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Weather in Ward 12, Nelson Mandela Bay

This month here (1 to 5 November): hottest day 25.6 °C, 10 mm of rain; a normal November has 57 mm. Coldest night 15.4 °C on 3 November 2026.

Modelled estimates from a weather reanalysis, averaged over the whole place: not readings from a weather station, and not a forecast. Weather here is averaged over a 9 km grid; this ward overlaps 2 grid cells, each weighted by the ward’s area in it, and its neighbours draw on some of the same cells.

November so far, day by day

NovHigh °CLow °CRain mm
119.717.44.9
219.816.65.2
321.515.40.1
423.316.90.0
525.617.80.0

Highs and lows are for the South African day; rain is for the day to 02:00 the next morning (the weather model’s day ends at midnight UTC). The weather model runs about five days behind the weather, so the newest day here is usually five to twelve days ago. Only whole days are shown.

The last twelve months against normal

November: 21 mm, normal 57 mmNDecember: 14 mm, normal 47 mmDJanuary: 20 mm, normal 41 mmJFebruary: 61 mm, normal 44 mmFMarch: 61 mm, normal 48 mmMApril: 76 mm, normal 44 mmAMay: 215 mm, normal 31 mmMJune: 90 mm, normal 31 mmJJuly: 38 mm, normal 31 mmJAugust: 22 mm, normal 45 mmASeptember: 91 mm, normal 36 mmSOctober: 89 mm, normal 50 mmO
Rain each month, November 2025 to October 2026 (this month to 5 November 2026). Bars: rain. Lines: the 1991 to 2020 normal.
Show the numbers
Rain each month, November 2025 to October 2026 (this month to 5 November 2026).: every figure
When or whatFigure
November21 mm, normal 57 mm
December14 mm, normal 47 mm
January20 mm, normal 41 mm
February61 mm, normal 44 mm
March61 mm, normal 48 mm
April76 mm, normal 44 mm
May215 mm, normal 31 mm
June90 mm, normal 31 mm
July38 mm, normal 31 mm
August22 mm, normal 45 mm
September91 mm, normal 36 mm
October89 mm, normal 50 mm

Every year since 1991

1991: 423 mm (-16% on the normal)1992: 539 mm (+7% on the normal)1993: 606 mm (+20% on the normal)1994: 527 mm (+5% on the normal)1995: 588 mm (+17% on the normal)1996: 717 mm (+42% on the normal)1997: 408 mm (-19% on the normal)1998: 447 mm (-11% on the normal)1999: 497 mm (-1% on the normal)2000: 563 mm (+12% on the normal)2001: 596 mm (+18% on the normal)2002: 502 mm (-0% on the normal)2003: 453 mm (-10% on the normal)2004: 541 mm (+7% on the normal)2005: 492 mm (-2% on the normal)2006: 594 mm (+18% on the normal)2007: 526 mm (+4% on the normal)2008: 409 mm (-19% on the normal)2009: 376 mm (-25% on the normal)2010: 430 mm (-15% on the normal)2011: 716 mm (+42% on the normal)2012: 679 mm (+35% on the normal)2013: 453 mm (-10% on the normal)2014: 557 mm (+11% on the normal)2015: 532 mm (+6% on the normal)2016: 394 mm (-22% on the normal)2017: 390 mm (-23% on the normal)2018: 402 mm (-20% on the normal)2019: 323 mm (-36% on the normal)2020: 434 mm (-14% on the normal)2021: 417 mm (-17% on the normal)2022: 425 mm (-16% on the normal)2023: 588 mm (+17% on the normal)2024: 555 mm (+10% on the normal)2025: 324 mm (-36% on the normal)

19912025

Rain each year, 1991 to 2025. Up: wetter than the 1991 to 2020 normal (504 mm a year). Down: drier.
Show the numbers
Rain each year, 1991 to 2025.: every figure
When or whatFigure
1991423 mm (-16% on the normal)
1992539 mm (+7% on the normal)
1993606 mm (+20% on the normal)
1994527 mm (+5% on the normal)
1995588 mm (+17% on the normal)
1996717 mm (+42% on the normal)
1997408 mm (-19% on the normal)
1998447 mm (-11% on the normal)
1999497 mm (-1% on the normal)
2000563 mm (+12% on the normal)
2001596 mm (+18% on the normal)
2002502 mm (-0% on the normal)
2003453 mm (-10% on the normal)
2004541 mm (+7% on the normal)
2005492 mm (-2% on the normal)
2006594 mm (+18% on the normal)
2007526 mm (+4% on the normal)
2008409 mm (-19% on the normal)
2009376 mm (-25% on the normal)
2010430 mm (-15% on the normal)
2011716 mm (+42% on the normal)
2012679 mm (+35% on the normal)
2013453 mm (-10% on the normal)
2014557 mm (+11% on the normal)
2015532 mm (+6% on the normal)
2016394 mm (-22% on the normal)
2017390 mm (-23% on the normal)
2018402 mm (-20% on the normal)
2019323 mm (-36% on the normal)
2020434 mm (-14% on the normal)
2021417 mm (-17% on the normal)
2022425 mm (-16% on the normal)
2023588 mm (+17% on the normal)
2024555 mm (+10% on the normal)
2025324 mm (-36% on the normal)

Wettest: 1996 (717 mm). Driest: 2019 (323 mm). Hottest day since our daily figures start in 2023: 35.6 °C in October 2024.

A normal year here (1991 to 2020)

JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec
Rain mm414448443131314536505747
Mean °C21.722.020.818.716.814.814.314.615.817.318.720.5

Source

Modelled estimates from a weather reanalysis, averaged over the whole place: not readings from a weather station, and not a forecast. The weather model runs about five days behind the weather, so the newest day here is usually five to twelve days ago.

Contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026. Neither the European Commission nor ECMWF is responsible for any use that may be made of the Copernicus information or data it contains. Muñoz Sabater, J. (2019): ERA5-Land hourly data from 1950 to present, and ERA5-Land monthly averaged data from 1950 to present. Copernicus Climate Change Service (C3S) Climate Data Store (CDS). DOI 10.24381/cds.e2161bac and 10.24381/cds.68d2bb30. ERA5-Land on the Climate Data Store, under CC BY 4.0.

What we changed: we cut ERA5-Land to South Africa, averaged its 9 km grid cells over each ward, municipality, district and province by the area of the place in each cell (MDB boundaries, 2026), took each day’s high and low from 16 of its hourly values, added up days into months, and averaged 1991 to 2020 for the normals.

Dataset: rainfall and temperature by ward, release of 5 November 2026. The South African Weather Service issues the official forecasts and warnings.

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