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Weather in Ward 4, Nelson Mandela Bay
This month here (1 to 5 November): hottest day 23.9 °C, 8.2 mm of rain; a normal November has 56 mm. Coldest night 17.0 °C on 3 November 2026.
Modelled estimates from a weather reanalysis, averaged over the whole place: not readings from a weather station, and not a forecast. Weather here is averaged over a 9 km grid; this ward shares it with 7 neighbouring wards. It lies in one grid cell, and 2 of them get exactly the same figures.
November so far, day by day
| Nov | High °C | Low °C | Rain mm |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19.8 | 18.2 | 4.4 |
| 2 | 19.7 | 17.3 | 3.8 |
| 3 | 20.7 | 17.0 | 0.0 |
| 4 | 21.9 | 17.5 | 0.0 |
| 5 | 23.9 | 18.4 | 0.0 |
Highs and lows are for the South African day; rain is for the day to 02:00 the next morning (the weather model’s day ends at midnight UTC). The weather model runs about five days behind the weather, so the newest day here is usually five to twelve days ago. Only whole days are shown.
The last twelve months against normal
Show the numbers
| When or what | Figure |
|---|---|
| November | 17 mm, normal 56 mm |
| December | 14 mm, normal 46 mm |
| January | 14 mm, normal 38 mm |
| February | 61 mm, normal 40 mm |
| March | 51 mm, normal 46 mm |
| April | 75 mm, normal 45 mm |
| May | 228 mm, normal 39 mm |
| June | 84 mm, normal 42 mm |
| July | 41 mm, normal 40 mm |
| August | 23 mm, normal 54 mm |
| September | 76 mm, normal 41 mm |
| October | 95 mm, normal 51 mm |
Every year since 1991
19912025
Show the numbers
| When or what | Figure |
|---|---|
| 1991 | 442 mm (-18% on the normal) |
| 1992 | 589 mm (+10% on the normal) |
| 1993 | 657 mm (+22% on the normal) |
| 1994 | 594 mm (+11% on the normal) |
| 1995 | 611 mm (+14% on the normal) |
| 1996 | 710 mm (+32% on the normal) |
| 1997 | 454 mm (-15% on the normal) |
| 1998 | 515 mm (-4% on the normal) |
| 1999 | 509 mm (-5% on the normal) |
| 2000 | 583 mm (+9% on the normal) |
| 2001 | 590 mm (+10% on the normal) |
| 2002 | 549 mm (+2% on the normal) |
| 2003 | 493 mm (-8% on the normal) |
| 2004 | 557 mm (+4% on the normal) |
| 2005 | 514 mm (-4% on the normal) |
| 2006 | 609 mm (+14% on the normal) |
| 2007 | 620 mm (+16% on the normal) |
| 2008 | 418 mm (-22% on the normal) |
| 2009 | 408 mm (-24% on the normal) |
| 2010 | 465 mm (-13% on the normal) |
| 2011 | 771 mm (+44% on the normal) |
| 2012 | 742 mm (+38% on the normal) |
| 2013 | 495 mm (-8% on the normal) |
| 2014 | 578 mm (+8% on the normal) |
| 2015 | 554 mm (+3% on the normal) |
| 2016 | 426 mm (-21% on the normal) |
| 2017 | 413 mm (-23% on the normal) |
| 2018 | 397 mm (-26% on the normal) |
| 2019 | 336 mm (-37% on the normal) |
| 2020 | 491 mm (-8% on the normal) |
| 2021 | 454 mm (-15% on the normal) |
| 2022 | 461 mm (-14% on the normal) |
| 2023 | 614 mm (+14% on the normal) |
| 2024 | 565 mm (+5% on the normal) |
| 2025 | 342 mm (-36% on the normal) |
Wettest: 2011 (771 mm). Driest: 2019 (336 mm). Hottest day since our daily figures start in 2023: 33.0 °C in October 2024.
A normal year here (1991 to 2020)
| Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rain mm | 38 | 40 | 46 | 45 | 39 | 42 | 40 | 54 | 41 | 51 | 56 | 46 |
| Mean °C | 21.6 | 21.9 | 20.9 | 19.0 | 17.6 | 16.0 | 15.4 | 15.5 | 16.3 | 17.5 | 18.8 | 20.4 |
Source
Modelled estimates from a weather reanalysis, averaged over the whole place: not readings from a weather station, and not a forecast. The weather model runs about five days behind the weather, so the newest day here is usually five to twelve days ago.
Contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026. Neither the European Commission nor ECMWF is responsible for any use that may be made of the Copernicus information or data it contains. Muñoz Sabater, J. (2019): ERA5-Land hourly data from 1950 to present, and ERA5-Land monthly averaged data from 1950 to present. Copernicus Climate Change Service (C3S) Climate Data Store (CDS). DOI 10.24381/cds.e2161bac and 10.24381/cds.68d2bb30. ERA5-Land on the Climate Data Store, under CC BY 4.0.
What we changed: we cut ERA5-Land to South Africa, averaged its 9 km grid cells over each ward, municipality, district and province by the area of the place in each cell (MDB boundaries, 2026), took each day’s high and low from 16 of its hourly values, added up days into months, and averaged 1991 to 2020 for the normals.
Dataset: rainfall and temperature by ward, release of 5 November 2026. The South African Weather Service issues the official forecasts and warnings.