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Weather in Ward 38, Buffalo City

This month here (1 to 5 November): hottest day 35.6 °C, 11 mm of rain; a normal November has 103 mm. 1 day reached 35 °C. Coldest night 12.2 °C on 3 November 2026.

Modelled estimates from a weather reanalysis, averaged over the whole place: not readings from a weather station, and not a forecast. Weather here is averaged over a 9 km grid; this ward overlaps 7 grid cells, each weighted by the ward’s area in it, and its neighbours draw on some of the same cells.

November so far, day by day

NovHigh °CLow °CRain mm
120.214.06.2
216.713.73.6
322.312.21.0
424.815.90.1
535.615.90.1

Highs and lows are for the South African day; rain is for the day to 02:00 the next morning (the weather model’s day ends at midnight UTC). The weather model runs about five days behind the weather, so the newest day here is usually five to twelve days ago. Only whole days are shown.

The last twelve months against normal

November: 49 mm, normal 103 mmNDecember: 86 mm, normal 118 mmDJanuary: 50 mm, normal 119 mmJFebruary: 172 mm, normal 114 mmFMarch: 88 mm, normal 109 mmMApril: 80 mm, normal 82 mmAMay: 89 mm, normal 30 mmMJune: 80 mm, normal 27 mmJJuly: 88 mm, normal 29 mmJAugust: 36 mm, normal 44 mmASeptember: 160 mm, normal 56 mmSOctober: 83 mm, normal 88 mmO
Rain each month, November 2025 to October 2026 (this month to 5 November 2026). Bars: rain. Lines: the 1991 to 2020 normal.
Show the numbers
Rain each month, November 2025 to October 2026 (this month to 5 November 2026).: every figure
When or whatFigure
November49 mm, normal 103 mm
December86 mm, normal 118 mm
January50 mm, normal 119 mm
February172 mm, normal 114 mm
March88 mm, normal 109 mm
April80 mm, normal 82 mm
May89 mm, normal 30 mm
June80 mm, normal 27 mm
July88 mm, normal 29 mm
August36 mm, normal 44 mm
September160 mm, normal 56 mm
October83 mm, normal 88 mm

Every year since 1991

1991: 957 mm (+4% on the normal)1992: 721 mm (-21% on the normal)1993: 854 mm (-7% on the normal)1994: 806 mm (-12% on the normal)1995: 940 mm (+2% on the normal)1996: 980 mm (+7% on the normal)1997: 868 mm (-5% on the normal)1998: 1,093 mm (+19% on the normal)1999: 892 mm (-3% on the normal)2000: 1,100 mm (+20% on the normal)2001: 1,120 mm (+22% on the normal)2002: 1,074 mm (+17% on the normal)2003: 740 mm (-19% on the normal)2004: 1,047 mm (+14% on the normal)2005: 903 mm (-2% on the normal)2006: 1,149 mm (+25% on the normal)2007: 782 mm (-15% on the normal)2008: 879 mm (-4% on the normal)2009: 787 mm (-14% on the normal)2010: 921 mm (+0% on the normal)2011: 1,217 mm (+33% on the normal)2012: 1,056 mm (+15% on the normal)2013: 746 mm (-19% on the normal)2014: 1,046 mm (+14% on the normal)2015: 951 mm (+4% on the normal)2016: 687 mm (-25% on the normal)2017: 883 mm (-4% on the normal)2018: 720 mm (-22% on the normal)2019: 651 mm (-29% on the normal)2020: 968 mm (+5% on the normal)2021: 884 mm (-4% on the normal)2022: 883 mm (-4% on the normal)2023: 1,032 mm (+12% on the normal)2024: 888 mm (-3% on the normal)2025: 871 mm (-5% on the normal)

19912025

Rain each year, 1991 to 2025. Up: wetter than the 1991 to 2020 normal (918 mm a year). Down: drier.
Show the numbers
Rain each year, 1991 to 2025.: every figure
When or whatFigure
1991957 mm (+4% on the normal)
1992721 mm (-21% on the normal)
1993854 mm (-7% on the normal)
1994806 mm (-12% on the normal)
1995940 mm (+2% on the normal)
1996980 mm (+7% on the normal)
1997868 mm (-5% on the normal)
19981,093 mm (+19% on the normal)
1999892 mm (-3% on the normal)
20001,100 mm (+20% on the normal)
20011,120 mm (+22% on the normal)
20021,074 mm (+17% on the normal)
2003740 mm (-19% on the normal)
20041,047 mm (+14% on the normal)
2005903 mm (-2% on the normal)
20061,149 mm (+25% on the normal)
2007782 mm (-15% on the normal)
2008879 mm (-4% on the normal)
2009787 mm (-14% on the normal)
2010921 mm (+0% on the normal)
20111,217 mm (+33% on the normal)
20121,056 mm (+15% on the normal)
2013746 mm (-19% on the normal)
20141,046 mm (+14% on the normal)
2015951 mm (+4% on the normal)
2016687 mm (-25% on the normal)
2017883 mm (-4% on the normal)
2018720 mm (-22% on the normal)
2019651 mm (-29% on the normal)
2020968 mm (+5% on the normal)
2021884 mm (-4% on the normal)
2022883 mm (-4% on the normal)
20231,032 mm (+12% on the normal)
2024888 mm (-3% on the normal)
2025871 mm (-5% on the normal)

Wettest: 2011 (1,217 mm). Driest: 2019 (651 mm). Hottest day since our daily figures start in 2023: 38.3 °C in January 2026.

A normal year here (1991 to 2020)

JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec
Rain mm11911410982302729445688103118
Mean °C20.220.319.216.814.712.412.213.114.615.917.219.0

Source

Modelled estimates from a weather reanalysis, averaged over the whole place: not readings from a weather station, and not a forecast. The weather model runs about five days behind the weather, so the newest day here is usually five to twelve days ago.

Contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026. Neither the European Commission nor ECMWF is responsible for any use that may be made of the Copernicus information or data it contains. Muñoz Sabater, J. (2019): ERA5-Land hourly data from 1950 to present, and ERA5-Land monthly averaged data from 1950 to present. Copernicus Climate Change Service (C3S) Climate Data Store (CDS). DOI 10.24381/cds.e2161bac and 10.24381/cds.68d2bb30. ERA5-Land on the Climate Data Store, under CC BY 4.0.

What we changed: we cut ERA5-Land to South Africa, averaged its 9 km grid cells over each ward, municipality, district and province by the area of the place in each cell (MDB boundaries, 2026), took each day’s high and low from 16 of its hourly values, added up days into months, and averaged 1991 to 2020 for the normals.

Dataset: rainfall and temperature by ward, release of 5 November 2026. The South African Weather Service issues the official forecasts and warnings.

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