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Weather in Ward 15, Mnquma

This month here (1 to 5 November): hottest day 37.1 °C, 13 mm of rain; a normal November has 96 mm. 1 day reached 35 °C. Coldest night 13.6 °C on 2 November 2026.

Modelled estimates from a weather reanalysis, averaged over the whole place: not readings from a weather station, and not a forecast. Weather here is averaged over a 9 km grid; this ward overlaps 7 grid cells, each weighted by the ward’s area in it, and its neighbours draw on some of the same cells.

November so far, day by day

NovHigh °CLow °CRain mm
122.014.06.2
216.613.63.6
322.014.01.4
427.315.30.1
537.114.01.4

Highs and lows are for the South African day; rain is for the day to 02:00 the next morning (the weather model’s day ends at midnight UTC). The weather model runs about five days behind the weather, so the newest day here is usually five to twelve days ago. Only whole days are shown.

The last twelve months against normal

November: 61 mm, normal 96 mmNDecember: 105 mm, normal 106 mmDJanuary: 56 mm, normal 104 mmJFebruary: 183 mm, normal 97 mmFMarch: 91 mm, normal 91 mmMApril: 44 mm, normal 63 mmAMay: 41 mm, normal 21 mmMJune: 58 mm, normal 19 mmJJuly: 67 mm, normal 21 mmJAugust: 31 mm, normal 32 mmASeptember: 135 mm, normal 49 mmSOctober: 64 mm, normal 78 mmO
Rain each month, November 2025 to October 2026 (this month to 5 November 2026). Bars: rain. Lines: the 1991 to 2020 normal.
Show the numbers
Rain each month, November 2025 to October 2026 (this month to 5 November 2026).: every figure
When or whatFigure
November61 mm, normal 96 mm
December105 mm, normal 106 mm
January56 mm, normal 104 mm
February183 mm, normal 97 mm
March91 mm, normal 91 mm
April44 mm, normal 63 mm
May41 mm, normal 21 mm
June58 mm, normal 19 mm
July67 mm, normal 21 mm
August31 mm, normal 32 mm
September135 mm, normal 49 mm
October64 mm, normal 78 mm

Every year since 1991

1991: 905 mm (+17% on the normal)1992: 559 mm (-28% on the normal)1993: 731 mm (-6% on the normal)1994: 634 mm (-18% on the normal)1995: 821 mm (+6% on the normal)1996: 847 mm (+9% on the normal)1997: 753 mm (-3% on the normal)1998: 975 mm (+26% on the normal)1999: 659 mm (-15% on the normal)2000: 959 mm (+24% on the normal)2001: 891 mm (+15% on the normal)2002: 840 mm (+8% on the normal)2003: 603 mm (-22% on the normal)2004: 868 mm (+12% on the normal)2005: 750 mm (-3% on the normal)2006: 952 mm (+23% on the normal)2007: 687 mm (-11% on the normal)2008: 755 mm (-3% on the normal)2009: 639 mm (-18% on the normal)2010: 806 mm (+4% on the normal)2011: 1,079 mm (+39% on the normal)2012: 975 mm (+26% on the normal)2013: 654 mm (-16% on the normal)2014: 803 mm (+4% on the normal)2015: 706 mm (-9% on the normal)2016: 623 mm (-20% on the normal)2017: 759 mm (-2% on the normal)2018: 566 mm (-27% on the normal)2019: 600 mm (-23% on the normal)2020: 848 mm (+9% on the normal)2021: 796 mm (+3% on the normal)2022: 757 mm (-2% on the normal)2023: 974 mm (+26% on the normal)2024: 719 mm (-7% on the normal)2025: 793 mm (+2% on the normal)

19912025

Rain each year, 1991 to 2025. Up: wetter than the 1991 to 2020 normal (775 mm a year). Down: drier.
Show the numbers
Rain each year, 1991 to 2025.: every figure
When or whatFigure
1991905 mm (+17% on the normal)
1992559 mm (-28% on the normal)
1993731 mm (-6% on the normal)
1994634 mm (-18% on the normal)
1995821 mm (+6% on the normal)
1996847 mm (+9% on the normal)
1997753 mm (-3% on the normal)
1998975 mm (+26% on the normal)
1999659 mm (-15% on the normal)
2000959 mm (+24% on the normal)
2001891 mm (+15% on the normal)
2002840 mm (+8% on the normal)
2003603 mm (-22% on the normal)
2004868 mm (+12% on the normal)
2005750 mm (-3% on the normal)
2006952 mm (+23% on the normal)
2007687 mm (-11% on the normal)
2008755 mm (-3% on the normal)
2009639 mm (-18% on the normal)
2010806 mm (+4% on the normal)
20111,079 mm (+39% on the normal)
2012975 mm (+26% on the normal)
2013654 mm (-16% on the normal)
2014803 mm (+4% on the normal)
2015706 mm (-9% on the normal)
2016623 mm (-20% on the normal)
2017759 mm (-2% on the normal)
2018566 mm (-27% on the normal)
2019600 mm (-23% on the normal)
2020848 mm (+9% on the normal)
2021796 mm (+3% on the normal)
2022757 mm (-2% on the normal)
2023974 mm (+26% on the normal)
2024719 mm (-7% on the normal)
2025793 mm (+2% on the normal)

Wettest: 2011 (1,079 mm). Driest: 1992 (559 mm). Hottest day since our daily figures start in 2023: 41.6 °C in January 2026.

A normal year here (1991 to 2020)

JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec
Rain mm10497916321192132497896106
Mean °C20.620.819.717.315.313.012.713.815.416.617.819.5

Source

Modelled estimates from a weather reanalysis, averaged over the whole place: not readings from a weather station, and not a forecast. The weather model runs about five days behind the weather, so the newest day here is usually five to twelve days ago.

Contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026. Neither the European Commission nor ECMWF is responsible for any use that may be made of the Copernicus information or data it contains. Muñoz Sabater, J. (2019): ERA5-Land hourly data from 1950 to present, and ERA5-Land monthly averaged data from 1950 to present. Copernicus Climate Change Service (C3S) Climate Data Store (CDS). DOI 10.24381/cds.e2161bac and 10.24381/cds.68d2bb30. ERA5-Land on the Climate Data Store, under CC BY 4.0.

What we changed: we cut ERA5-Land to South Africa, averaged its 9 km grid cells over each ward, municipality, district and province by the area of the place in each cell (MDB boundaries, 2026), took each day’s high and low from 16 of its hourly values, added up days into months, and averaged 1991 to 2020 for the normals.

Dataset: rainfall and temperature by ward, release of 5 November 2026. The South African Weather Service issues the official forecasts and warnings.

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