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Weather in Ward 40, Buffalo City

This month here (1 to 5 November): hottest day 36.1 °C, 11 mm of rain; a normal November has 81 mm. 1 day reached 35 °C. Coldest night 14.2 °C on 3 November 2026.

Modelled estimates from a weather reanalysis, averaged over the whole place: not readings from a weather station, and not a forecast. Weather here is averaged over a 9 km grid; this ward overlaps 7 grid cells, each weighted by the ward’s area in it, and its neighbours draw on some of the same cells.

November so far, day by day

NovHigh °CLow °CRain mm
122.215.84.9
217.915.14.1
323.014.21.7
424.817.10.1
536.116.50.1

Highs and lows are for the South African day; rain is for the day to 02:00 the next morning (the weather model’s day ends at midnight UTC). The weather model runs about five days behind the weather, so the newest day here is usually five to twelve days ago. Only whole days are shown.

The last twelve months against normal

November: 39 mm, normal 81 mmNDecember: 71 mm, normal 85 mmDJanuary: 38 mm, normal 86 mmJFebruary: 130 mm, normal 85 mmFMarch: 47 mm, normal 82 mmMApril: 54 mm, normal 66 mmAMay: 83 mm, normal 24 mmMJune: 76 mm, normal 23 mmJJuly: 74 mm, normal 27 mmJAugust: 35 mm, normal 41 mmASeptember: 133 mm, normal 50 mmSOctober: 82 mm, normal 69 mmO
Rain each month, November 2025 to October 2026 (this month to 5 November 2026). Bars: rain. Lines: the 1991 to 2020 normal.
Show the numbers
Rain each month, November 2025 to October 2026 (this month to 5 November 2026).: every figure
When or whatFigure
November39 mm, normal 81 mm
December71 mm, normal 85 mm
January38 mm, normal 86 mm
February130 mm, normal 85 mm
March47 mm, normal 82 mm
April54 mm, normal 66 mm
May83 mm, normal 24 mm
June76 mm, normal 23 mm
July74 mm, normal 27 mm
August35 mm, normal 41 mm
September133 mm, normal 50 mm
October82 mm, normal 69 mm

Every year since 1991

1991: 665 mm (-7% on the normal)1992: 576 mm (-20% on the normal)1993: 642 mm (-11% on the normal)1994: 671 mm (-7% on the normal)1995: 726 mm (+1% on the normal)1996: 751 mm (+5% on the normal)1997: 684 mm (-5% on the normal)1998: 821 mm (+14% on the normal)1999: 714 mm (-1% on the normal)2000: 943 mm (+31% on the normal)2001: 835 mm (+16% on the normal)2002: 815 mm (+13% on the normal)2003: 629 mm (-12% on the normal)2004: 736 mm (+2% on the normal)2005: 688 mm (-4% on the normal)2006: 981 mm (+37% on the normal)2007: 595 mm (-17% on the normal)2008: 675 mm (-6% on the normal)2009: 555 mm (-23% on the normal)2010: 684 mm (-5% on the normal)2011: 945 mm (+32% on the normal)2012: 797 mm (+11% on the normal)2013: 626 mm (-13% on the normal)2014: 919 mm (+28% on the normal)2015: 837 mm (+17% on the normal)2016: 587 mm (-18% on the normal)2017: 749 mm (+4% on the normal)2018: 502 mm (-30% on the normal)2019: 474 mm (-34% on the normal)2020: 714 mm (-1% on the normal)2021: 690 mm (-4% on the normal)2022: 716 mm (-0% on the normal)2023: 778 mm (+8% on the normal)2024: 733 mm (+2% on the normal)2025: 656 mm (-9% on the normal)

19912025

Rain each year, 1991 to 2025. Up: wetter than the 1991 to 2020 normal (718 mm a year). Down: drier.
Show the numbers
Rain each year, 1991 to 2025.: every figure
When or whatFigure
1991665 mm (-7% on the normal)
1992576 mm (-20% on the normal)
1993642 mm (-11% on the normal)
1994671 mm (-7% on the normal)
1995726 mm (+1% on the normal)
1996751 mm (+5% on the normal)
1997684 mm (-5% on the normal)
1998821 mm (+14% on the normal)
1999714 mm (-1% on the normal)
2000943 mm (+31% on the normal)
2001835 mm (+16% on the normal)
2002815 mm (+13% on the normal)
2003629 mm (-12% on the normal)
2004736 mm (+2% on the normal)
2005688 mm (-4% on the normal)
2006981 mm (+37% on the normal)
2007595 mm (-17% on the normal)
2008675 mm (-6% on the normal)
2009555 mm (-23% on the normal)
2010684 mm (-5% on the normal)
2011945 mm (+32% on the normal)
2012797 mm (+11% on the normal)
2013626 mm (-13% on the normal)
2014919 mm (+28% on the normal)
2015837 mm (+17% on the normal)
2016587 mm (-18% on the normal)
2017749 mm (+4% on the normal)
2018502 mm (-30% on the normal)
2019474 mm (-34% on the normal)
2020714 mm (-1% on the normal)
2021690 mm (-4% on the normal)
2022716 mm (-0% on the normal)
2023778 mm (+8% on the normal)
2024733 mm (+2% on the normal)
2025656 mm (-9% on the normal)

Wettest: 2006 (981 mm). Driest: 2019 (474 mm). Hottest day since our daily figures start in 2023: 39.7 °C in December 2024.

A normal year here (1991 to 2020)

JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec
Rain mm868582662423274150698185
Mean °C21.621.820.718.216.213.813.514.315.817.218.620.4

Source

Modelled estimates from a weather reanalysis, averaged over the whole place: not readings from a weather station, and not a forecast. The weather model runs about five days behind the weather, so the newest day here is usually five to twelve days ago.

Contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026. Neither the European Commission nor ECMWF is responsible for any use that may be made of the Copernicus information or data it contains. Muñoz Sabater, J. (2019): ERA5-Land hourly data from 1950 to present, and ERA5-Land monthly averaged data from 1950 to present. Copernicus Climate Change Service (C3S) Climate Data Store (CDS). DOI 10.24381/cds.e2161bac and 10.24381/cds.68d2bb30. ERA5-Land on the Climate Data Store, under CC BY 4.0.

What we changed: we cut ERA5-Land to South Africa, averaged its 9 km grid cells over each ward, municipality, district and province by the area of the place in each cell (MDB boundaries, 2026), took each day’s high and low from 16 of its hourly values, added up days into months, and averaged 1991 to 2020 for the normals.

Dataset: rainfall and temperature by ward, release of 5 November 2026. The South African Weather Service issues the official forecasts and warnings.

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