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Weather in Ward 41, Nelson Mandela Bay
This month here (1 to 5 November): hottest day 27.2 °C, 12 mm of rain; a normal November has 59 mm. Coldest night 14.8 °C on 3 November 2026.
Modelled estimates from a weather reanalysis, averaged over the whole place: not readings from a weather station, and not a forecast. Weather here is averaged over a 9 km grid; this ward overlaps 2 grid cells, each weighted by the ward’s area in it, and its neighbours draw on some of the same cells.
November so far, day by day
| Nov | High °C | Low °C | Rain mm |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19.9 | 16.9 | 6.1 |
| 2 | 20.3 | 16.2 | 5.3 |
| 3 | 22.7 | 14.8 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 24.8 | 16.6 | 0.0 |
| 5 | 27.2 | 17.7 | 0.0 |
Highs and lows are for the South African day; rain is for the day to 02:00 the next morning (the weather model’s day ends at midnight UTC). The weather model runs about five days behind the weather, so the newest day here is usually five to twelve days ago. Only whole days are shown.
The last twelve months against normal
Show the numbers
| When or what | Figure |
|---|---|
| November | 24 mm, normal 59 mm |
| December | 15 mm, normal 49 mm |
| January | 23 mm, normal 44 mm |
| February | 65 mm, normal 47 mm |
| March | 64 mm, normal 50 mm |
| April | 71 mm, normal 43 mm |
| May | 192 mm, normal 26 mm |
| June | 88 mm, normal 26 mm |
| July | 35 mm, normal 26 mm |
| August | 22 mm, normal 40 mm |
| September | 94 mm, normal 34 mm |
| October | 85 mm, normal 51 mm |
Every year since 1991
19912025
Show the numbers
| When or what | Figure |
|---|---|
| 1991 | 421 mm (-15% on the normal) |
| 1992 | 518 mm (+5% on the normal) |
| 1993 | 574 mm (+16% on the normal) |
| 1994 | 506 mm (+2% on the normal) |
| 1995 | 581 mm (+18% on the normal) |
| 1996 | 717 mm (+45% on the normal) |
| 1997 | 380 mm (-23% on the normal) |
| 1998 | 427 mm (-14% on the normal) |
| 1999 | 517 mm (+5% on the normal) |
| 2000 | 567 mm (+15% on the normal) |
| 2001 | 620 mm (+25% on the normal) |
| 2002 | 470 mm (-5% on the normal) |
| 2003 | 443 mm (-10% on the normal) |
| 2004 | 519 mm (+5% on the normal) |
| 2005 | 485 mm (-2% on the normal) |
| 2006 | 598 mm (+21% on the normal) |
| 2007 | 482 mm (-2% on the normal) |
| 2008 | 417 mm (-16% on the normal) |
| 2009 | 365 mm (-26% on the normal) |
| 2010 | 426 mm (-14% on the normal) |
| 2011 | 694 mm (+40% on the normal) |
| 2012 | 665 mm (+35% on the normal) |
| 2013 | 447 mm (-10% on the normal) |
| 2014 | 564 mm (+14% on the normal) |
| 2015 | 517 mm (+5% on the normal) |
| 2016 | 387 mm (-22% on the normal) |
| 2017 | 386 mm (-22% on the normal) |
| 2018 | 410 mm (-17% on the normal) |
| 2019 | 321 mm (-35% on the normal) |
| 2020 | 406 mm (-18% on the normal) |
| 2021 | 407 mm (-18% on the normal) |
| 2022 | 407 mm (-18% on the normal) |
| 2023 | 572 mm (+16% on the normal) |
| 2024 | 542 mm (+10% on the normal) |
| 2025 | 324 mm (-34% on the normal) |
Wettest: 1996 (717 mm). Driest: 2019 (321 mm). Hottest day since our daily figures start in 2023: 37.4 °C in December 2023.
A normal year here (1991 to 2020)
| Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rain mm | 44 | 47 | 50 | 43 | 26 | 26 | 26 | 40 | 34 | 51 | 59 | 49 |
| Mean °C | 22.1 | 22.4 | 21.2 | 18.9 | 17.0 | 15.0 | 14.5 | 14.8 | 16.0 | 17.6 | 19.0 | 20.9 |
Source
Modelled estimates from a weather reanalysis, averaged over the whole place: not readings from a weather station, and not a forecast. The weather model runs about five days behind the weather, so the newest day here is usually five to twelve days ago.
Contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026. Neither the European Commission nor ECMWF is responsible for any use that may be made of the Copernicus information or data it contains. Muñoz Sabater, J. (2019): ERA5-Land hourly data from 1950 to present, and ERA5-Land monthly averaged data from 1950 to present. Copernicus Climate Change Service (C3S) Climate Data Store (CDS). DOI 10.24381/cds.e2161bac and 10.24381/cds.68d2bb30. ERA5-Land on the Climate Data Store, under CC BY 4.0.
What we changed: we cut ERA5-Land to South Africa, averaged its 9 km grid cells over each ward, municipality, district and province by the area of the place in each cell (MDB boundaries, 2026), took each day’s high and low from 16 of its hourly values, added up days into months, and averaged 1991 to 2020 for the normals.
Dataset: rainfall and temperature by ward, release of 5 November 2026. The South African Weather Service issues the official forecasts and warnings.