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Weather in Ward 16, Nelson Mandela Bay
This month here (1 to 5 November): hottest day 25.7 °C, 11 mm of rain; a normal November has 56 mm. Coldest night 15.7 °C on 3 November 2026.
Modelled estimates from a weather reanalysis, averaged over the whole place: not readings from a weather station, and not a forecast. Weather here is averaged over a 9 km grid; this ward overlaps 2 grid cells, each weighted by the ward’s area in it, and its neighbours draw on some of the same cells.
November so far, day by day
| Nov | High °C | Low °C | Rain mm |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 20.0 | 17.7 | 5.5 |
| 2 | 20.0 | 17.0 | 5.0 |
| 3 | 21.4 | 15.7 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 23.0 | 17.2 | 0.0 |
| 5 | 25.7 | 18.1 | 0.0 |
Highs and lows are for the South African day; rain is for the day to 02:00 the next morning (the weather model’s day ends at midnight UTC). The weather model runs about five days behind the weather, so the newest day here is usually five to twelve days ago. Only whole days are shown.
The last twelve months against normal
Show the numbers
| When or what | Figure |
|---|---|
| November | 19 mm, normal 56 mm |
| December | 13 mm, normal 45 mm |
| January | 18 mm, normal 39 mm |
| February | 60 mm, normal 42 mm |
| March | 57 mm, normal 46 mm |
| April | 71 mm, normal 42 mm |
| May | 193 mm, normal 29 mm |
| June | 82 mm, normal 30 mm |
| July | 36 mm, normal 30 mm |
| August | 21 mm, normal 43 mm |
| September | 78 mm, normal 35 mm |
| October | 86 mm, normal 48 mm |
Every year since 1991
19912025
Show the numbers
| When or what | Figure |
|---|---|
| 1991 | 406 mm (-16% on the normal) |
| 1992 | 513 mm (+6% on the normal) |
| 1993 | 589 mm (+22% on the normal) |
| 1994 | 509 mm (+5% on the normal) |
| 1995 | 566 mm (+17% on the normal) |
| 1996 | 677 mm (+40% on the normal) |
| 1997 | 392 mm (-19% on the normal) |
| 1998 | 428 mm (-12% on the normal) |
| 1999 | 489 mm (+1% on the normal) |
| 2000 | 537 mm (+11% on the normal) |
| 2001 | 575 mm (+19% on the normal) |
| 2002 | 469 mm (-3% on the normal) |
| 2003 | 443 mm (-8% on the normal) |
| 2004 | 513 mm (+6% on the normal) |
| 2005 | 472 mm (-2% on the normal) |
| 2006 | 567 mm (+17% on the normal) |
| 2007 | 512 mm (+6% on the normal) |
| 2008 | 400 mm (-17% on the normal) |
| 2009 | 358 mm (-26% on the normal) |
| 2010 | 412 mm (-15% on the normal) |
| 2011 | 695 mm (+44% on the normal) |
| 2012 | 655 mm (+35% on the normal) |
| 2013 | 442 mm (-9% on the normal) |
| 2014 | 535 mm (+11% on the normal) |
| 2015 | 511 mm (+6% on the normal) |
| 2016 | 385 mm (-20% on the normal) |
| 2017 | 375 mm (-23% on the normal) |
| 2018 | 384 mm (-21% on the normal) |
| 2019 | 309 mm (-36% on the normal) |
| 2020 | 406 mm (-16% on the normal) |
| 2021 | 391 mm (-19% on the normal) |
| 2022 | 410 mm (-15% on the normal) |
| 2023 | 556 mm (+15% on the normal) |
| 2024 | 516 mm (+7% on the normal) |
| 2025 | 305 mm (-37% on the normal) |
Wettest: 2011 (695 mm). Driest: 2025 (305 mm). Hottest day since our daily figures start in 2023: 35.8 °C in October 2024.
A normal year here (1991 to 2020)
| Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rain mm | 39 | 42 | 46 | 42 | 29 | 30 | 30 | 43 | 35 | 48 | 56 | 45 |
| Mean °C | 21.9 | 22.2 | 21.1 | 18.9 | 17.1 | 15.2 | 14.6 | 14.9 | 16.1 | 17.6 | 18.9 | 20.7 |
Source
Modelled estimates from a weather reanalysis, averaged over the whole place: not readings from a weather station, and not a forecast. The weather model runs about five days behind the weather, so the newest day here is usually five to twelve days ago.
Contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026. Neither the European Commission nor ECMWF is responsible for any use that may be made of the Copernicus information or data it contains. Muñoz Sabater, J. (2019): ERA5-Land hourly data from 1950 to present, and ERA5-Land monthly averaged data from 1950 to present. Copernicus Climate Change Service (C3S) Climate Data Store (CDS). DOI 10.24381/cds.e2161bac and 10.24381/cds.68d2bb30. ERA5-Land on the Climate Data Store, under CC BY 4.0.
What we changed: we cut ERA5-Land to South Africa, averaged its 9 km grid cells over each ward, municipality, district and province by the area of the place in each cell (MDB boundaries, 2026), took each day’s high and low from 16 of its hourly values, added up days into months, and averaged 1991 to 2020 for the normals.
Dataset: rainfall and temperature by ward, release of 5 November 2026. The South African Weather Service issues the official forecasts and warnings.