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Weather in Ward 17, Nelson Mandela Bay

This month here (1 to 5 November): hottest day 25.3 °C, 10 mm of rain; a normal November has 55 mm. Coldest night 15.9 °C on 3 November 2026.

Modelled estimates from a weather reanalysis, averaged over the whole place: not readings from a weather station, and not a forecast. Weather here is averaged over a 9 km grid; this ward shares it with 22 neighbouring wards. It lies in one grid cell, and 9 of them get exactly the same figures.

November so far, day by day

NovHigh °CLow °CRain mm
119.917.85.2
219.917.15.0
321.215.90.1
422.717.20.0
525.318.10.0

Highs and lows are for the South African day; rain is for the day to 02:00 the next morning (the weather model’s day ends at midnight UTC). The weather model runs about five days behind the weather, so the newest day here is usually five to twelve days ago. Only whole days are shown.

The last twelve months against normal

November: 19 mm, normal 55 mmNDecember: 13 mm, normal 45 mmDJanuary: 17 mm, normal 39 mmJFebruary: 59 mm, normal 41 mmFMarch: 56 mm, normal 46 mmMApril: 73 mm, normal 42 mmAMay: 199 mm, normal 31 mmMJune: 82 mm, normal 32 mmJJuly: 37 mm, normal 31 mmJAugust: 21 mm, normal 44 mmASeptember: 78 mm, normal 35 mmSOctober: 87 mm, normal 48 mmO
Rain each month, November 2025 to October 2026 (this month to 5 November 2026). Bars: rain. Lines: the 1991 to 2020 normal.
Show the numbers
Rain each month, November 2025 to October 2026 (this month to 5 November 2026).: every figure
When or whatFigure
November19 mm, normal 55 mm
December13 mm, normal 45 mm
January17 mm, normal 39 mm
February59 mm, normal 41 mm
March56 mm, normal 46 mm
April73 mm, normal 42 mm
May199 mm, normal 31 mm
June82 mm, normal 32 mm
July37 mm, normal 31 mm
August21 mm, normal 44 mm
September78 mm, normal 35 mm
October87 mm, normal 48 mm

Every year since 1991

1991: 407 mm (-16% on the normal)1992: 520 mm (+7% on the normal)1993: 597 mm (+23% on the normal)1994: 515 mm (+6% on the normal)1995: 569 mm (+17% on the normal)1996: 679 mm (+39% on the normal)1997: 399 mm (-18% on the normal)1998: 434 mm (-11% on the normal)1999: 486 mm (-0% on the normal)2000: 537 mm (+10% on the normal)2001: 570 mm (+17% on the normal)2002: 476 mm (-2% on the normal)2003: 447 mm (-8% on the normal)2004: 520 mm (+7% on the normal)2005: 475 mm (-3% on the normal)2006: 565 mm (+16% on the normal)2007: 525 mm (+8% on the normal)2008: 399 mm (-18% on the normal)2009: 362 mm (-26% on the normal)2010: 415 mm (-15% on the normal)2011: 700 mm (+44% on the normal)2012: 660 mm (+35% on the normal)2013: 445 mm (-9% on the normal)2014: 535 mm (+10% on the normal)2015: 514 mm (+6% on the normal)2016: 388 mm (-20% on the normal)2017: 377 mm (-23% on the normal)2018: 382 mm (-22% on the normal)2019: 310 mm (-36% on the normal)2020: 413 mm (-15% on the normal)2021: 393 mm (-19% on the normal)2022: 414 mm (-15% on the normal)2023: 559 mm (+15% on the normal)2024: 520 mm (+7% on the normal)2025: 304 mm (-38% on the normal)

19912025

Rain each year, 1991 to 2025. Up: wetter than the 1991 to 2020 normal (487 mm a year). Down: drier.
Show the numbers
Rain each year, 1991 to 2025.: every figure
When or whatFigure
1991407 mm (-16% on the normal)
1992520 mm (+7% on the normal)
1993597 mm (+23% on the normal)
1994515 mm (+6% on the normal)
1995569 mm (+17% on the normal)
1996679 mm (+39% on the normal)
1997399 mm (-18% on the normal)
1998434 mm (-11% on the normal)
1999486 mm (-0% on the normal)
2000537 mm (+10% on the normal)
2001570 mm (+17% on the normal)
2002476 mm (-2% on the normal)
2003447 mm (-8% on the normal)
2004520 mm (+7% on the normal)
2005475 mm (-3% on the normal)
2006565 mm (+16% on the normal)
2007525 mm (+8% on the normal)
2008399 mm (-18% on the normal)
2009362 mm (-26% on the normal)
2010415 mm (-15% on the normal)
2011700 mm (+44% on the normal)
2012660 mm (+35% on the normal)
2013445 mm (-9% on the normal)
2014535 mm (+10% on the normal)
2015514 mm (+6% on the normal)
2016388 mm (-20% on the normal)
2017377 mm (-23% on the normal)
2018382 mm (-22% on the normal)
2019310 mm (-36% on the normal)
2020413 mm (-15% on the normal)
2021393 mm (-19% on the normal)
2022414 mm (-15% on the normal)
2023559 mm (+15% on the normal)
2024520 mm (+7% on the normal)
2025304 mm (-38% on the normal)

Wettest: 2011 (700 mm). Driest: 2025 (304 mm). Hottest day since our daily figures start in 2023: 35.4 °C in October 2024.

A normal year here (1991 to 2020)

JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec
Rain mm394146423132314435485545
Mean °C21.922.121.018.917.115.214.614.916.017.618.920.7

Source

Modelled estimates from a weather reanalysis, averaged over the whole place: not readings from a weather station, and not a forecast. The weather model runs about five days behind the weather, so the newest day here is usually five to twelve days ago.

Contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026. Neither the European Commission nor ECMWF is responsible for any use that may be made of the Copernicus information or data it contains. Muñoz Sabater, J. (2019): ERA5-Land hourly data from 1950 to present, and ERA5-Land monthly averaged data from 1950 to present. Copernicus Climate Change Service (C3S) Climate Data Store (CDS). DOI 10.24381/cds.e2161bac and 10.24381/cds.68d2bb30. ERA5-Land on the Climate Data Store, under CC BY 4.0.

What we changed: we cut ERA5-Land to South Africa, averaged its 9 km grid cells over each ward, municipality, district and province by the area of the place in each cell (MDB boundaries, 2026), took each day’s high and low from 16 of its hourly values, added up days into months, and averaged 1991 to 2020 for the normals.

Dataset: rainfall and temperature by ward, release of 5 November 2026. The South African Weather Service issues the official forecasts and warnings.

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