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Weather in Ward 46, Nelson Mandela Bay
This month here (1 to 5 November): hottest day 27.2 °C, 11 mm of rain; a normal November has 62 mm. Coldest night 14.6 °C on 3 November 2026.
Modelled estimates from a weather reanalysis, averaged over the whole place: not readings from a weather station, and not a forecast. Weather here is averaged over a 9 km grid; this ward shares it with 12 neighbouring wards. It lies in one grid cell, and 2 of them get exactly the same figures.
November so far, day by day
| Nov | High °C | Low °C | Rain mm |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19.7 | 16.6 | 5.7 |
| 2 | 20.2 | 15.8 | 5.5 |
| 3 | 22.9 | 14.6 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 25.4 | 16.1 | 0.0 |
| 5 | 27.2 | 17.4 | 0.0 |
Highs and lows are for the South African day; rain is for the day to 02:00 the next morning (the weather model’s day ends at midnight UTC). The weather model runs about five days behind the weather, so the newest day here is usually five to twelve days ago. Only whole days are shown.
The last twelve months against normal
Show the numbers
| When or what | Figure |
|---|---|
| November | 27 mm, normal 62 mm |
| December | 17 mm, normal 51 mm |
| January | 26 mm, normal 46 mm |
| February | 67 mm, normal 50 mm |
| March | 68 mm, normal 53 mm |
| April | 75 mm, normal 46 mm |
| May | 213 mm, normal 27 mm |
| June | 96 mm, normal 27 mm |
| July | 37 mm, normal 27 mm |
| August | 23 mm, normal 41 mm |
| September | 108 mm, normal 36 mm |
| October | 88 mm, normal 53 mm |
Every year since 1991
19912025
Show the numbers
| When or what | Figure |
|---|---|
| 1991 | 445 mm (-14% on the normal) |
| 1992 | 549 mm (+6% on the normal) |
| 1993 | 594 mm (+14% on the normal) |
| 1994 | 530 mm (+2% on the normal) |
| 1995 | 610 mm (+17% on the normal) |
| 1996 | 764 mm (+47% on the normal) |
| 1997 | 401 mm (-23% on the normal) |
| 1998 | 451 mm (-13% on the normal) |
| 1999 | 537 mm (+3% on the normal) |
| 2000 | 606 mm (+17% on the normal) |
| 2001 | 654 mm (+26% on the normal) |
| 2002 | 506 mm (-3% on the normal) |
| 2003 | 462 mm (-11% on the normal) |
| 2004 | 550 mm (+6% on the normal) |
| 2005 | 514 mm (-1% on the normal) |
| 2006 | 632 mm (+22% on the normal) |
| 2007 | 498 mm (-4% on the normal) |
| 2008 | 432 mm (-17% on the normal) |
| 2009 | 391 mm (-25% on the normal) |
| 2010 | 452 mm (-13% on the normal) |
| 2011 | 720 mm (+38% on the normal) |
| 2012 | 697 mm (+34% on the normal) |
| 2013 | 462 mm (-11% on the normal) |
| 2014 | 597 mm (+15% on the normal) |
| 2015 | 539 mm (+4% on the normal) |
| 2016 | 401 mm (-23% on the normal) |
| 2017 | 405 mm (-22% on the normal) |
| 2018 | 432 mm (-17% on the normal) |
| 2019 | 341 mm (-34% on the normal) |
| 2020 | 436 mm (-16% on the normal) |
| 2021 | 439 mm (-16% on the normal) |
| 2022 | 424 mm (-18% on the normal) |
| 2023 | 609 mm (+17% on the normal) |
| 2024 | 584 mm (+12% on the normal) |
| 2025 | 349 mm (-33% on the normal) |
Wettest: 1996 (764 mm). Driest: 2019 (341 mm). Hottest day since our daily figures start in 2023: 38.4 °C in January 2023.
A normal year here (1991 to 2020)
| Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rain mm | 46 | 50 | 53 | 46 | 27 | 27 | 27 | 41 | 36 | 53 | 62 | 51 |
| Mean °C | 21.8 | 22.1 | 20.9 | 18.6 | 16.7 | 14.7 | 14.2 | 14.5 | 15.7 | 17.4 | 18.7 | 20.6 |
Source
Modelled estimates from a weather reanalysis, averaged over the whole place: not readings from a weather station, and not a forecast. The weather model runs about five days behind the weather, so the newest day here is usually five to twelve days ago.
Contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026. Neither the European Commission nor ECMWF is responsible for any use that may be made of the Copernicus information or data it contains. Muñoz Sabater, J. (2019): ERA5-Land hourly data from 1950 to present, and ERA5-Land monthly averaged data from 1950 to present. Copernicus Climate Change Service (C3S) Climate Data Store (CDS). DOI 10.24381/cds.e2161bac and 10.24381/cds.68d2bb30. ERA5-Land on the Climate Data Store, under CC BY 4.0.
What we changed: we cut ERA5-Land to South Africa, averaged its 9 km grid cells over each ward, municipality, district and province by the area of the place in each cell (MDB boundaries, 2026), took each day’s high and low from 16 of its hourly values, added up days into months, and averaged 1991 to 2020 for the normals.
Dataset: rainfall and temperature by ward, release of 5 November 2026. The South African Weather Service issues the official forecasts and warnings.