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Weather in Ward 43, Buffalo City

This month here (1 to 5 November): hottest day 35.5 °C, 12 mm of rain; a normal November has 100 mm. 1 day reached 35 °C. Coldest night 12.6 °C on 3 November 2026.

Modelled estimates from a weather reanalysis, averaged over the whole place: not readings from a weather station, and not a forecast. Weather here is averaged over a 9 km grid; this ward overlaps 5 grid cells, each weighted by the ward’s area in it, and its neighbours draw on some of the same cells.

November so far, day by day

NovHigh °CLow °CRain mm
121.014.85.2
216.714.34.7
322.212.61.4
424.816.20.1
535.515.80.1

Highs and lows are for the South African day; rain is for the day to 02:00 the next morning (the weather model’s day ends at midnight UTC). The weather model runs about five days behind the weather, so the newest day here is usually five to twelve days ago. Only whole days are shown.

The last twelve months against normal

November: 48 mm, normal 100 mmNDecember: 87 mm, normal 113 mmDJanuary: 53 mm, normal 115 mmJFebruary: 168 mm, normal 110 mmFMarch: 82 mm, normal 107 mmMApril: 74 mm, normal 83 mmAMay: 90 mm, normal 29 mmMJune: 84 mm, normal 26 mmJJuly: 89 mm, normal 29 mmJAugust: 35 mm, normal 44 mmASeptember: 159 mm, normal 57 mmSOctober: 89 mm, normal 87 mmO
Rain each month, November 2025 to October 2026 (this month to 5 November 2026). Bars: rain. Lines: the 1991 to 2020 normal.
Show the numbers
Rain each month, November 2025 to October 2026 (this month to 5 November 2026).: every figure
When or whatFigure
November48 mm, normal 100 mm
December87 mm, normal 113 mm
January53 mm, normal 115 mm
February168 mm, normal 110 mm
March82 mm, normal 107 mm
April74 mm, normal 83 mm
May90 mm, normal 29 mm
June84 mm, normal 26 mm
July89 mm, normal 29 mm
August35 mm, normal 44 mm
September159 mm, normal 57 mm
October89 mm, normal 87 mm

Every year since 1991

1991: 916 mm (+2% on the normal)1992: 691 mm (-23% on the normal)1993: 828 mm (-8% on the normal)1994: 788 mm (-12% on the normal)1995: 883 mm (-2% on the normal)1996: 925 mm (+3% on the normal)1997: 854 mm (-5% on the normal)1998: 1,107 mm (+23% on the normal)1999: 855 mm (-5% on the normal)2000: 1,064 mm (+18% on the normal)2001: 1,042 mm (+16% on the normal)2002: 1,039 mm (+16% on the normal)2003: 690 mm (-23% on the normal)2004: 1,033 mm (+15% on the normal)2005: 857 mm (-5% on the normal)2006: 1,185 mm (+32% on the normal)2007: 750 mm (-17% on the normal)2008: 892 mm (-1% on the normal)2009: 762 mm (-15% on the normal)2010: 912 mm (+1% on the normal)2011: 1,226 mm (+36% on the normal)2012: 1,049 mm (+17% on the normal)2013: 732 mm (-19% on the normal)2014: 1,083 mm (+20% on the normal)2015: 952 mm (+6% on the normal)2016: 673 mm (-25% on the normal)2017: 891 mm (-1% on the normal)2018: 684 mm (-24% on the normal)2019: 662 mm (-26% on the normal)2020: 943 mm (+5% on the normal)2021: 857 mm (-5% on the normal)2022: 861 mm (-4% on the normal)2023: 1,031 mm (+15% on the normal)2024: 889 mm (-1% on the normal)2025: 853 mm (-5% on the normal)

19912025

Rain each year, 1991 to 2025. Up: wetter than the 1991 to 2020 normal (899 mm a year). Down: drier.
Show the numbers
Rain each year, 1991 to 2025.: every figure
When or whatFigure
1991916 mm (+2% on the normal)
1992691 mm (-23% on the normal)
1993828 mm (-8% on the normal)
1994788 mm (-12% on the normal)
1995883 mm (-2% on the normal)
1996925 mm (+3% on the normal)
1997854 mm (-5% on the normal)
19981,107 mm (+23% on the normal)
1999855 mm (-5% on the normal)
20001,064 mm (+18% on the normal)
20011,042 mm (+16% on the normal)
20021,039 mm (+16% on the normal)
2003690 mm (-23% on the normal)
20041,033 mm (+15% on the normal)
2005857 mm (-5% on the normal)
20061,185 mm (+32% on the normal)
2007750 mm (-17% on the normal)
2008892 mm (-1% on the normal)
2009762 mm (-15% on the normal)
2010912 mm (+1% on the normal)
20111,226 mm (+36% on the normal)
20121,049 mm (+17% on the normal)
2013732 mm (-19% on the normal)
20141,083 mm (+20% on the normal)
2015952 mm (+6% on the normal)
2016673 mm (-25% on the normal)
2017891 mm (-1% on the normal)
2018684 mm (-24% on the normal)
2019662 mm (-26% on the normal)
2020943 mm (+5% on the normal)
2021857 mm (-5% on the normal)
2022861 mm (-4% on the normal)
20231,031 mm (+15% on the normal)
2024889 mm (-1% on the normal)
2025853 mm (-5% on the normal)

Wettest: 2011 (1,226 mm). Driest: 2019 (662 mm). Hottest day since our daily figures start in 2023: 39.2 °C in January 2026.

A normal year here (1991 to 2020)

JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec
Rain mm11511010783292629445787100113
Mean °C20.620.819.717.215.212.912.713.615.116.417.719.5

Source

Modelled estimates from a weather reanalysis, averaged over the whole place: not readings from a weather station, and not a forecast. The weather model runs about five days behind the weather, so the newest day here is usually five to twelve days ago.

Contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026. Neither the European Commission nor ECMWF is responsible for any use that may be made of the Copernicus information or data it contains. Muñoz Sabater, J. (2019): ERA5-Land hourly data from 1950 to present, and ERA5-Land monthly averaged data from 1950 to present. Copernicus Climate Change Service (C3S) Climate Data Store (CDS). DOI 10.24381/cds.e2161bac and 10.24381/cds.68d2bb30. ERA5-Land on the Climate Data Store, under CC BY 4.0.

What we changed: we cut ERA5-Land to South Africa, averaged its 9 km grid cells over each ward, municipality, district and province by the area of the place in each cell (MDB boundaries, 2026), took each day’s high and low from 16 of its hourly values, added up days into months, and averaged 1991 to 2020 for the normals.

Dataset: rainfall and temperature by ward, release of 5 November 2026. The South African Weather Service issues the official forecasts and warnings.

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