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Weather in Ward 1, Nelson Mandela Bay
This month here (1 to 5 November): hottest day 24.1 °C, 7.8 mm of rain; a normal November has 57 mm. Coldest night 16.5 °C on 3 November 2026.
Modelled estimates from a weather reanalysis, averaged over the whole place: not readings from a weather station, and not a forecast. Weather here is averaged over a 9 km grid; this ward overlaps 2 grid cells, each weighted by the ward’s area in it, and its neighbours draw on some of the same cells.
November so far, day by day
| Nov | High °C | Low °C | Rain mm |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19.6 | 17.8 | 3.9 |
| 2 | 19.5 | 16.7 | 3.9 |
| 3 | 20.9 | 16.5 | 0.0 |
| 4 | 22.4 | 17.1 | 0.0 |
| 5 | 24.1 | 18.1 | 0.0 |
Highs and lows are for the South African day; rain is for the day to 02:00 the next morning (the weather model’s day ends at midnight UTC). The weather model runs about five days behind the weather, so the newest day here is usually five to twelve days ago. Only whole days are shown.
The last twelve months against normal
Show the numbers
| When or what | Figure |
|---|---|
| November | 19 mm, normal 57 mm |
| December | 14 mm, normal 47 mm |
| January | 16 mm, normal 39 mm |
| February | 61 mm, normal 42 mm |
| March | 56 mm, normal 47 mm |
| April | 80 mm, normal 46 mm |
| May | 245 mm, normal 39 mm |
| June | 91 mm, normal 42 mm |
| July | 42 mm, normal 40 mm |
| August | 24 mm, normal 55 mm |
| September | 88 mm, normal 41 mm |
| October | 98 mm, normal 52 mm |
Every year since 1991
19912025
Show the numbers
| When or what | Figure |
|---|---|
| 1991 | 449 mm (-18% on the normal) |
| 1992 | 601 mm (+10% on the normal) |
| 1993 | 661 mm (+21% on the normal) |
| 1994 | 600 mm (+10% on the normal) |
| 1995 | 619 mm (+13% on the normal) |
| 1996 | 733 mm (+34% on the normal) |
| 1997 | 461 mm (-16% on the normal) |
| 1998 | 526 mm (-4% on the normal) |
| 1999 | 512 mm (-6% on the normal) |
| 2000 | 597 mm (+9% on the normal) |
| 2001 | 601 mm (+10% on the normal) |
| 2002 | 568 mm (+4% on the normal) |
| 2003 | 496 mm (-9% on the normal) |
| 2004 | 572 mm (+5% on the normal) |
| 2005 | 522 mm (-4% on the normal) |
| 2006 | 623 mm (+14% on the normal) |
| 2007 | 624 mm (+14% on the normal) |
| 2008 | 427 mm (-22% on the normal) |
| 2009 | 416 mm (-24% on the normal) |
| 2010 | 474 mm (-13% on the normal) |
| 2011 | 777 mm (+42% on the normal) |
| 2012 | 756 mm (+38% on the normal) |
| 2013 | 500 mm (-8% on the normal) |
| 2014 | 589 mm (+8% on the normal) |
| 2015 | 565 mm (+3% on the normal) |
| 2016 | 432 mm (-21% on the normal) |
| 2017 | 418 mm (-23% on the normal) |
| 2018 | 411 mm (-25% on the normal) |
| 2019 | 344 mm (-37% on the normal) |
| 2020 | 512 mm (-6% on the normal) |
| 2021 | 476 mm (-13% on the normal) |
| 2022 | 472 mm (-14% on the normal) |
| 2023 | 640 mm (+17% on the normal) |
| 2024 | 597 mm (+9% on the normal) |
| 2025 | 359 mm (-34% on the normal) |
Wettest: 2011 (777 mm). Driest: 2019 (344 mm). Hottest day since our daily figures start in 2023: 33.0 °C in October 2024.
A normal year here (1991 to 2020)
| Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rain mm | 39 | 42 | 47 | 46 | 39 | 42 | 40 | 55 | 41 | 52 | 57 | 47 |
| Mean °C | 21.4 | 21.7 | 20.7 | 18.8 | 17.3 | 15.6 | 15.1 | 15.2 | 16.0 | 17.3 | 18.5 | 20.2 |
Source
Modelled estimates from a weather reanalysis, averaged over the whole place: not readings from a weather station, and not a forecast. The weather model runs about five days behind the weather, so the newest day here is usually five to twelve days ago.
Contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026. Neither the European Commission nor ECMWF is responsible for any use that may be made of the Copernicus information or data it contains. Muñoz Sabater, J. (2019): ERA5-Land hourly data from 1950 to present, and ERA5-Land monthly averaged data from 1950 to present. Copernicus Climate Change Service (C3S) Climate Data Store (CDS). DOI 10.24381/cds.e2161bac and 10.24381/cds.68d2bb30. ERA5-Land on the Climate Data Store, under CC BY 4.0.
What we changed: we cut ERA5-Land to South Africa, averaged its 9 km grid cells over each ward, municipality, district and province by the area of the place in each cell (MDB boundaries, 2026), took each day’s high and low from 16 of its hourly values, added up days into months, and averaged 1991 to 2020 for the normals.
Dataset: rainfall and temperature by ward, release of 5 November 2026. The South African Weather Service issues the official forecasts and warnings.