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Weather in Ward 45, Buffalo City

This month here (1 to 5 November): hottest day 35.2 °C, 11 mm of rain; a normal November has 93 mm. 1 day reached 35 °C. Coldest night 13.5 °C on 3 November 2026.

Modelled estimates from a weather reanalysis, averaged over the whole place: not readings from a weather station, and not a forecast. Weather here is averaged over a 9 km grid; this ward overlaps 6 grid cells, each weighted by the ward’s area in it, and its neighbours draw on some of the same cells.

November so far, day by day

NovHigh °CLow °CRain mm
121.815.54.6
217.314.84.7
322.313.51.6
424.716.70.1
535.216.00.1

Highs and lows are for the South African day; rain is for the day to 02:00 the next morning (the weather model’s day ends at midnight UTC). The weather model runs about five days behind the weather, so the newest day here is usually five to twelve days ago. Only whole days are shown.

The last twelve months against normal

November: 44 mm, normal 93 mmNDecember: 81 mm, normal 101 mmDJanuary: 45 mm, normal 102 mmJFebruary: 149 mm, normal 100 mmFMarch: 66 mm, normal 98 mmMApril: 64 mm, normal 79 mmAMay: 86 mm, normal 28 mmMJune: 84 mm, normal 25 mmJJuly: 84 mm, normal 29 mmJAugust: 36 mm, normal 43 mmASeptember: 152 mm, normal 55 mmSOctober: 87 mm, normal 80 mmO
Rain each month, November 2025 to October 2026 (this month to 5 November 2026). Bars: rain. Lines: the 1991 to 2020 normal.
Show the numbers
Rain each month, November 2025 to October 2026 (this month to 5 November 2026).: every figure
When or whatFigure
November44 mm, normal 93 mm
December81 mm, normal 101 mm
January45 mm, normal 102 mm
February149 mm, normal 100 mm
March66 mm, normal 98 mm
April64 mm, normal 79 mm
May86 mm, normal 28 mm
June84 mm, normal 25 mm
July84 mm, normal 29 mm
August36 mm, normal 43 mm
September152 mm, normal 55 mm
October87 mm, normal 80 mm

Every year since 1991

1991: 812 mm (-2% on the normal)1992: 646 mm (-22% on the normal)1993: 757 mm (-9% on the normal)1994: 742 mm (-11% on the normal)1995: 813 mm (-2% on the normal)1996: 856 mm (+3% on the normal)1997: 798 mm (-4% on the normal)1998: 1,005 mm (+21% on the normal)1999: 810 mm (-3% on the normal)2000: 1,039 mm (+25% on the normal)2001: 940 mm (+13% on the normal)2002: 948 mm (+14% on the normal)2003: 663 mm (-20% on the normal)2004: 918 mm (+10% on the normal)2005: 785 mm (-6% on the normal)2006: 1,123 mm (+35% on the normal)2007: 683 mm (-18% on the normal)2008: 816 mm (-2% on the normal)2009: 679 mm (-18% on the normal)2010: 826 mm (-1% on the normal)2011: 1,125 mm (+35% on the normal)2012: 952 mm (+14% on the normal)2013: 700 mm (-16% on the normal)2014: 1,049 mm (+26% on the normal)2015: 921 mm (+11% on the normal)2016: 647 mm (-22% on the normal)2017: 851 mm (+2% on the normal)2018: 611 mm (-27% on the normal)2019: 607 mm (-27% on the normal)2020: 841 mm (+1% on the normal)2021: 776 mm (-7% on the normal)2022: 804 mm (-3% on the normal)2023: 933 mm (+12% on the normal)2024: 831 mm (-0% on the normal)2025: 768 mm (-8% on the normal)

19912025

Rain each year, 1991 to 2025. Up: wetter than the 1991 to 2020 normal (832 mm a year). Down: drier.
Show the numbers
Rain each year, 1991 to 2025.: every figure
When or whatFigure
1991812 mm (-2% on the normal)
1992646 mm (-22% on the normal)
1993757 mm (-9% on the normal)
1994742 mm (-11% on the normal)
1995813 mm (-2% on the normal)
1996856 mm (+3% on the normal)
1997798 mm (-4% on the normal)
19981,005 mm (+21% on the normal)
1999810 mm (-3% on the normal)
20001,039 mm (+25% on the normal)
2001940 mm (+13% on the normal)
2002948 mm (+14% on the normal)
2003663 mm (-20% on the normal)
2004918 mm (+10% on the normal)
2005785 mm (-6% on the normal)
20061,123 mm (+35% on the normal)
2007683 mm (-18% on the normal)
2008816 mm (-2% on the normal)
2009679 mm (-18% on the normal)
2010826 mm (-1% on the normal)
20111,125 mm (+35% on the normal)
2012952 mm (+14% on the normal)
2013700 mm (-16% on the normal)
20141,049 mm (+26% on the normal)
2015921 mm (+11% on the normal)
2016647 mm (-22% on the normal)
2017851 mm (+2% on the normal)
2018611 mm (-27% on the normal)
2019607 mm (-27% on the normal)
2020841 mm (+1% on the normal)
2021776 mm (-7% on the normal)
2022804 mm (-3% on the normal)
2023933 mm (+12% on the normal)
2024831 mm (-0% on the normal)
2025768 mm (-8% on the normal)

Wettest: 2011 (1,125 mm). Driest: 2019 (607 mm). Hottest day since our daily figures start in 2023: 38.9 °C in October 2025.

A normal year here (1991 to 2020)

JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec
Rain mm102100987928252943558093101
Mean °C21.021.320.217.815.813.513.214.115.516.818.119.9

Source

Modelled estimates from a weather reanalysis, averaged over the whole place: not readings from a weather station, and not a forecast. The weather model runs about five days behind the weather, so the newest day here is usually five to twelve days ago.

Contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026. Neither the European Commission nor ECMWF is responsible for any use that may be made of the Copernicus information or data it contains. Muñoz Sabater, J. (2019): ERA5-Land hourly data from 1950 to present, and ERA5-Land monthly averaged data from 1950 to present. Copernicus Climate Change Service (C3S) Climate Data Store (CDS). DOI 10.24381/cds.e2161bac and 10.24381/cds.68d2bb30. ERA5-Land on the Climate Data Store, under CC BY 4.0.

What we changed: we cut ERA5-Land to South Africa, averaged its 9 km grid cells over each ward, municipality, district and province by the area of the place in each cell (MDB boundaries, 2026), took each day’s high and low from 16 of its hourly values, added up days into months, and averaged 1991 to 2020 for the normals.

Dataset: rainfall and temperature by ward, release of 5 November 2026. The South African Weather Service issues the official forecasts and warnings.

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