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Weather in Ward 16, Buffalo City
This month here (1 to 5 November): hottest day 30.6 °C, 11 mm of rain; a normal November has 85 mm. Coldest night 15.8 °C on 3 November 2026.
Modelled estimates from a weather reanalysis, averaged over the whole place: not readings from a weather station, and not a forecast. Weather here is averaged over a 9 km grid; this ward overlaps 4 grid cells, each weighted by the ward’s area in it, and its neighbours draw on some of the same cells.
November so far, day by day
| Nov | High °C | Low °C | Rain mm |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 22.7 | 17.9 | 3.7 |
| 2 | 18.7 | 16.2 | 5.8 |
| 3 | 22.3 | 15.8 | 0.9 |
| 4 | 24.0 | 18.1 | 0.1 |
| 5 | 30.6 | 18.7 | 0.1 |
Highs and lows are for the South African day; rain is for the day to 02:00 the next morning (the weather model’s day ends at midnight UTC). The weather model runs about five days behind the weather, so the newest day here is usually five to twelve days ago. Only whole days are shown.
The last twelve months against normal
Show the numbers
| When or what | Figure |
|---|---|
| November | 44 mm, normal 85 mm |
| December | 75 mm, normal 86 mm |
| January | 32 mm, normal 86 mm |
| February | 125 mm, normal 90 mm |
| March | 56 mm, normal 91 mm |
| April | 50 mm, normal 80 mm |
| May | 88 mm, normal 29 mm |
| June | 102 mm, normal 28 mm |
| July | 82 mm, normal 32 mm |
| August | 36 mm, normal 42 mm |
| September | 138 mm, normal 54 mm |
| October | 80 mm, normal 74 mm |
Every year since 1991
19912025
Show the numbers
| When or what | Figure |
|---|---|
| 1991 | 694 mm (-11% on the normal) |
| 1992 | 597 mm (-23% on the normal) |
| 1993 | 695 mm (-10% on the normal) |
| 1994 | 681 mm (-12% on the normal) |
| 1995 | 750 mm (-3% on the normal) |
| 1996 | 850 mm (+10% on the normal) |
| 1997 | 802 mm (+3% on the normal) |
| 1998 | 890 mm (+15% on the normal) |
| 1999 | 780 mm (+1% on the normal) |
| 2000 | 1,070 mm (+38% on the normal) |
| 2001 | 806 mm (+4% on the normal) |
| 2002 | 870 mm (+12% on the normal) |
| 2003 | 662 mm (-15% on the normal) |
| 2004 | 782 mm (+1% on the normal) |
| 2005 | 729 mm (-6% on the normal) |
| 2006 | 1,052 mm (+36% on the normal) |
| 2007 | 612 mm (-21% on the normal) |
| 2008 | 733 mm (-6% on the normal) |
| 2009 | 587 mm (-24% on the normal) |
| 2010 | 723 mm (-7% on the normal) |
| 2011 | 1,055 mm (+36% on the normal) |
| 2012 | 894 mm (+15% on the normal) |
| 2013 | 694 mm (-11% on the normal) |
| 2014 | 1,050 mm (+35% on the normal) |
| 2015 | 879 mm (+13% on the normal) |
| 2016 | 633 mm (-18% on the normal) |
| 2017 | 771 mm (-1% on the normal) |
| 2018 | 544 mm (-30% on the normal) |
| 2019 | 614 mm (-21% on the normal) |
| 2020 | 776 mm (+0% on the normal) |
| 2021 | 671 mm (-14% on the normal) |
| 2022 | 833 mm (+7% on the normal) |
| 2023 | 892 mm (+15% on the normal) |
| 2024 | 820 mm (+6% on the normal) |
| 2025 | 752 mm (-3% on the normal) |
Wettest: 2000 (1,070 mm). Driest: 2018 (544 mm). Hottest day since our daily figures start in 2023: 39.3 °C in October 2025.
A normal year here (1991 to 2020)
| Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rain mm | 86 | 90 | 91 | 80 | 29 | 28 | 32 | 42 | 54 | 74 | 85 | 86 |
| Mean °C | 22.2 | 22.6 | 21.6 | 19.7 | 18.1 | 16.2 | 15.8 | 16.1 | 16.9 | 18.1 | 19.3 | 21.0 |
Source
Modelled estimates from a weather reanalysis, averaged over the whole place: not readings from a weather station, and not a forecast. The weather model runs about five days behind the weather, so the newest day here is usually five to twelve days ago.
Contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026. Neither the European Commission nor ECMWF is responsible for any use that may be made of the Copernicus information or data it contains. Muñoz Sabater, J. (2019): ERA5-Land hourly data from 1950 to present, and ERA5-Land monthly averaged data from 1950 to present. Copernicus Climate Change Service (C3S) Climate Data Store (CDS). DOI 10.24381/cds.e2161bac and 10.24381/cds.68d2bb30. ERA5-Land on the Climate Data Store, under CC BY 4.0.
What we changed: we cut ERA5-Land to South Africa, averaged its 9 km grid cells over each ward, municipality, district and province by the area of the place in each cell (MDB boundaries, 2026), took each day’s high and low from 16 of its hourly values, added up days into months, and averaged 1991 to 2020 for the normals.
Dataset: rainfall and temperature by ward, release of 5 November 2026. The South African Weather Service issues the official forecasts and warnings.