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Weather in Ward 41, Buffalo City

This month here (1 to 5 November): hottest day 35.6 °C, 11 mm of rain; a normal November has 89 mm. 1 day reached 35 °C. Coldest night 13.5 °C on 3 November 2026.

Modelled estimates from a weather reanalysis, averaged over the whole place: not readings from a weather station, and not a forecast. Weather here is averaged over a 9 km grid; this ward shares it with 6 neighbouring wards. It lies in one grid cell.

November so far, day by day

NovHigh °CLow °CRain mm
121.415.45.2
217.314.73.9
322.613.51.5
424.516.70.1
535.616.00.1

Highs and lows are for the South African day; rain is for the day to 02:00 the next morning (the weather model’s day ends at midnight UTC). The weather model runs about five days behind the weather, so the newest day here is usually five to twelve days ago. Only whole days are shown.

The last twelve months against normal

November: 43 mm, normal 89 mmNDecember: 77 mm, normal 97 mmDJanuary: 41 mm, normal 98 mmJFebruary: 144 mm, normal 96 mmFMarch: 64 mm, normal 92 mmMApril: 65 mm, normal 73 mmAMay: 87 mm, normal 27 mmMJune: 82 mm, normal 25 mmJJuly: 81 mm, normal 28 mmJAugust: 36 mm, normal 42 mmASeptember: 147 mm, normal 53 mmSOctober: 83 mm, normal 76 mmO
Rain each month, November 2025 to October 2026 (this month to 5 November 2026). Bars: rain. Lines: the 1991 to 2020 normal.
Show the numbers
Rain each month, November 2025 to October 2026 (this month to 5 November 2026).: every figure
When or whatFigure
November43 mm, normal 89 mm
December77 mm, normal 97 mm
January41 mm, normal 98 mm
February144 mm, normal 96 mm
March64 mm, normal 92 mm
April65 mm, normal 73 mm
May87 mm, normal 27 mm
June82 mm, normal 25 mm
July81 mm, normal 28 mm
August36 mm, normal 42 mm
September147 mm, normal 53 mm
October83 mm, normal 76 mm

Every year since 1991

1991: 770 mm (-3% on the normal)1992: 628 mm (-21% on the normal)1993: 720 mm (-9% on the normal)1994: 722 mm (-9% on the normal)1995: 796 mm (+0% on the normal)1996: 827 mm (+4% on the normal)1997: 753 mm (-5% on the normal)1998: 933 mm (+18% on the normal)1999: 777 mm (-2% on the normal)2000: 999 mm (+26% on the normal)2001: 928 mm (+17% on the normal)2002: 913 mm (+15% on the normal)2003: 661 mm (-17% on the normal)2004: 857 mm (+8% on the normal)2005: 762 mm (-4% on the normal)2006: 1,059 mm (+33% on the normal)2007: 660 mm (-17% on the normal)2008: 759 mm (-4% on the normal)2009: 642 mm (-19% on the normal)2010: 776 mm (-2% on the normal)2011: 1,055 mm (+33% on the normal)2012: 898 mm (+13% on the normal)2013: 671 mm (-15% on the normal)2014: 984 mm (+24% on the normal)2015: 887 mm (+12% on the normal)2016: 623 mm (-21% on the normal)2017: 808 mm (+2% on the normal)2018: 580 mm (-27% on the normal)2019: 547 mm (-31% on the normal)2020: 816 mm (+3% on the normal)2021: 763 mm (-4% on the normal)2022: 790 mm (-0% on the normal)2023: 887 mm (+12% on the normal)2024: 800 mm (+1% on the normal)2025: 743 mm (-6% on the normal)

19912025

Rain each year, 1991 to 2025. Up: wetter than the 1991 to 2020 normal (794 mm a year). Down: drier.
Show the numbers
Rain each year, 1991 to 2025.: every figure
When or whatFigure
1991770 mm (-3% on the normal)
1992628 mm (-21% on the normal)
1993720 mm (-9% on the normal)
1994722 mm (-9% on the normal)
1995796 mm (+0% on the normal)
1996827 mm (+4% on the normal)
1997753 mm (-5% on the normal)
1998933 mm (+18% on the normal)
1999777 mm (-2% on the normal)
2000999 mm (+26% on the normal)
2001928 mm (+17% on the normal)
2002913 mm (+15% on the normal)
2003661 mm (-17% on the normal)
2004857 mm (+8% on the normal)
2005762 mm (-4% on the normal)
20061,059 mm (+33% on the normal)
2007660 mm (-17% on the normal)
2008759 mm (-4% on the normal)
2009642 mm (-19% on the normal)
2010776 mm (-2% on the normal)
20111,055 mm (+33% on the normal)
2012898 mm (+13% on the normal)
2013671 mm (-15% on the normal)
2014984 mm (+24% on the normal)
2015887 mm (+12% on the normal)
2016623 mm (-21% on the normal)
2017808 mm (+2% on the normal)
2018580 mm (-27% on the normal)
2019547 mm (-31% on the normal)
2020816 mm (+3% on the normal)
2021763 mm (-4% on the normal)
2022790 mm (-0% on the normal)
2023887 mm (+12% on the normal)
2024800 mm (+1% on the normal)
2025743 mm (-6% on the normal)

Wettest: 2006 (1,059 mm). Driest: 2019 (547 mm). Hottest day since our daily figures start in 2023: 38.9 °C in December 2024.

A normal year here (1991 to 2020)

JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec
Rain mm989692732725284253768997
Mean °C21.121.420.217.715.613.212.913.915.416.818.220.0

Source

Modelled estimates from a weather reanalysis, averaged over the whole place: not readings from a weather station, and not a forecast. The weather model runs about five days behind the weather, so the newest day here is usually five to twelve days ago.

Contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026. Neither the European Commission nor ECMWF is responsible for any use that may be made of the Copernicus information or data it contains. Muñoz Sabater, J. (2019): ERA5-Land hourly data from 1950 to present, and ERA5-Land monthly averaged data from 1950 to present. Copernicus Climate Change Service (C3S) Climate Data Store (CDS). DOI 10.24381/cds.e2161bac and 10.24381/cds.68d2bb30. ERA5-Land on the Climate Data Store, under CC BY 4.0.

What we changed: we cut ERA5-Land to South Africa, averaged its 9 km grid cells over each ward, municipality, district and province by the area of the place in each cell (MDB boundaries, 2026), took each day’s high and low from 16 of its hourly values, added up days into months, and averaged 1991 to 2020 for the normals.

Dataset: rainfall and temperature by ward, release of 5 November 2026. The South African Weather Service issues the official forecasts and warnings.

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