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Weather in Ward 16, Mnquma

This month here (1 to 5 November): hottest day 36.4 °C, 12 mm of rain; a normal November has 100 mm. 1 day reached 35 °C. Coldest night 12.9 °C on 2 November 2026.

Modelled estimates from a weather reanalysis, averaged over the whole place: not readings from a weather station, and not a forecast. Weather here is averaged over a 9 km grid; this ward overlaps 4 grid cells, each weighted by the ward’s area in it, and its neighbours draw on some of the same cells.

November so far, day by day

NovHigh °CLow °CRain mm
121.713.17.3
216.112.92.0
321.613.91.4
427.015.00.1
536.413.81.5

Highs and lows are for the South African day; rain is for the day to 02:00 the next morning (the weather model’s day ends at midnight UTC). The weather model runs about five days behind the weather, so the newest day here is usually five to twelve days ago. Only whole days are shown.

The last twelve months against normal

November: 73 mm, normal 100 mmNDecember: 119 mm, normal 110 mmDJanuary: 56 mm, normal 110 mmJFebruary: 191 mm, normal 100 mmFMarch: 100 mm, normal 92 mmMApril: 44 mm, normal 65 mmAMay: 39 mm, normal 21 mmMJune: 52 mm, normal 18 mmJJuly: 58 mm, normal 20 mmJAugust: 32 mm, normal 30 mmASeptember: 127 mm, normal 47 mmSOctober: 56 mm, normal 79 mmO
Rain each month, November 2025 to October 2026 (this month to 5 November 2026). Bars: rain. Lines: the 1991 to 2020 normal.
Show the numbers
Rain each month, November 2025 to October 2026 (this month to 5 November 2026).: every figure
When or whatFigure
November73 mm, normal 100 mm
December119 mm, normal 110 mm
January56 mm, normal 110 mm
February191 mm, normal 100 mm
March100 mm, normal 92 mm
April44 mm, normal 65 mm
May39 mm, normal 21 mm
June52 mm, normal 18 mm
July58 mm, normal 20 mm
August32 mm, normal 30 mm
September127 mm, normal 47 mm
October56 mm, normal 79 mm

Every year since 1991

1991: 950 mm (+20% on the normal)1992: 551 mm (-30% on the normal)1993: 763 mm (-4% on the normal)1994: 645 mm (-19% on the normal)1995: 864 mm (+9% on the normal)1996: 883 mm (+12% on the normal)1997: 743 mm (-6% on the normal)1998: 1,002 mm (+27% on the normal)1999: 653 mm (-17% on the normal)2000: 1,028 mm (+30% on the normal)2001: 956 mm (+21% on the normal)2002: 899 mm (+14% on the normal)2003: 626 mm (-21% on the normal)2004: 923 mm (+17% on the normal)2005: 784 mm (-1% on the normal)2006: 950 mm (+20% on the normal)2007: 677 mm (-14% on the normal)2008: 747 mm (-6% on the normal)2009: 659 mm (-17% on the normal)2010: 856 mm (+8% on the normal)2011: 1,075 mm (+36% on the normal)2012: 955 mm (+21% on the normal)2013: 645 mm (-19% on the normal)2014: 783 mm (-1% on the normal)2015: 684 mm (-14% on the normal)2016: 645 mm (-19% on the normal)2017: 782 mm (-1% on the normal)2018: 588 mm (-26% on the normal)2019: 604 mm (-24% on the normal)2020: 824 mm (+4% on the normal)2021: 814 mm (+3% on the normal)2022: 775 mm (-2% on the normal)2023: 967 mm (+22% on the normal)2024: 674 mm (-15% on the normal)2025: 827 mm (+4% on the normal)

19912025

Rain each year, 1991 to 2025. Up: wetter than the 1991 to 2020 normal (792 mm a year). Down: drier.
Show the numbers
Rain each year, 1991 to 2025.: every figure
When or whatFigure
1991950 mm (+20% on the normal)
1992551 mm (-30% on the normal)
1993763 mm (-4% on the normal)
1994645 mm (-19% on the normal)
1995864 mm (+9% on the normal)
1996883 mm (+12% on the normal)
1997743 mm (-6% on the normal)
19981,002 mm (+27% on the normal)
1999653 mm (-17% on the normal)
20001,028 mm (+30% on the normal)
2001956 mm (+21% on the normal)
2002899 mm (+14% on the normal)
2003626 mm (-21% on the normal)
2004923 mm (+17% on the normal)
2005784 mm (-1% on the normal)
2006950 mm (+20% on the normal)
2007677 mm (-14% on the normal)
2008747 mm (-6% on the normal)
2009659 mm (-17% on the normal)
2010856 mm (+8% on the normal)
20111,075 mm (+36% on the normal)
2012955 mm (+21% on the normal)
2013645 mm (-19% on the normal)
2014783 mm (-1% on the normal)
2015684 mm (-14% on the normal)
2016645 mm (-19% on the normal)
2017782 mm (-1% on the normal)
2018588 mm (-26% on the normal)
2019604 mm (-24% on the normal)
2020824 mm (+4% on the normal)
2021814 mm (+3% on the normal)
2022775 mm (-2% on the normal)
2023967 mm (+22% on the normal)
2024674 mm (-15% on the normal)
2025827 mm (+4% on the normal)

Wettest: 2011 (1,075 mm). Driest: 1992 (551 mm). Hottest day since our daily figures start in 2023: 39.9 °C in January 2026.

A normal year here (1991 to 2020)

JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec
Rain mm1101009265211820304779100110
Mean °C19.920.018.916.414.412.011.713.014.815.917.118.8

Source

Modelled estimates from a weather reanalysis, averaged over the whole place: not readings from a weather station, and not a forecast. The weather model runs about five days behind the weather, so the newest day here is usually five to twelve days ago.

Contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026. Neither the European Commission nor ECMWF is responsible for any use that may be made of the Copernicus information or data it contains. Muñoz Sabater, J. (2019): ERA5-Land hourly data from 1950 to present, and ERA5-Land monthly averaged data from 1950 to present. Copernicus Climate Change Service (C3S) Climate Data Store (CDS). DOI 10.24381/cds.e2161bac and 10.24381/cds.68d2bb30. ERA5-Land on the Climate Data Store, under CC BY 4.0.

What we changed: we cut ERA5-Land to South Africa, averaged its 9 km grid cells over each ward, municipality, district and province by the area of the place in each cell (MDB boundaries, 2026), took each day’s high and low from 16 of its hourly values, added up days into months, and averaged 1991 to 2020 for the normals.

Dataset: rainfall and temperature by ward, release of 5 November 2026. The South African Weather Service issues the official forecasts and warnings.

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