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Weather in Ward 8, Nelson Mandela Bay

This month here (1 to 5 November): hottest day 24.1 °C, 7.8 mm of rain; a normal November has 57 mm. Coldest night 16.4 °C on 3 November 2026.

Modelled estimates from a weather reanalysis, averaged over the whole place: not readings from a weather station, and not a forecast. Weather here is averaged over a 9 km grid; this ward shares it with 6 neighbouring wards. It lies in one grid cell.

November so far, day by day

NovHigh °CLow °CRain mm
119.517.73.9
219.516.63.9
320.916.40.0
422.417.10.0
524.118.00.0

Highs and lows are for the South African day; rain is for the day to 02:00 the next morning (the weather model’s day ends at midnight UTC). The weather model runs about five days behind the weather, so the newest day here is usually five to twelve days ago. Only whole days are shown.

The last twelve months against normal

November: 19 mm, normal 57 mmNDecember: 15 mm, normal 47 mmDJanuary: 17 mm, normal 39 mmJFebruary: 61 mm, normal 42 mmFMarch: 57 mm, normal 48 mmMApril: 80 mm, normal 46 mmAMay: 247 mm, normal 39 mmMJune: 92 mm, normal 42 mmJJuly: 42 mm, normal 40 mmJAugust: 24 mm, normal 55 mmASeptember: 90 mm, normal 41 mmSOctober: 98 mm, normal 52 mmO
Rain each month, November 2025 to October 2026 (this month to 5 November 2026). Bars: rain. Lines: the 1991 to 2020 normal.
Show the numbers
Rain each month, November 2025 to October 2026 (this month to 5 November 2026).: every figure
When or whatFigure
November19 mm, normal 57 mm
December15 mm, normal 47 mm
January17 mm, normal 39 mm
February61 mm, normal 42 mm
March57 mm, normal 48 mm
April80 mm, normal 46 mm
May247 mm, normal 39 mm
June92 mm, normal 42 mm
July42 mm, normal 40 mm
August24 mm, normal 55 mm
September90 mm, normal 41 mm
October98 mm, normal 52 mm

Every year since 1991

1991: 450 mm (-18% on the normal)1992: 603 mm (+10% on the normal)1993: 662 mm (+21% on the normal)1994: 601 mm (+10% on the normal)1995: 620 mm (+13% on the normal)1996: 736 mm (+34% on the normal)1997: 462 mm (-16% on the normal)1998: 528 mm (-4% on the normal)1999: 512 mm (-7% on the normal)2000: 599 mm (+9% on the normal)2001: 602 mm (+10% on the normal)2002: 571 mm (+4% on the normal)2003: 496 mm (-9% on the normal)2004: 574 mm (+5% on the normal)2005: 523 mm (-5% on the normal)2006: 625 mm (+14% on the normal)2007: 624 mm (+14% on the normal)2008: 429 mm (-22% on the normal)2009: 417 mm (-24% on the normal)2010: 475 mm (-13% on the normal)2011: 778 mm (+42% on the normal)2012: 758 mm (+38% on the normal)2013: 501 mm (-9% on the normal)2014: 591 mm (+8% on the normal)2015: 567 mm (+4% on the normal)2016: 433 mm (-21% on the normal)2017: 418 mm (-24% on the normal)2018: 413 mm (-25% on the normal)2019: 346 mm (-37% on the normal)2020: 515 mm (-6% on the normal)2021: 479 mm (-13% on the normal)2022: 473 mm (-14% on the normal)2023: 644 mm (+18% on the normal)2024: 601 mm (+10% on the normal)2025: 362 mm (-34% on the normal)

19912025

Rain each year, 1991 to 2025. Up: wetter than the 1991 to 2020 normal (548 mm a year). Down: drier.
Show the numbers
Rain each year, 1991 to 2025.: every figure
When or whatFigure
1991450 mm (-18% on the normal)
1992603 mm (+10% on the normal)
1993662 mm (+21% on the normal)
1994601 mm (+10% on the normal)
1995620 mm (+13% on the normal)
1996736 mm (+34% on the normal)
1997462 mm (-16% on the normal)
1998528 mm (-4% on the normal)
1999512 mm (-7% on the normal)
2000599 mm (+9% on the normal)
2001602 mm (+10% on the normal)
2002571 mm (+4% on the normal)
2003496 mm (-9% on the normal)
2004574 mm (+5% on the normal)
2005523 mm (-5% on the normal)
2006625 mm (+14% on the normal)
2007624 mm (+14% on the normal)
2008429 mm (-22% on the normal)
2009417 mm (-24% on the normal)
2010475 mm (-13% on the normal)
2011778 mm (+42% on the normal)
2012758 mm (+38% on the normal)
2013501 mm (-9% on the normal)
2014591 mm (+8% on the normal)
2015567 mm (+4% on the normal)
2016433 mm (-21% on the normal)
2017418 mm (-24% on the normal)
2018413 mm (-25% on the normal)
2019346 mm (-37% on the normal)
2020515 mm (-6% on the normal)
2021479 mm (-13% on the normal)
2022473 mm (-14% on the normal)
2023644 mm (+18% on the normal)
2024601 mm (+10% on the normal)
2025362 mm (-34% on the normal)

Wettest: 2011 (778 mm). Driest: 2019 (346 mm). Hottest day since our daily figures start in 2023: 33.0 °C in October 2024.

A normal year here (1991 to 2020)

JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec
Rain mm394248463942405541525747
Mean °C21.421.720.618.817.315.615.015.116.017.318.520.2

Source

Modelled estimates from a weather reanalysis, averaged over the whole place: not readings from a weather station, and not a forecast. The weather model runs about five days behind the weather, so the newest day here is usually five to twelve days ago.

Contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026. Neither the European Commission nor ECMWF is responsible for any use that may be made of the Copernicus information or data it contains. Muñoz Sabater, J. (2019): ERA5-Land hourly data from 1950 to present, and ERA5-Land monthly averaged data from 1950 to present. Copernicus Climate Change Service (C3S) Climate Data Store (CDS). DOI 10.24381/cds.e2161bac and 10.24381/cds.68d2bb30. ERA5-Land on the Climate Data Store, under CC BY 4.0.

What we changed: we cut ERA5-Land to South Africa, averaged its 9 km grid cells over each ward, municipality, district and province by the area of the place in each cell (MDB boundaries, 2026), took each day’s high and low from 16 of its hourly values, added up days into months, and averaged 1991 to 2020 for the normals.

Dataset: rainfall and temperature by ward, release of 5 November 2026. The South African Weather Service issues the official forecasts and warnings.

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