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Weather in Ward 11, Buffalo City

This month here (1 to 5 November): hottest day 32.2 °C, 10 mm of rain; a normal November has 85 mm. Coldest night 15.5 °C on 3 November 2026.

Modelled estimates from a weather reanalysis, averaged over the whole place: not readings from a weather station, and not a forecast. Weather here is averaged over a 9 km grid; this ward overlaps 4 grid cells, each weighted by the ward’s area in it, and its neighbours draw on some of the same cells.

November so far, day by day

NovHigh °CLow °CRain mm
122.617.23.7
218.316.05.0
322.315.51.3
424.217.70.1
532.218.00.1

Highs and lows are for the South African day; rain is for the day to 02:00 the next morning (the weather model’s day ends at midnight UTC). The weather model runs about five days behind the weather, so the newest day here is usually five to twelve days ago. Only whole days are shown.

The last twelve months against normal

November: 43 mm, normal 85 mmNDecember: 75 mm, normal 87 mmDJanuary: 34 mm, normal 87 mmJFebruary: 126 mm, normal 90 mmFMarch: 54 mm, normal 90 mmMApril: 51 mm, normal 77 mmAMay: 83 mm, normal 27 mmMJune: 95 mm, normal 26 mmJJuly: 80 mm, normal 30 mmJAugust: 36 mm, normal 41 mmASeptember: 141 mm, normal 53 mmSOctober: 82 mm, normal 73 mmO
Rain each month, November 2025 to October 2026 (this month to 5 November 2026). Bars: rain. Lines: the 1991 to 2020 normal.
Show the numbers
Rain each month, November 2025 to October 2026 (this month to 5 November 2026).: every figure
When or whatFigure
November43 mm, normal 85 mm
December75 mm, normal 87 mm
January34 mm, normal 87 mm
February126 mm, normal 90 mm
March54 mm, normal 90 mm
April51 mm, normal 77 mm
May83 mm, normal 27 mm
June95 mm, normal 26 mm
July80 mm, normal 30 mm
August36 mm, normal 41 mm
September141 mm, normal 53 mm
October82 mm, normal 73 mm

Every year since 1991

1991: 695 mm (-9% on the normal)1992: 593 mm (-22% on the normal)1993: 687 mm (-10% on the normal)1994: 684 mm (-11% on the normal)1995: 744 mm (-3% on the normal)1996: 819 mm (+7% on the normal)1997: 770 mm (+1% on the normal)1998: 883 mm (+15% on the normal)1999: 770 mm (+1% on the normal)2000: 1,041 mm (+36% on the normal)2001: 816 mm (+7% on the normal)2002: 855 mm (+12% on the normal)2003: 651 mm (-15% on the normal)2004: 786 mm (+3% on the normal)2005: 718 mm (-6% on the normal)2006: 1,043 mm (+36% on the normal)2007: 607 mm (-21% on the normal)2008: 729 mm (-5% on the normal)2009: 585 mm (-24% on the normal)2010: 722 mm (-6% on the normal)2011: 1,032 mm (+35% on the normal)2012: 872 mm (+14% on the normal)2013: 676 mm (-12% on the normal)2014: 1,030 mm (+35% on the normal)2015: 878 mm (+15% on the normal)2016: 626 mm (-18% on the normal)2017: 776 mm (+1% on the normal)2018: 536 mm (-30% on the normal)2019: 580 mm (-24% on the normal)2020: 753 mm (-2% on the normal)2021: 673 mm (-12% on the normal)2022: 788 mm (+3% on the normal)2023: 861 mm (+13% on the normal)2024: 792 mm (+4% on the normal)2025: 715 mm (-7% on the normal)

19912025

Rain each year, 1991 to 2025. Up: wetter than the 1991 to 2020 normal (765 mm a year). Down: drier.
Show the numbers
Rain each year, 1991 to 2025.: every figure
When or whatFigure
1991695 mm (-9% on the normal)
1992593 mm (-22% on the normal)
1993687 mm (-10% on the normal)
1994684 mm (-11% on the normal)
1995744 mm (-3% on the normal)
1996819 mm (+7% on the normal)
1997770 mm (+1% on the normal)
1998883 mm (+15% on the normal)
1999770 mm (+1% on the normal)
20001,041 mm (+36% on the normal)
2001816 mm (+7% on the normal)
2002855 mm (+12% on the normal)
2003651 mm (-15% on the normal)
2004786 mm (+3% on the normal)
2005718 mm (-6% on the normal)
20061,043 mm (+36% on the normal)
2007607 mm (-21% on the normal)
2008729 mm (-5% on the normal)
2009585 mm (-24% on the normal)
2010722 mm (-6% on the normal)
20111,032 mm (+35% on the normal)
2012872 mm (+14% on the normal)
2013676 mm (-12% on the normal)
20141,030 mm (+35% on the normal)
2015878 mm (+15% on the normal)
2016626 mm (-18% on the normal)
2017776 mm (+1% on the normal)
2018536 mm (-30% on the normal)
2019580 mm (-24% on the normal)
2020753 mm (-2% on the normal)
2021673 mm (-12% on the normal)
2022788 mm (+3% on the normal)
2023861 mm (+13% on the normal)
2024792 mm (+4% on the normal)
2025715 mm (-7% on the normal)

Wettest: 2006 (1,043 mm). Driest: 2018 (536 mm). Hottest day since our daily figures start in 2023: 39.4 °C in October 2025.

A normal year here (1991 to 2020)

JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec
Rain mm879090772726304153738587
Mean °C21.922.221.219.117.415.415.015.516.517.719.020.7

Source

Modelled estimates from a weather reanalysis, averaged over the whole place: not readings from a weather station, and not a forecast. The weather model runs about five days behind the weather, so the newest day here is usually five to twelve days ago.

Contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026. Neither the European Commission nor ECMWF is responsible for any use that may be made of the Copernicus information or data it contains. Muñoz Sabater, J. (2019): ERA5-Land hourly data from 1950 to present, and ERA5-Land monthly averaged data from 1950 to present. Copernicus Climate Change Service (C3S) Climate Data Store (CDS). DOI 10.24381/cds.e2161bac and 10.24381/cds.68d2bb30. ERA5-Land on the Climate Data Store, under CC BY 4.0.

What we changed: we cut ERA5-Land to South Africa, averaged its 9 km grid cells over each ward, municipality, district and province by the area of the place in each cell (MDB boundaries, 2026), took each day’s high and low from 16 of its hourly values, added up days into months, and averaged 1991 to 2020 for the normals.

Dataset: rainfall and temperature by ward, release of 5 November 2026. The South African Weather Service issues the official forecasts and warnings.

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