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Weather in Ward 17, Mbhashe
This month here (1 to 5 November): hottest day 31.1 °C, 21 mm of rain; a normal November has 123 mm. Coldest night 15.4 °C on 2 November 2026.
Modelled estimates from a weather reanalysis, averaged over the whole place: not readings from a weather station, and not a forecast. Weather here is averaged over a 9 km grid; this ward overlaps 4 grid cells, each weighted by the ward’s area in it, and its neighbours draw on some of the same cells.
November so far, day by day
| Nov | High °C | Low °C | Rain mm |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 22.2 | 16.8 | 9.4 |
| 2 | 17.7 | 15.4 | 8.1 |
| 3 | 20.0 | 16.7 | 1.8 |
| 4 | 24.2 | 18.0 | 0.1 |
| 5 | 31.1 | 16.6 | 1.4 |
Highs and lows are for the South African day; rain is for the day to 02:00 the next morning (the weather model’s day ends at midnight UTC). The weather model runs about five days behind the weather, so the newest day here is usually five to twelve days ago. Only whole days are shown.
The last twelve months against normal
Show the numbers
| When or what | Figure |
|---|---|
| November | 88 mm, normal 123 mm |
| December | 105 mm, normal 119 mm |
| January | 73 mm, normal 127 mm |
| February | 216 mm, normal 104 mm |
| March | 44 mm, normal 110 mm |
| April | 36 mm, normal 90 mm |
| May | 56 mm, normal 34 mm |
| June | 17 mm, normal 31 mm |
| July | 109 mm, normal 30 mm |
| August | 58 mm, normal 42 mm |
| September | 144 mm, normal 71 mm |
| October | 108 mm, normal 102 mm |
Every year since 1991
19912025
Show the numbers
| When or what | Figure |
|---|---|
| 1991 | 937 mm (-5% on the normal) |
| 1992 | 805 mm (-18% on the normal) |
| 1993 | 853 mm (-13% on the normal) |
| 1994 | 844 mm (-14% on the normal) |
| 1995 | 1,149 mm (+17% on the normal) |
| 1996 | 991 mm (+1% on the normal) |
| 1997 | 1,132 mm (+15% on the normal) |
| 1998 | 1,160 mm (+18% on the normal) |
| 1999 | 913 mm (-7% on the normal) |
| 2000 | 1,341 mm (+36% on the normal) |
| 2001 | 1,000 mm (+2% on the normal) |
| 2002 | 983 mm (+0% on the normal) |
| 2003 | 768 mm (-22% on the normal) |
| 2004 | 942 mm (-4% on the normal) |
| 2005 | 978 mm (-0% on the normal) |
| 2006 | 1,316 mm (+34% on the normal) |
| 2007 | 783 mm (-20% on the normal) |
| 2008 | 947 mm (-4% on the normal) |
| 2009 | 911 mm (-7% on the normal) |
| 2010 | 1,000 mm (+2% on the normal) |
| 2011 | 1,212 mm (+23% on the normal) |
| 2012 | 1,239 mm (+26% on the normal) |
| 2013 | 1,007 mm (+2% on the normal) |
| 2014 | 918 mm (-7% on the normal) |
| 2015 | 864 mm (-12% on the normal) |
| 2016 | 807 mm (-18% on the normal) |
| 2017 | 1,029 mm (+5% on the normal) |
| 2018 | 787 mm (-20% on the normal) |
| 2019 | 820 mm (-17% on the normal) |
| 2020 | 1,048 mm (+7% on the normal) |
| 2021 | 1,069 mm (+9% on the normal) |
| 2022 | 1,007 mm (+2% on the normal) |
| 2023 | 1,231 mm (+25% on the normal) |
| 2024 | 965 mm (-2% on the normal) |
| 2025 | 1,171 mm (+19% on the normal) |
Wettest: 2000 (1,341 mm). Driest: 2003 (768 mm). Hottest day since our daily figures start in 2023: 34.6 °C in March 2024.
A normal year here (1991 to 2020)
| Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rain mm | 127 | 104 | 110 | 90 | 34 | 31 | 30 | 42 | 71 | 102 | 123 | 119 |
| Mean °C | 21.5 | 21.9 | 21.0 | 18.9 | 17.2 | 15.1 | 14.8 | 15.6 | 16.6 | 17.5 | 18.8 | 20.3 |
Source
Modelled estimates from a weather reanalysis, averaged over the whole place: not readings from a weather station, and not a forecast. The weather model runs about five days behind the weather, so the newest day here is usually five to twelve days ago.
Contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026. Neither the European Commission nor ECMWF is responsible for any use that may be made of the Copernicus information or data it contains. Muñoz Sabater, J. (2019): ERA5-Land hourly data from 1950 to present, and ERA5-Land monthly averaged data from 1950 to present. Copernicus Climate Change Service (C3S) Climate Data Store (CDS). DOI 10.24381/cds.e2161bac and 10.24381/cds.68d2bb30. ERA5-Land on the Climate Data Store, under CC BY 4.0.
What we changed: we cut ERA5-Land to South Africa, averaged its 9 km grid cells over each ward, municipality, district and province by the area of the place in each cell (MDB boundaries, 2026), took each day’s high and low from 16 of its hourly values, added up days into months, and averaged 1991 to 2020 for the normals.
Dataset: rainfall and temperature by ward, release of 5 November 2026. The South African Weather Service issues the official forecasts and warnings.