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Weather in Ward 48, Nelson Mandela Bay
This month here (1 to 5 November): hottest day 27.4 °C, 11 mm of rain; a normal November has 62 mm. Coldest night 14.5 °C on 3 November 2026.
Modelled estimates from a weather reanalysis, averaged over the whole place: not readings from a weather station, and not a forecast. Weather here is averaged over a 9 km grid; this ward overlaps 2 grid cells, each weighted by the ward’s area in it, and its neighbours draw on some of the same cells.
November so far, day by day
| Nov | High °C | Low °C | Rain mm |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19.7 | 16.5 | 5.8 |
| 2 | 20.2 | 15.8 | 5.3 |
| 3 | 22.9 | 14.5 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 25.5 | 16.0 | 0.0 |
| 5 | 27.4 | 17.3 | 0.0 |
Highs and lows are for the South African day; rain is for the day to 02:00 the next morning (the weather model’s day ends at midnight UTC). The weather model runs about five days behind the weather, so the newest day here is usually five to twelve days ago. Only whole days are shown.
The last twelve months against normal
Show the numbers
| When or what | Figure |
|---|---|
| November | 27 mm, normal 62 mm |
| December | 17 mm, normal 52 mm |
| January | 26 mm, normal 47 mm |
| February | 68 mm, normal 51 mm |
| March | 69 mm, normal 53 mm |
| April | 75 mm, normal 46 mm |
| May | 211 mm, normal 27 mm |
| June | 96 mm, normal 27 mm |
| July | 36 mm, normal 27 mm |
| August | 23 mm, normal 41 mm |
| September | 107 mm, normal 36 mm |
| October | 88 mm, normal 54 mm |
Every year since 1991
19912025
Show the numbers
| When or what | Figure |
|---|---|
| 1991 | 447 mm (-14% on the normal) |
| 1992 | 550 mm (+5% on the normal) |
| 1993 | 591 mm (+13% on the normal) |
| 1994 | 532 mm (+2% on the normal) |
| 1995 | 612 mm (+17% on the normal) |
| 1996 | 764 mm (+46% on the normal) |
| 1997 | 400 mm (-23% on the normal) |
| 1998 | 454 mm (-13% on the normal) |
| 1999 | 544 mm (+4% on the normal) |
| 2000 | 611 mm (+17% on the normal) |
| 2001 | 660 mm (+26% on the normal) |
| 2002 | 505 mm (-3% on the normal) |
| 2003 | 464 mm (-11% on the normal) |
| 2004 | 547 mm (+5% on the normal) |
| 2005 | 516 mm (-1% on the normal) |
| 2006 | 634 mm (+21% on the normal) |
| 2007 | 498 mm (-5% on the normal) |
| 2008 | 437 mm (-16% on the normal) |
| 2009 | 392 mm (-25% on the normal) |
| 2010 | 454 mm (-13% on the normal) |
| 2011 | 720 mm (+38% on the normal) |
| 2012 | 701 mm (+34% on the normal) |
| 2013 | 465 mm (-11% on the normal) |
| 2014 | 602 mm (+15% on the normal) |
| 2015 | 538 mm (+3% on the normal) |
| 2016 | 404 mm (-23% on the normal) |
| 2017 | 406 mm (-22% on the normal) |
| 2018 | 434 mm (-17% on the normal) |
| 2019 | 342 mm (-34% on the normal) |
| 2020 | 439 mm (-16% on the normal) |
| 2021 | 441 mm (-16% on the normal) |
| 2022 | 426 mm (-18% on the normal) |
| 2023 | 610 mm (+17% on the normal) |
| 2024 | 587 mm (+12% on the normal) |
| 2025 | 353 mm (-32% on the normal) |
Wettest: 1996 (764 mm). Driest: 2019 (342 mm). Hottest day since our daily figures start in 2023: 38.5 °C in January 2023.
A normal year here (1991 to 2020)
| Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rain mm | 47 | 51 | 53 | 46 | 27 | 27 | 27 | 41 | 36 | 54 | 62 | 52 |
| Mean °C | 21.8 | 22.1 | 20.9 | 18.6 | 16.6 | 14.6 | 14.1 | 14.5 | 15.6 | 17.3 | 18.7 | 20.6 |
Source
Modelled estimates from a weather reanalysis, averaged over the whole place: not readings from a weather station, and not a forecast. The weather model runs about five days behind the weather, so the newest day here is usually five to twelve days ago.
Contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026. Neither the European Commission nor ECMWF is responsible for any use that may be made of the Copernicus information or data it contains. Muñoz Sabater, J. (2019): ERA5-Land hourly data from 1950 to present, and ERA5-Land monthly averaged data from 1950 to present. Copernicus Climate Change Service (C3S) Climate Data Store (CDS). DOI 10.24381/cds.e2161bac and 10.24381/cds.68d2bb30. ERA5-Land on the Climate Data Store, under CC BY 4.0.
What we changed: we cut ERA5-Land to South Africa, averaged its 9 km grid cells over each ward, municipality, district and province by the area of the place in each cell (MDB boundaries, 2026), took each day’s high and low from 16 of its hourly values, added up days into months, and averaged 1991 to 2020 for the normals.
Dataset: rainfall and temperature by ward, release of 5 November 2026. The South African Weather Service issues the official forecasts and warnings.