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Weather in Ward 15, Winnie Madikizela-Mandela
This month here (1 to 5 November): hottest day 31.4 °C, 31 mm of rain; a normal November has 127 mm. Coldest night 15.7 °C on 5 November 2026.
Modelled estimates from a weather reanalysis, averaged over the whole place: not readings from a weather station, and not a forecast. Weather here is averaged over a 9 km grid; this ward overlaps 5 grid cells, each weighted by the ward’s area in it, and its neighbours draw on some of the same cells.
November so far, day by day
| Nov | High °C | Low °C | Rain mm |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 22.5 | 16.7 | 10.8 |
| 2 | 18.3 | 15.9 | 14.6 |
| 3 | 19.1 | 16.1 | 3.4 |
| 4 | 23.5 | 17.4 | 0.5 |
| 5 | 31.4 | 15.7 | 1.5 |
Highs and lows are for the South African day; rain is for the day to 02:00 the next morning (the weather model’s day ends at midnight UTC). The weather model runs about five days behind the weather, so the newest day here is usually five to twelve days ago. Only whole days are shown.
The last twelve months against normal
Show the numbers
| When or what | Figure |
|---|---|
| November | 103 mm, normal 127 mm |
| December | 151 mm, normal 140 mm |
| January | 74 mm, normal 139 mm |
| February | 192 mm, normal 114 mm |
| March | 49 mm, normal 120 mm |
| April | 33 mm, normal 87 mm |
| May | 47 mm, normal 39 mm |
| June | 27 mm, normal 34 mm |
| July | 112 mm, normal 35 mm |
| August | 63 mm, normal 41 mm |
| September | 123 mm, normal 75 mm |
| October | 124 mm, normal 107 mm |
Every year since 1991
19912025
Show the numbers
| When or what | Figure |
|---|---|
| 1991 | 1,050 mm (-1% on the normal) |
| 1992 | 782 mm (-26% on the normal) |
| 1993 | 931 mm (-12% on the normal) |
| 1994 | 946 mm (-11% on the normal) |
| 1995 | 1,272 mm (+20% on the normal) |
| 1996 | 1,105 mm (+4% on the normal) |
| 1997 | 1,214 mm (+15% on the normal) |
| 1998 | 1,137 mm (+7% on the normal) |
| 1999 | 1,195 mm (+13% on the normal) |
| 2000 | 1,448 mm (+37% on the normal) |
| 2001 | 1,126 mm (+6% on the normal) |
| 2002 | 956 mm (-10% on the normal) |
| 2003 | 852 mm (-19% on the normal) |
| 2004 | 959 mm (-9% on the normal) |
| 2005 | 1,012 mm (-4% on the normal) |
| 2006 | 1,346 mm (+27% on the normal) |
| 2007 | 956 mm (-10% on the normal) |
| 2008 | 1,042 mm (-2% on the normal) |
| 2009 | 1,082 mm (+2% on the normal) |
| 2010 | 826 mm (-22% on the normal) |
| 2011 | 1,217 mm (+15% on the normal) |
| 2012 | 1,286 mm (+22% on the normal) |
| 2013 | 1,139 mm (+8% on the normal) |
| 2014 | 850 mm (-20% on the normal) |
| 2015 | 892 mm (-16% on the normal) |
| 2016 | 940 mm (-11% on the normal) |
| 2017 | 1,116 mm (+5% on the normal) |
| 2018 | 911 mm (-14% on the normal) |
| 2019 | 1,090 mm (+3% on the normal) |
| 2020 | 1,071 mm (+1% on the normal) |
| 2021 | 1,141 mm (+8% on the normal) |
| 2022 | 1,093 mm (+3% on the normal) |
| 2023 | 1,321 mm (+25% on the normal) |
| 2024 | 1,027 mm (-3% on the normal) |
| 2025 | 1,362 mm (+29% on the normal) |
Wettest: 2000 (1,448 mm). Driest: 1992 (782 mm). Hottest day since our daily figures start in 2023: 35.8 °C in March 2024.
A normal year here (1991 to 2020)
| Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rain mm | 139 | 114 | 120 | 87 | 39 | 34 | 35 | 41 | 75 | 107 | 127 | 140 |
| Mean °C | 21.1 | 21.4 | 20.5 | 18.4 | 16.4 | 14.1 | 13.9 | 15.2 | 16.4 | 17.3 | 18.5 | 20.0 |
Source
Modelled estimates from a weather reanalysis, averaged over the whole place: not readings from a weather station, and not a forecast. The weather model runs about five days behind the weather, so the newest day here is usually five to twelve days ago.
Contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026. Neither the European Commission nor ECMWF is responsible for any use that may be made of the Copernicus information or data it contains. Muñoz Sabater, J. (2019): ERA5-Land hourly data from 1950 to present, and ERA5-Land monthly averaged data from 1950 to present. Copernicus Climate Change Service (C3S) Climate Data Store (CDS). DOI 10.24381/cds.e2161bac and 10.24381/cds.68d2bb30. ERA5-Land on the Climate Data Store, under CC BY 4.0.
What we changed: we cut ERA5-Land to South Africa, averaged its 9 km grid cells over each ward, municipality, district and province by the area of the place in each cell (MDB boundaries, 2026), took each day’s high and low from 16 of its hourly values, added up days into months, and averaged 1991 to 2020 for the normals.
Dataset: rainfall and temperature by ward, release of 5 November 2026. The South African Weather Service issues the official forecasts and warnings.