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Weather in Ward 15, Nelson Mandela Bay
This month here (1 to 5 November): hottest day 24.7 °C, 9.4 mm of rain; a normal November has 55 mm. Coldest night 16.4 °C on 3 November 2026.
Modelled estimates from a weather reanalysis, averaged over the whole place: not readings from a weather station, and not a forecast. Weather here is averaged over a 9 km grid; this ward overlaps 2 grid cells, each weighted by the ward’s area in it, and its neighbours draw on some of the same cells.
November so far, day by day
| Nov | High °C | Low °C | Rain mm |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19.9 | 18.0 | 4.8 |
| 2 | 19.8 | 17.2 | 4.5 |
| 3 | 21.0 | 16.4 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 22.3 | 17.3 | 0.0 |
| 5 | 24.7 | 18.2 | 0.0 |
Highs and lows are for the South African day; rain is for the day to 02:00 the next morning (the weather model’s day ends at midnight UTC). The weather model runs about five days behind the weather, so the newest day here is usually five to twelve days ago. Only whole days are shown.
The last twelve months against normal
Show the numbers
| When or what | Figure |
|---|---|
| November | 18 mm, normal 55 mm |
| December | 13 mm, normal 45 mm |
| January | 16 mm, normal 38 mm |
| February | 60 mm, normal 41 mm |
| March | 54 mm, normal 46 mm |
| April | 74 mm, normal 43 mm |
| May | 212 mm, normal 34 mm |
| June | 83 mm, normal 36 mm |
| July | 39 mm, normal 35 mm |
| August | 22 mm, normal 49 mm |
| September | 77 mm, normal 38 mm |
| October | 91 mm, normal 49 mm |
Every year since 1991
19912025
Show the numbers
| When or what | Figure |
|---|---|
| 1991 | 422 mm (-17% on the normal) |
| 1992 | 550 mm (+8% on the normal) |
| 1993 | 623 mm (+22% on the normal) |
| 1994 | 550 mm (+8% on the normal) |
| 1995 | 587 mm (+15% on the normal) |
| 1996 | 692 mm (+36% on the normal) |
| 1997 | 423 mm (-17% on the normal) |
| 1998 | 469 mm (-8% on the normal) |
| 1999 | 496 mm (-3% on the normal) |
| 2000 | 558 mm (+10% on the normal) |
| 2001 | 579 mm (+14% on the normal) |
| 2002 | 508 mm (-0% on the normal) |
| 2003 | 467 mm (-8% on the normal) |
| 2004 | 536 mm (+5% on the normal) |
| 2005 | 492 mm (-3% on the normal) |
| 2006 | 584 mm (+15% on the normal) |
| 2007 | 566 mm (+11% on the normal) |
| 2008 | 407 mm (-20% on the normal) |
| 2009 | 382 mm (-25% on the normal) |
| 2010 | 437 mm (-14% on the normal) |
| 2011 | 731 mm (+44% on the normal) |
| 2012 | 696 mm (+37% on the normal) |
| 2013 | 467 mm (-8% on the normal) |
| 2014 | 554 mm (+9% on the normal) |
| 2015 | 531 mm (+4% on the normal) |
| 2016 | 405 mm (-20% on the normal) |
| 2017 | 393 mm (-23% on the normal) |
| 2018 | 389 mm (-24% on the normal) |
| 2019 | 321 mm (-37% on the normal) |
| 2020 | 447 mm (-12% on the normal) |
| 2021 | 420 mm (-17% on the normal) |
| 2022 | 435 mm (-15% on the normal) |
| 2023 | 583 mm (+15% on the normal) |
| 2024 | 539 mm (+6% on the normal) |
| 2025 | 321 mm (-37% on the normal) |
Wettest: 2011 (731 mm). Driest: 2019 (321 mm). Hottest day since our daily figures start in 2023: 34.4 °C in October 2024.
A normal year here (1991 to 2020)
| Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rain mm | 38 | 41 | 46 | 43 | 34 | 36 | 35 | 49 | 38 | 49 | 55 | 45 |
| Mean °C | 21.7 | 22.0 | 21.0 | 19.0 | 17.3 | 15.5 | 15.0 | 15.2 | 16.1 | 17.6 | 18.8 | 20.6 |
Source
Modelled estimates from a weather reanalysis, averaged over the whole place: not readings from a weather station, and not a forecast. The weather model runs about five days behind the weather, so the newest day here is usually five to twelve days ago.
Contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026. Neither the European Commission nor ECMWF is responsible for any use that may be made of the Copernicus information or data it contains. Muñoz Sabater, J. (2019): ERA5-Land hourly data from 1950 to present, and ERA5-Land monthly averaged data from 1950 to present. Copernicus Climate Change Service (C3S) Climate Data Store (CDS). DOI 10.24381/cds.e2161bac and 10.24381/cds.68d2bb30. ERA5-Land on the Climate Data Store, under CC BY 4.0.
What we changed: we cut ERA5-Land to South Africa, averaged its 9 km grid cells over each ward, municipality, district and province by the area of the place in each cell (MDB boundaries, 2026), took each day’s high and low from 16 of its hourly values, added up days into months, and averaged 1991 to 2020 for the normals.
Dataset: rainfall and temperature by ward, release of 5 November 2026. The South African Weather Service issues the official forecasts and warnings.