 | 72 | 102 | 120 | 115 |
| Mean °C | 21.9 | 22.3 | 21.4 | 19.4 | 17.8 | 15.9 | 15.6 | 16.1 | 17.0 | 17.9 | 19.1 | 20.7 |
Source
Modelled estimates from a weather reanalysis, averaged over the whole place: not readings from a weather station, and not a forecast. The weather model runs about five days behind the weather, so the newest day here is usually five to twelve days ago.
Contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026. Neither the European Commission nor ECMWF is responsible for any use that may be made of the Copernicus information or data it contains. Muñoz Sabater, J. (2019): ERA5-Land hourly data from 1950 to present, and ERA5-Land monthly averaged data from 1950 to present. Copernicus Climate Change Service (C3S) Climate Data Store (CDS). DOI 10.24381/cds.e2161bac and 10.24381/cds.68d2bb30. ERA5-Land on the Climate Data Store, under CC BY 4.0.
What we changed: we cut ERA5-Land to South Africa, averaged its 9 km grid cells over each ward, municipality, district and province by the area of the place in each cell (MDB boundaries, 2026), took each day’s high and low from 16 of its hourly values, added up days into months, and averaged 1991 to 2020 for the normals.
Dataset: rainfall and temperature by ward, release of 5 November 2026. The South African Weather Service issues the official forecasts and warnings.