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Weather in Ward 27, Mbhashe
This month here (1 to 5 November): hottest day 33.6 °C, 24 mm of rain; a normal November has 127 mm. Coldest night 14.3 °C on 2 November 2026.
Modelled estimates from a weather reanalysis, averaged over the whole place: not readings from a weather station, and not a forecast. Weather here is averaged over a 9 km grid; this ward overlaps 4 grid cells, each weighted by the ward’s area in it, and its neighbours draw on some of the same cells.
November so far, day by day
| Nov | High °C | Low °C | Rain mm |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 21.7 | 15.6 | 10.6 |
| 2 | 16.6 | 14.3 | 8.8 |
| 3 | 19.6 | 15.3 | 2.6 |
| 4 | 24.7 | 17.2 | 0.1 |
| 5 | 33.6 | 15.7 | 1.6 |
Highs and lows are for the South African day; rain is for the day to 02:00 the next morning (the weather model’s day ends at midnight UTC). The weather model runs about five days behind the weather, so the newest day here is usually five to twelve days ago. Only whole days are shown.
The last twelve months against normal
Show the numbers
| When or what | Figure |
|---|---|
| November | 90 mm, normal 127 mm |
| December | 132 mm, normal 131 mm |
| January | 80 mm, normal 135 mm |
| February | 233 mm, normal 114 mm |
| March | 67 mm, normal 115 mm |
| April | 61 mm, normal 88 mm |
| May | 72 mm, normal 31 mm |
| June | 18 mm, normal 28 mm |
| July | 92 mm, normal 27 mm |
| August | 49 mm, normal 40 mm |
| September | 152 mm, normal 70 mm |
| October | 101 mm, normal 109 mm |
Every year since 1991
19912025
Show the numbers
| When or what | Figure |
|---|---|
| 1991 | 1,027 mm (+1% on the normal) |
| 1992 | 806 mm (-21% on the normal) |
| 1993 | 892 mm (-12% on the normal) |
| 1994 | 835 mm (-18% on the normal) |
| 1995 | 1,139 mm (+12% on the normal) |
| 1996 | 1,008 mm (-1% on the normal) |
| 1997 | 1,098 mm (+8% on the normal) |
| 1998 | 1,224 mm (+21% on the normal) |
| 1999 | 966 mm (-5% on the normal) |
| 2000 | 1,310 mm (+29% on the normal) |
| 2001 | 1,062 mm (+5% on the normal) |
| 2002 | 1,009 mm (-1% on the normal) |
| 2003 | 778 mm (-23% on the normal) |
| 2004 | 996 mm (-2% on the normal) |
| 2005 | 1,010 mm (-1% on the normal) |
| 2006 | 1,308 mm (+29% on the normal) |
| 2007 | 819 mm (-19% on the normal) |
| 2008 | 1,006 mm (-1% on the normal) |
| 2009 | 942 mm (-7% on the normal) |
| 2010 | 1,108 mm (+9% on the normal) |
| 2011 | 1,339 mm (+32% on the normal) |
| 2012 | 1,273 mm (+25% on the normal) |
| 2013 | 980 mm (-3% on the normal) |
| 2014 | 1,083 mm (+7% on the normal) |
| 2015 | 905 mm (-11% on the normal) |
| 2016 | 835 mm (-18% on the normal) |
| 2017 | 1,014 mm (-0% on the normal) |
| 2018 | 759 mm (-25% on the normal) |
| 2019 | 820 mm (-19% on the normal) |
| 2020 | 1,103 mm (+9% on the normal) |
| 2021 | 1,138 mm (+12% on the normal) |
| 2022 | 1,058 mm (+4% on the normal) |
| 2023 | 1,293 mm (+27% on the normal) |
| 2024 | 1,033 mm (+2% on the normal) |
| 2025 | 1,210 mm (+19% on the normal) |
Wettest: 2011 (1,339 mm). Driest: 2018 (759 mm). Hottest day since our daily figures start in 2023: 36.2 °C in January 2026.
A normal year here (1991 to 2020)
| Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rain mm | 135 | 114 | 115 | 88 | 31 | 28 | 27 | 40 | 70 | 109 | 127 | 131 |
| Mean °C | 20.8 | 21.1 | 20.2 | 18.1 | 16.4 | 14.4 | 14.1 | 14.9 | 15.9 | 16.8 | 18.0 | 19.6 |
Source
Modelled estimates from a weather reanalysis, averaged over the whole place: not readings from a weather station, and not a forecast. The weather model runs about five days behind the weather, so the newest day here is usually five to twelve days ago.
Contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026. Neither the European Commission nor ECMWF is responsible for any use that may be made of the Copernicus information or data it contains. Muñoz Sabater, J. (2019): ERA5-Land hourly data from 1950 to present, and ERA5-Land monthly averaged data from 1950 to present. Copernicus Climate Change Service (C3S) Climate Data Store (CDS). DOI 10.24381/cds.e2161bac and 10.24381/cds.68d2bb30. ERA5-Land on the Climate Data Store, under CC BY 4.0.
What we changed: we cut ERA5-Land to South Africa, averaged its 9 km grid cells over each ward, municipality, district and province by the area of the place in each cell (MDB boundaries, 2026), took each day’s high and low from 16 of its hourly values, added up days into months, and averaged 1991 to 2020 for the normals.
Dataset: rainfall and temperature by ward, release of 5 November 2026. The South African Weather Service issues the official forecasts and warnings.