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Weather in Ward 45, Nelson Mandela Bay
This month here (1 to 5 November): hottest day 26.6 °C, 10 mm of rain; a normal November has 63 mm. Coldest night 14.2 °C on 3 November 2026.
Modelled estimates from a weather reanalysis, averaged over the whole place: not readings from a weather station, and not a forecast. Weather here is averaged over a 9 km grid; this ward overlaps 6 grid cells, each weighted by the ward’s area in it, and its neighbours draw on some of the same cells.
November so far, day by day
| Nov | High °C | Low °C | Rain mm |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19.2 | 16.3 | 4.8 |
| 2 | 19.7 | 15.4 | 5.2 |
| 3 | 22.3 | 14.2 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 25.1 | 15.7 | 0.0 |
| 5 | 26.6 | 17.0 | 0.0 |
Highs and lows are for the South African day; rain is for the day to 02:00 the next morning (the weather model’s day ends at midnight UTC). The weather model runs about five days behind the weather, so the newest day here is usually five to twelve days ago. Only whole days are shown.
The last twelve months against normal
Show the numbers
| When or what | Figure |
|---|---|
| November | 30 mm, normal 63 mm |
| December | 18 mm, normal 53 mm |
| January | 26 mm, normal 48 mm |
| February | 66 mm, normal 52 mm |
| March | 73 mm, normal 55 mm |
| April | 80 mm, normal 48 mm |
| May | 233 mm, normal 30 mm |
| June | 101 mm, normal 29 mm |
| July | 37 mm, normal 30 mm |
| August | 24 mm, normal 44 mm |
| September | 113 mm, normal 38 mm |
| October | 91 mm, normal 56 mm |
Every year since 1991
19912025
Show the numbers
| When or what | Figure |
|---|---|
| 1991 | 468 mm (-14% on the normal) |
| 1992 | 585 mm (+7% on the normal) |
| 1993 | 616 mm (+13% on the normal) |
| 1994 | 559 mm (+2% on the normal) |
| 1995 | 638 mm (+17% on the normal) |
| 1996 | 802 mm (+47% on the normal) |
| 1997 | 426 mm (-22% on the normal) |
| 1998 | 481 mm (-12% on the normal) |
| 1999 | 551 mm (+1% on the normal) |
| 2000 | 642 mm (+18% on the normal) |
| 2001 | 679 mm (+24% on the normal) |
| 2002 | 548 mm (+0% on the normal) |
| 2003 | 480 mm (-12% on the normal) |
| 2004 | 579 mm (+6% on the normal) |
| 2005 | 541 mm (-1% on the normal) |
| 2006 | 663 mm (+21% on the normal) |
| 2007 | 527 mm (-3% on the normal) |
| 2008 | 446 mm (-18% on the normal) |
| 2009 | 416 mm (-24% on the normal) |
| 2010 | 476 mm (-13% on the normal) |
| 2011 | 748 mm (+37% on the normal) |
| 2012 | 731 mm (+34% on the normal) |
| 2013 | 479 mm (-12% on the normal) |
| 2014 | 626 mm (+15% on the normal) |
| 2015 | 564 mm (+3% on the normal) |
| 2016 | 416 mm (-24% on the normal) |
| 2017 | 423 mm (-23% on the normal) |
| 2018 | 451 mm (-17% on the normal) |
| 2019 | 359 mm (-34% on the normal) |
| 2020 | 469 mm (-14% on the normal) |
| 2021 | 459 mm (-16% on the normal) |
| 2022 | 444 mm (-19% on the normal) |
| 2023 | 639 mm (+17% on the normal) |
| 2024 | 619 mm (+13% on the normal) |
| 2025 | 370 mm (-32% on the normal) |
Wettest: 1996 (802 mm). Driest: 2019 (359 mm). Hottest day since our daily figures start in 2023: 37.6 °C in January 2023.
A normal year here (1991 to 2020)
| Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rain mm | 48 | 52 | 55 | 48 | 30 | 29 | 30 | 44 | 38 | 56 | 63 | 53 |
| Mean °C | 21.3 | 21.6 | 20.4 | 18.1 | 16.2 | 14.1 | 13.7 | 14.0 | 15.2 | 16.8 | 18.2 | 20.1 |
Source
Modelled estimates from a weather reanalysis, averaged over the whole place: not readings from a weather station, and not a forecast. The weather model runs about five days behind the weather, so the newest day here is usually five to twelve days ago.
Contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026. Neither the European Commission nor ECMWF is responsible for any use that may be made of the Copernicus information or data it contains. Muñoz Sabater, J. (2019): ERA5-Land hourly data from 1950 to present, and ERA5-Land monthly averaged data from 1950 to present. Copernicus Climate Change Service (C3S) Climate Data Store (CDS). DOI 10.24381/cds.e2161bac and 10.24381/cds.68d2bb30. ERA5-Land on the Climate Data Store, under CC BY 4.0.
What we changed: we cut ERA5-Land to South Africa, averaged its 9 km grid cells over each ward, municipality, district and province by the area of the place in each cell (MDB boundaries, 2026), took each day’s high and low from 16 of its hourly values, added up days into months, and averaged 1991 to 2020 for the normals.
Dataset: rainfall and temperature by ward, release of 5 November 2026. The South African Weather Service issues the official forecasts and warnings.