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Weather in Ward 40, Nelson Mandela Bay
This month here (1 to 5 November): hottest day 24.8 °C, 8.8 mm of rain; a normal November has 60 mm. Coldest night 15.4 °C on 3 November 2026.
Modelled estimates from a weather reanalysis, averaged over the whole place: not readings from a weather station, and not a forecast. Weather here is averaged over a 9 km grid; this ward overlaps 7 grid cells, each weighted by the ward’s area in it, and its neighbours draw on some of the same cells.
November so far, day by day
| Nov | High °C | Low °C | Rain mm |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19.3 | 17.1 | 4.1 |
| 2 | 19.5 | 16.0 | 4.6 |
| 3 | 21.4 | 15.4 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 23.5 | 16.5 | 0.0 |
| 5 | 24.8 | 17.6 | 0.0 |
Highs and lows are for the South African day; rain is for the day to 02:00 the next morning (the weather model’s day ends at midnight UTC). The weather model runs about five days behind the weather, so the newest day here is usually five to twelve days ago. Only whole days are shown.
The last twelve months against normal
Show the numbers
| When or what | Figure |
|---|---|
| November | 23 mm, normal 60 mm |
| December | 16 mm, normal 49 mm |
| January | 22 mm, normal 43 mm |
| February | 62 mm, normal 46 mm |
| March | 61 mm, normal 51 mm |
| April | 82 mm, normal 47 mm |
| May | 255 mm, normal 36 mm |
| June | 99 mm, normal 37 mm |
| July | 42 mm, normal 36 mm |
| August | 25 mm, normal 51 mm |
| September | 105 mm, normal 40 mm |
| October | 97 mm, normal 54 mm |
Every year since 1991
19912025
Show the numbers
| When or what | Figure |
|---|---|
| 1991 | 460 mm (-17% on the normal) |
| 1992 | 604 mm (+10% on the normal) |
| 1993 | 650 mm (+18% on the normal) |
| 1994 | 587 mm (+6% on the normal) |
| 1995 | 632 mm (+15% on the normal) |
| 1996 | 778 mm (+41% on the normal) |
| 1997 | 455 mm (-17% on the normal) |
| 1998 | 515 mm (-7% on the normal) |
| 1999 | 518 mm (-6% on the normal) |
| 2000 | 618 mm (+12% on the normal) |
| 2001 | 631 mm (+14% on the normal) |
| 2002 | 579 mm (+5% on the normal) |
| 2003 | 488 mm (-11% on the normal) |
| 2004 | 589 mm (+7% on the normal) |
| 2005 | 531 mm (-4% on the normal) |
| 2006 | 650 mm (+18% on the normal) |
| 2007 | 590 mm (+7% on the normal) |
| 2008 | 436 mm (-21% on the normal) |
| 2009 | 419 mm (-24% on the normal) |
| 2010 | 476 mm (-14% on the normal) |
| 2011 | 772 mm (+40% on the normal) |
| 2012 | 752 mm (+36% on the normal) |
| 2013 | 493 mm (-11% on the normal) |
| 2014 | 605 mm (+10% on the normal) |
| 2015 | 578 mm (+5% on the normal) |
| 2016 | 425 mm (-23% on the normal) |
| 2017 | 423 mm (-23% on the normal) |
| 2018 | 436 mm (-21% on the normal) |
| 2019 | 354 mm (-36% on the normal) |
| 2020 | 499 mm (-10% on the normal) |
| 2021 | 480 mm (-13% on the normal) |
| 2022 | 457 mm (-17% on the normal) |
| 2023 | 648 mm (+18% on the normal) |
| 2024 | 619 mm (+12% on the normal) |
| 2025 | 365 mm (-34% on the normal) |
Wettest: 1996 (778 mm). Driest: 2019 (354 mm). Hottest day since our daily figures start in 2023: 34.0 °C in October 2024.
A normal year here (1991 to 2020)
| Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rain mm | 43 | 46 | 51 | 47 | 36 | 37 | 36 | 51 | 40 | 54 | 60 | 49 |
| Mean °C | 21.3 | 21.6 | 20.5 | 18.4 | 16.8 | 14.9 | 14.4 | 14.6 | 15.6 | 17.0 | 18.3 | 20.1 |
Source
Modelled estimates from a weather reanalysis, averaged over the whole place: not readings from a weather station, and not a forecast. The weather model runs about five days behind the weather, so the newest day here is usually five to twelve days ago.
Contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026. Neither the European Commission nor ECMWF is responsible for any use that may be made of the Copernicus information or data it contains. Muñoz Sabater, J. (2019): ERA5-Land hourly data from 1950 to present, and ERA5-Land monthly averaged data from 1950 to present. Copernicus Climate Change Service (C3S) Climate Data Store (CDS). DOI 10.24381/cds.e2161bac and 10.24381/cds.68d2bb30. ERA5-Land on the Climate Data Store, under CC BY 4.0.
What we changed: we cut ERA5-Land to South Africa, averaged its 9 km grid cells over each ward, municipality, district and province by the area of the place in each cell (MDB boundaries, 2026), took each day’s high and low from 16 of its hourly values, added up days into months, and averaged 1991 to 2020 for the normals.
Dataset: rainfall and temperature by ward, release of 5 November 2026. The South African Weather Service issues the official forecasts and warnings.