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Weather in Ward 21, Mbhashe
This month here (1 to 5 November): hottest day 30.0 °C, 21 mm of rain; a normal November has 119 mm. Coldest night 16.3 °C on 2 November 2026.
Modelled estimates from a weather reanalysis, averaged over the whole place: not readings from a weather station, and not a forecast. Weather here is averaged over a 9 km grid; this ward overlaps 5 grid cells, each weighted by the ward’s area in it, and its neighbours draw on some of the same cells.
November so far, day by day
| Nov | High °C | Low °C | Rain mm |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 22.3 | 17.7 | 9.3 |
| 2 | 18.1 | 16.3 | 9.1 |
| 3 | 20.6 | 17.3 | 1.8 |
| 4 | 24.0 | 18.8 | 0.1 |
| 5 | 30.0 | 17.3 | 0.8 |
Highs and lows are for the South African day; rain is for the day to 02:00 the next morning (the weather model’s day ends at midnight UTC). The weather model runs about five days behind the weather, so the newest day here is usually five to twelve days ago. Only whole days are shown.
The last twelve months against normal
Show the numbers
| When or what | Figure |
|---|---|
| November | 78 mm, normal 119 mm |
| December | 94 mm, normal 115 mm |
| January | 65 mm, normal 121 mm |
| February | 210 mm, normal 99 mm |
| March | 47 mm, normal 109 mm |
| April | 47 mm, normal 93 mm |
| May | 70 mm, normal 36 mm |
| June | 23 mm, normal 33 mm |
| July | 118 mm, normal 32 mm |
| August | 50 mm, normal 44 mm |
| September | 142 mm, normal 73 mm |
| October | 106 mm, normal 103 mm |
Every year since 1991
19912025
Show the numbers
| When or what | Figure |
|---|---|
| 1991 | 936 mm (-4% on the normal) |
| 1992 | 794 mm (-19% on the normal) |
| 1993 | 836 mm (-15% on the normal) |
| 1994 | 804 mm (-18% on the normal) |
| 1995 | 1,124 mm (+15% on the normal) |
| 1996 | 968 mm (-1% on the normal) |
| 1997 | 1,137 mm (+16% on the normal) |
| 1998 | 1,175 mm (+20% on the normal) |
| 1999 | 883 mm (-10% on the normal) |
| 2000 | 1,308 mm (+34% on the normal) |
| 2001 | 1,017 mm (+4% on the normal) |
| 2002 | 934 mm (-5% on the normal) |
| 2003 | 776 mm (-21% on the normal) |
| 2004 | 884 mm (-10% on the normal) |
| 2005 | 981 mm (+0% on the normal) |
| 2006 | 1,310 mm (+34% on the normal) |
| 2007 | 812 mm (-17% on the normal) |
| 2008 | 956 mm (-2% on the normal) |
| 2009 | 882 mm (-10% on the normal) |
| 2010 | 1,041 mm (+6% on the normal) |
| 2011 | 1,280 mm (+31% on the normal) |
| 2012 | 1,241 mm (+27% on the normal) |
| 2013 | 1,030 mm (+5% on the normal) |
| 2014 | 994 mm (+2% on the normal) |
| 2015 | 887 mm (-9% on the normal) |
| 2016 | 794 mm (-19% on the normal) |
| 2017 | 1,024 mm (+5% on the normal) |
| 2018 | 750 mm (-23% on the normal) |
| 2019 | 824 mm (-16% on the normal) |
| 2020 | 992 mm (+1% on the normal) |
| 2021 | 1,097 mm (+12% on the normal) |
| 2022 | 984 mm (+1% on the normal) |
| 2023 | 1,250 mm (+28% on the normal) |
| 2024 | 986 mm (+1% on the normal) |
| 2025 | 1,156 mm (+18% on the normal) |
Wettest: 2006 (1,310 mm). Driest: 2018 (750 mm). Hottest day since our daily figures start in 2023: 34.8 °C in October 2025.
A normal year here (1991 to 2020)
| Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rain mm | 121 | 99 | 109 | 93 | 36 | 33 | 32 | 44 | 73 | 103 | 119 | 115 |
| Mean °C | 22.1 | 22.5 | 21.7 | 19.8 | 18.3 | 16.5 | 16.1 | 16.5 | 17.3 | 18.2 | 19.4 | 20.9 |
Source
Modelled estimates from a weather reanalysis, averaged over the whole place: not readings from a weather station, and not a forecast. The weather model runs about five days behind the weather, so the newest day here is usually five to twelve days ago.
Contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026. Neither the European Commission nor ECMWF is responsible for any use that may be made of the Copernicus information or data it contains. Muñoz Sabater, J. (2019): ERA5-Land hourly data from 1950 to present, and ERA5-Land monthly averaged data from 1950 to present. Copernicus Climate Change Service (C3S) Climate Data Store (CDS). DOI 10.24381/cds.e2161bac and 10.24381/cds.68d2bb30. ERA5-Land on the Climate Data Store, under CC BY 4.0.
What we changed: we cut ERA5-Land to South Africa, averaged its 9 km grid cells over each ward, municipality, district and province by the area of the place in each cell (MDB boundaries, 2026), took each day’s high and low from 16 of its hourly values, added up days into months, and averaged 1991 to 2020 for the normals.
Dataset: rainfall and temperature by ward, release of 5 November 2026. The South African Weather Service issues the official forecasts and warnings.