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Weather in Ward 4, Buffalo City
This month here (1 to 5 November): hottest day 29.2 °C, 12 mm of rain; a normal November has 85 mm. Coldest night 16.1 °C on 3 November 2026.
Modelled estimates from a weather reanalysis, averaged over the whole place: not readings from a weather station, and not a forecast. Weather here is averaged over a 9 km grid; this ward shares it with 15 neighbouring wards. It lies in one grid cell, and 8 of them get exactly the same figures.
November so far, day by day
| Nov | High °C | Low °C | Rain mm |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 22.8 | 18.5 | 4.1 |
| 2 | 19.0 | 16.5 | 7.0 |
| 3 | 22.4 | 16.1 | 0.7 |
| 4 | 23.7 | 18.7 | 0.0 |
| 5 | 29.2 | 19.5 | 0.1 |
Highs and lows are for the South African day; rain is for the day to 02:00 the next morning (the weather model’s day ends at midnight UTC). The weather model runs about five days behind the weather, so the newest day here is usually five to twelve days ago. Only whole days are shown.
The last twelve months against normal
Show the numbers
| When or what | Figure |
|---|---|
| November | 44 mm, normal 85 mm |
| December | 74 mm, normal 85 mm |
| January | 28 mm, normal 85 mm |
| February | 123 mm, normal 89 mm |
| March | 56 mm, normal 92 mm |
| April | 50 mm, normal 83 mm |
| May | 96 mm, normal 32 mm |
| June | 107 mm, normal 31 mm |
| July | 82 mm, normal 35 mm |
| August | 36 mm, normal 45 mm |
| September | 135 mm, normal 56 mm |
| October | 79 mm, normal 76 mm |
Every year since 1991
19912025
Show the numbers
| When or what | Figure |
|---|---|
| 1991 | 697 mm (-12% on the normal) |
| 1992 | 607 mm (-23% on the normal) |
| 1993 | 706 mm (-11% on the normal) |
| 1994 | 683 mm (-14% on the normal) |
| 1995 | 762 mm (-4% on the normal) |
| 1996 | 879 mm (+11% on the normal) |
| 1997 | 837 mm (+6% on the normal) |
| 1998 | 905 mm (+14% on the normal) |
| 1999 | 790 mm (-0% on the normal) |
| 2000 | 1,106 mm (+40% on the normal) |
| 2001 | 807 mm (+2% on the normal) |
| 2002 | 896 mm (+13% on the normal) |
| 2003 | 685 mm (-13% on the normal) |
| 2004 | 772 mm (-2% on the normal) |
| 2005 | 745 mm (-6% on the normal) |
| 2006 | 1,076 mm (+36% on the normal) |
| 2007 | 628 mm (-21% on the normal) |
| 2008 | 744 mm (-6% on the normal) |
| 2009 | 592 mm (-25% on the normal) |
| 2010 | 727 mm (-8% on the normal) |
| 2011 | 1,080 mm (+36% on the normal) |
| 2012 | 913 mm (+15% on the normal) |
| 2013 | 725 mm (-8% on the normal) |
| 2014 | 1,064 mm (+34% on the normal) |
| 2015 | 892 mm (+13% on the normal) |
| 2016 | 646 mm (-18% on the normal) |
| 2017 | 786 mm (-1% on the normal) |
| 2018 | 556 mm (-30% on the normal) |
| 2019 | 644 mm (-19% on the normal) |
| 2020 | 799 mm (+1% on the normal) |
| 2021 | 679 mm (-14% on the normal) |
| 2022 | 881 mm (+11% on the normal) |
| 2023 | 912 mm (+15% on the normal) |
| 2024 | 845 mm (+7% on the normal) |
| 2025 | 785 mm (-1% on the normal) |
Wettest: 2000 (1,106 mm). Driest: 2018 (556 mm). Hottest day since our daily figures start in 2023: 38.8 °C in October 2025.
A normal year here (1991 to 2020)
| Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rain mm | 85 | 89 | 92 | 83 | 32 | 31 | 35 | 45 | 56 | 76 | 85 | 85 |
| Mean °C | 22.5 | 22.9 | 22.0 | 20.2 | 18.7 | 16.9 | 16.4 | 16.6 | 17.3 | 18.4 | 19.6 | 21.3 |
Source
Modelled estimates from a weather reanalysis, averaged over the whole place: not readings from a weather station, and not a forecast. The weather model runs about five days behind the weather, so the newest day here is usually five to twelve days ago.
Contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026. Neither the European Commission nor ECMWF is responsible for any use that may be made of the Copernicus information or data it contains. Muñoz Sabater, J. (2019): ERA5-Land hourly data from 1950 to present, and ERA5-Land monthly averaged data from 1950 to present. Copernicus Climate Change Service (C3S) Climate Data Store (CDS). DOI 10.24381/cds.e2161bac and 10.24381/cds.68d2bb30. ERA5-Land on the Climate Data Store, under CC BY 4.0.
What we changed: we cut ERA5-Land to South Africa, averaged its 9 km grid cells over each ward, municipality, district and province by the area of the place in each cell (MDB boundaries, 2026), took each day’s high and low from 16 of its hourly values, added up days into months, and averaged 1991 to 2020 for the normals.
Dataset: rainfall and temperature by ward, release of 5 November 2026. The South African Weather Service issues the official forecasts and warnings.