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Weather in Ward 15, Buffalo City

This month here (1 to 5 November): hottest day 30.9 °C, 12 mm of rain; a normal November has 88 mm. Coldest night 15.5 °C on 3 November 2026.

Modelled estimates from a weather reanalysis, averaged over the whole place: not readings from a weather station, and not a forecast. Weather here is averaged over a 9 km grid; this ward overlaps 2 grid cells, each weighted by the ward’s area in it, and its neighbours draw on some of the same cells.

November so far, day by day

NovHigh °CLow °CRain mm
122.717.94.1
218.516.16.9
322.215.50.9
424.218.00.1
530.918.70.1

Highs and lows are for the South African day; rain is for the day to 02:00 the next morning (the weather model’s day ends at midnight UTC). The weather model runs about five days behind the weather, so the newest day here is usually five to twelve days ago. Only whole days are shown.

The last twelve months against normal

November: 44 mm, normal 88 mmNDecember: 79 mm, normal 91 mmDJanuary: 34 mm, normal 91 mmJFebruary: 135 mm, normal 93 mmFMarch: 56 mm, normal 94 mmMApril: 56 mm, normal 82 mmAMay: 89 mm, normal 30 mmMJune: 98 mm, normal 29 mmJJuly: 83 mm, normal 32 mmJAugust: 36 mm, normal 43 mmASeptember: 144 mm, normal 56 mmSOctober: 81 mm, normal 78 mmO
Rain each month, November 2025 to October 2026 (this month to 5 November 2026). Bars: rain. Lines: the 1991 to 2020 normal.
Show the numbers
Rain each month, November 2025 to October 2026 (this month to 5 November 2026).: every figure
When or whatFigure
November44 mm, normal 88 mm
December79 mm, normal 91 mm
January34 mm, normal 91 mm
February135 mm, normal 93 mm
March56 mm, normal 94 mm
April56 mm, normal 82 mm
May89 mm, normal 30 mm
June98 mm, normal 29 mm
July83 mm, normal 32 mm
August36 mm, normal 43 mm
September144 mm, normal 56 mm
October81 mm, normal 78 mm

Every year since 1991

1991: 725 mm (-10% on the normal)1992: 626 mm (-22% on the normal)1993: 721 mm (-11% on the normal)1994: 693 mm (-14% on the normal)1995: 777 mm (-4% on the normal)1996: 872 mm (+8% on the normal)1997: 838 mm (+4% on the normal)1998: 947 mm (+18% on the normal)1999: 810 mm (+1% on the normal)2000: 1,102 mm (+37% on the normal)2001: 827 mm (+3% on the normal)2002: 886 mm (+10% on the normal)2003: 658 mm (-18% on the normal)2004: 816 mm (+1% on the normal)2005: 748 mm (-7% on the normal)2006: 1,099 mm (+36% on the normal)2007: 638 mm (-21% on the normal)2008: 758 mm (-6% on the normal)2009: 620 mm (-23% on the normal)2010: 765 mm (-5% on the normal)2011: 1,108 mm (+38% on the normal)2012: 929 mm (+15% on the normal)2013: 720 mm (-11% on the normal)2014: 1,064 mm (+32% on the normal)2015: 892 mm (+11% on the normal)2016: 647 mm (-20% on the normal)2017: 810 mm (+1% on the normal)2018: 577 mm (-28% on the normal)2019: 662 mm (-18% on the normal)2020: 834 mm (+4% on the normal)2021: 729 mm (-10% on the normal)2022: 875 mm (+9% on the normal)2023: 952 mm (+18% on the normal)2024: 875 mm (+9% on the normal)2025: 808 mm (+0% on the normal)

19912025

Rain each year, 1991 to 2025. Up: wetter than the 1991 to 2020 normal (806 mm a year). Down: drier.
Show the numbers
Rain each year, 1991 to 2025.: every figure
When or whatFigure
1991725 mm (-10% on the normal)
1992626 mm (-22% on the normal)
1993721 mm (-11% on the normal)
1994693 mm (-14% on the normal)
1995777 mm (-4% on the normal)
1996872 mm (+8% on the normal)
1997838 mm (+4% on the normal)
1998947 mm (+18% on the normal)
1999810 mm (+1% on the normal)
20001,102 mm (+37% on the normal)
2001827 mm (+3% on the normal)
2002886 mm (+10% on the normal)
2003658 mm (-18% on the normal)
2004816 mm (+1% on the normal)
2005748 mm (-7% on the normal)
20061,099 mm (+36% on the normal)
2007638 mm (-21% on the normal)
2008758 mm (-6% on the normal)
2009620 mm (-23% on the normal)
2010765 mm (-5% on the normal)
20111,108 mm (+38% on the normal)
2012929 mm (+15% on the normal)
2013720 mm (-11% on the normal)
20141,064 mm (+32% on the normal)
2015892 mm (+11% on the normal)
2016647 mm (-20% on the normal)
2017810 mm (+1% on the normal)
2018577 mm (-28% on the normal)
2019662 mm (-18% on the normal)
2020834 mm (+4% on the normal)
2021729 mm (-10% on the normal)
2022875 mm (+9% on the normal)
2023952 mm (+18% on the normal)
2024875 mm (+9% on the normal)
2025808 mm (+0% on the normal)

Wettest: 2011 (1,108 mm). Driest: 2018 (577 mm). Hottest day since our daily figures start in 2023: 38.4 °C in October 2025.

A normal year here (1991 to 2020)

JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec
Rain mm919394823029324356788891
Mean °C22.222.621.619.718.216.416.016.217.018.119.421.0

Source

Modelled estimates from a weather reanalysis, averaged over the whole place: not readings from a weather station, and not a forecast. The weather model runs about five days behind the weather, so the newest day here is usually five to twelve days ago.

Contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026. Neither the European Commission nor ECMWF is responsible for any use that may be made of the Copernicus information or data it contains. Muñoz Sabater, J. (2019): ERA5-Land hourly data from 1950 to present, and ERA5-Land monthly averaged data from 1950 to present. Copernicus Climate Change Service (C3S) Climate Data Store (CDS). DOI 10.24381/cds.e2161bac and 10.24381/cds.68d2bb30. ERA5-Land on the Climate Data Store, under CC BY 4.0.

What we changed: we cut ERA5-Land to South Africa, averaged its 9 km grid cells over each ward, municipality, district and province by the area of the place in each cell (MDB boundaries, 2026), took each day’s high and low from 16 of its hourly values, added up days into months, and averaged 1991 to 2020 for the normals.

Dataset: rainfall and temperature by ward, release of 5 November 2026. The South African Weather Service issues the official forecasts and warnings.

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